FEBRUARY ’23 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will take the majority in the next parliament.

_SEAT PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 381 Seats

(+178 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 180 Seats

(-185 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 55 Seats

(+7 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 10 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 4 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 47.61%

(+15.45pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 23.35%

(-20.28pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.16%

(-2.39pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 6.35%

(+4.34pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.92%

(+3.22pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.45%

(+0.57pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.76%

(+0.28pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.11%

(+0.04pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.29%

(-1.23pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 United Kingdom General Election February Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 11 polling data(44,068 unweighted / 28,219 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 1/24 and 1/31.

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.