Europe

[Iceland General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Independence Party(D / Right-wing) : 13 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Progressive Party(B / Lean-Right) : 11 Seats

(+3 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Alliance(S / Center-Left) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Left Green Movement(V / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(-4 From Last Election)

Pirate Party(P / Big Tent) : 7 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Socialist Party(J / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

People’s Party(F / Big Tent) : 5 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Reform Party(C / Lean-Right) : 4 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Center Party(M / Center) : 4 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Others(O / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Independence Party(D / Right-wing) : 21.67%

(-3.58pp From Last Election)

Progressive Party(B / Lean-Right) : 14.44%

(+3.73pp From Last Election)

Social Democratic Alliance(S / Center-Left) : 12.90%

(+0.85pp From Last Election)

Left Green Movement(V / Left-wing) : 11.06%

(-5.83pp From Last Election)

Pirate Party(P / Big Tent) : 10.38%

(+1.18pp From Last Election)

Reform Party(C / Lean-Right) : 10.25%

(+3.56pp From Last Election)

Center Party(M / Center) : 6.24%

(-4.63pp From Last Election)

Socialist Party(J / Left-wing) : 6.15%

(NEW PARTY)

People’s Party(F / Big Tent) : 6.14%

(+1 From Last Election)

Others(O / Mixed) : 0.77%

(-0.69pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Norway General Election]2021 FINAL Results & Projection Analysis

FINAL ’21 RESULTS

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s LIVE Projection in Norway, Red Coalition has gained the majority in the next Storting after winning over Blue Coalition.

_COALITION LEVEL RESULTS

-Seat Results

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 97 Seats

(+17 From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 68 Seats

(-20 From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 3 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Results

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 52.05%

(+6.23pp From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 42.37%

(-6.74pp From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 3.92%

(+0.70pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 1.66%

(-0.19pp From Last Election)

_PARTY LEVEL RESULTS

-Seat Projection

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 48 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 36 Seats

(-9 From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 28 Seats

(+9 From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 21 Seats

(-6 From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 13 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 8 Seats

(+7 From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 3 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 3 Seats

(-5 From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Results

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 26.08%

(-1.11pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 20.22%

(-4.66pp From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 13.42%

(+3.17pp From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 11.54%

(-3.56pp From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 7.59%

(+1.61pp From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 4.69%

(+2.29pp From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 4.58%

(+0.24pp From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 4.89%

(+0.70pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 3.77%

(-0.40pp From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 1.14%

(+1.01pp From Last Election)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0.63%

(+0.19pp From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0.35%

(+0.05pp From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.33%

(NEW PARTY)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0.26%

(NEW PARTY)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.15%

(-0.04pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 1.33%

(-0.08pp From Last Election)

_PROJECTION ANALYSIS

-Average Error Analysis

Globe Elections UN(FINAL Projection) : 0.55%

—————————————————–

TV2(Exit Poll) : 0.48%

Pollofpolls.no(Poll Of Polls) : 0.65%

NRK(Exit Poll) : 0.69%

Estimite(Estimation) : 0.72%

PolitPro(Trend) : 0.74%

Europe Elects(Average) : 0.77%

Politico(Poll Of Polls) : 0.82%

-Standard Error Analysis

Globe Elections UN(FINAL Projection) : 0.73%

—————————————————–

TV2(Exit Poll) : 0.86%

Pollofpolls.no(Poll Of Polls) : 0.88%

PolitPro(Trend) : 0.99%

Europe Elects(Average) : 1.03%

Politico(Poll Of Polls) : 1.04%

Estimite(Estimation) : 1.08%

NRK(Exit Poll) : 1.08%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Russia General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Russia, United Russia will be retaining majority in the next State Duma, but a supermajority is uncertain.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

United Russia(UR / Right-wing Big Tent) : 300 Seats

(-43 From Last Election)

Communist Party(CPRF / Left-wing) : 69 Seats

(+27 From Last Election)

Liberal Democratic Party(LDPR / Far-Right) : 41 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

A Just Russia+For Truth(AJR+FT / Center-Left) : 27 Seats

(+4 From Last Election)

Independent(IND / Mixed) : 5 Seats

(+4 From Last Election)

Yabloko(YAB / Lean-Left) : 2 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Rodina(ROD / Far-Right) : 2 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Russian Party Of Pensioners For Social Justice(RPPSJ / Center) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

The Communists(CPCR / Far-Left) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

Party Of Growth(ROST / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(+4 From Last Election)

Civic Platform(CP / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

New People(NP / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

The Greens(REPTG / Center-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Russian Party Of Freedom & Justice(RPFJ / Center-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Green Alternative(GA / Left-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

United Russia(UR / Right-wing Big Tent) : 40.34%

(-14.89pp From Last Election)

Communist Party(CPRF / Left-wing) : 22.66%

(+9.07pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democratic Party(LDPR / Far-Right) : 12.35%

(-1.04pp From Last Election)

A Just Russia+For Truth(AJR+FT / Center-Left) : 10.82%

(+3.88pp From Last Election)

Russian Party Of Pensioners For Social Justice(RPPSJ / Center) : 3.14%

(+1.38pp From Last Election)

New People(NP / Lean-Right) : 2.67%

(NEW PARTY)

The Communists(CPCR / Far-Left) : 1.93%

(-0.38pp From Last Election)

Yabloko(YAB / Lean-Left) : 1.59%

(-0.45pp From Last Election)

Rodina(ROD / Far-Right) : 1.21%

(-0.33pp From Last Election)

The Greens(REPTG / Center-Left) : 1.07%

(+0.30pp From Last Election)

Russian Party Of Freedom & Justice(RPFJ / Center-Left) : 0.80%

(NEW PARTY)

Party Of Growth(ROST / Center-Right) : 0.75%

(-0.57pp From Last Election)

Green Alternative(GA / Left-wing) : 0.41%

(NEW PARTY)

Civic Platform(CP / Center-Right) : 0.26%

(+0.04pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Norway General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Norway, Red Coalition will be gaining the majority in the next Storting very likely as they are ahead of Blue Coalition.

_COALITION LEVEL PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 94 Seats

(+14 From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 68 Seats

(-20 From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 7 Seats

(+6 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 51.52%

(+5.70pp From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 41.69%

(-7.42pp From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 4.89%

(+1.67pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 1.90%

(+0.05pp From Last Election)

_PARTY LEVEL PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 43 Seats

(-6 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 37 Seats

(-8 From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 23 Seats

(+4 From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 21 Seats

(-6 From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 19 Seats

(+8 From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 9 Seats

(+8 From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 7 Seats

(+6 From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 5 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 5 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 24.54%

(-2.65pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 19.55%

(-5.33pp From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 12.49%

(+2.24pp From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 11.90%

(-3.20pp From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 9.04%

(+3.06pp From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 5.34%

(+2.94pp From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 4.89%

(+1.67pp From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 4.73%

(+0.39pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 4.12%

(-0.05pp From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0.97%

(+0.84pp From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0.19%

(-0.11pp From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.14%

(NEW PARTY)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0.14%

(-0.30pp From Last Election)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0.11%

(NEW PARTY)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.09%

(-0.10pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 1.76%

(+0.35pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Bulgaria General Election]2021(J) FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21(J) PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Bulgaria, we are projecting that There Is Such A People is likely to be the largest group in the next National Assembly after surpassing Coat Of Arms within a key race margin, which is less than 10%p. Also, the 3rd place is closely fought between Democratic Bulgaria and Socialists. And the following parties – Rights & Freedom, Stand Up!, Revival – are expected to be entering parliament, and Bulgarian Patriots will fail to do that.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 72 Seats

(+21 From Last Election)

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 49 Seats

(-26pp From Last Election)

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Lean-Right) : 37 Seats

(+10 From Last Election)

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 35 Seats

(-8 From Last Election)

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 29 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 12 Seats

(-2 From Last Election)

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 6 Seats

(+6 From Last Election)

Bulgarian Patriots(BP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Bulgarian Summer(BL / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Left Union For Clean & Holy Republic(LUCHR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 25.68%

(+8.02pp From Last Election)

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 17.31%

(-8.87pp From Last Election)

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Lean-Right) : 14.20%

(+4.75pp From Last Election)

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 11.08%

(-4.39pp From Last Election)

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 9.19%

(-1.32pp From Last Election)

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 4.91%

(+0.19pp From Last Election)

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 4.50%

(+2.05pp From Last Election)

Bulgarian Patriots(BP / Far-Right) : 2.84%

(-3.17pp From Last Election)

Bulgarian Summer(BL / Big Tent) : 1.40%

(-1.55pp From Last Election)

Left Union For Clean & Holy Republic(LUCHR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 0.55%

(+0.02pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 8.34%

(+4.37pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection (***Corrected From The Old Version That Had Little Bit Inaccurate Numbers.)

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 21.29%

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 21.21%

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 16.23%

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Lean-Right) : 11.73%

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 11.12%

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 5.55%

Bulgarian Patriots(BP / Far-Right) : 4.16%

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 2.47%

Bulgarian Summer(BL / Big Tent) : 1.05%

Left Union For Clean & Holy Republic(LUCHR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 0.61%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 4.58%

_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS

_Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Bulgaria General Election]2021(A) FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

FINAL ’21(A) PROJECTION

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Bulgaria, Coats Of Arms – the main governing party – will be remaining as the largest group in the next parliament. It is followed by BSP(Bulgarian Socialist Party) For Bulgaria with a similar margin on 2017. On the other hand, There Is Such A People – a new party led by Slavi Trifonov and The Movement for Rights and Freedoms continues on with over 10% each. Also, Democratic Bulgaria, Stand Up! Get Out!, Bulgarian National Movement, Will Movement are expected to receive some seats after crossing 4% threshold needed to win seats.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 29.32%

(-7.31pp From Last Election)

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 21.97%

(-5.92pp From Last Election)

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 12.05%

(NEW PARTY)

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 11.58%

(+2.36pp From Last Election)

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Center Big Tent) : 5.90%

(-2.53pp From Last Election)

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 4.86%

(NEW PARTY)

Bulgarian National Movement(BMPO / Far-Right) : 4.29%

(-5.01pp From Last Election)

Will Movement(VOL / Far-Right) : 4.27%

(+0.02pp From Last Election)

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 1.19%

(NEW PARTY)

Alternative For Bulgarian Revival(ABV / Center-Left) : 0.82%

(-0.77pp From Last Election)

Republicans For Bulgaria(RB / Center-Right) : 0.52%

(NEW PARTY)

Attack(ATA / Far-Right) : 0.41%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.82%

(+0.13pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17x5R8urGepn6b7dRvgFF7ZqzJMxh3XFwNq6uExrZ-S0/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Europe

[Netherlands General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in the Netherlands, People’s Party for Freedom & Democracy led by current Prime Minister Mark Rutte will be remaining as the largest party. Also, the following three parties, Party for Freedom, Democrats 66, Christian Democratic Appeal are the second tiers with only little changes from TK2017. On the other hand, Labour Party, Socialist Party, GreenLeft, and 8 other parties will enter the new parliament.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

People’s Party for Freedom & Democracy(VVD / Center-Right) : 33 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Party for Freedom(PVV / Far-Right) : 20 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Democrats 66(D66 / Center) : 18 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Appeal(CDA / Center-Right) : 17 Seats

(-2 From Last Election)

Labour Party(PvdA / Center-Left) : 11 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Socialist Party(SP / Left-wing) : 11 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

GreenLeft(GL / Left-wing) : 10 Seats

(-4 From Last Election)

Christian Union(CU / Lean-Right) : 6 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Party for the Animals(PvdD / Left-wing) : 6 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Forum for Democracy(FvD / Right-wing) : 6 seats

(+4 From Last Election)

Volt Netherlands(VOLT / Lean-Left) : 3 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

Reformed Political Party(SGP / Right-wing) : 3 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Right Answer 2021 / Juiste Antwoord 2021(JA21 / Right-wing) : 3 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

Think / Equal / Denk(DENK / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

50PLUS(50+ / Center) : 1 Seat

(-3 From Last Election)

Together1(BIJ1 / Far-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Farmer-Citizen Movement(BBB / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Others(ANDERE / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

People’s Party for Freedom & Democracy(VVD / Center-Right) : 21.62%

(+0.34pp From Last Election)

Party for Freedom(PVV / Far-Right) : 13.26%

(+0.21pp From Last Election)

Democrats 66(D66 / Center) : 11.41%

(-0.82pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Appeal(CDA / Center-Right) : 10.92%

(-1.46pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(PvdA / Center-Left) : 7.39%

(+1.69pp From Last Election)

Socialist Party(SP / Left-wing) : 7.00%

(-2.09pp From Last Election)

GreenLeft(GL / Left-wing) : 6.37%

(-2.75pp From Last Election)

Christian Union(CU / Lean-Right) : 4.02%

(+0.63pp From Last Election)

Party for the Animals(PvdD / Left-wing) : 3.77%

(+0.58pp From Last Election)

Forum for Democracy(FvD / Right-wing) : 3.58%

(+1.80pp From Last Election)

Volt Netherlands(VOLT / Lean-Left) : 2.26%

(NEW PARTY)

Reformed Political Party(SGP / Right-wing) : 2.12%

(+0.04pp From Last Election)

Right Answer 2021 / Juiste Antwoord 2021(JA21 / Right-wing) : 1.72%

(NEW PARTY)

Think / Equal / Denk(DENK / Center-Left) : 1.50%

(-0.55pp From Last Election)

50PLUS(50+ / Center) : 0.89%

(-2.22pp From Last Election)

Together1(BIJ1 / Far-Left) : 0.60%

(+0.33pp From Last Election)

Farmer-Citizen Movement(BBB / Big Tent) : 0.39%

(NEW PARTY)

Others(ANDERE / Mixed) : 1.18%

(-0.08pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qiAp8m1WY_sIj6Smlv9e6eaRFRDCZiDUFoHDGS3Dlqw/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Europe

[Spain Catalonia General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Spain Catalonia, we are projecting that the Pro-Independence Parties – including Together For Catalonia, Republican Left, Popular Unity Candidacy – are likely to retain the majority in the next parliament over the Anti-Independence Parties – Socialists, Citizens, Voice, People’s Party. A Government between the Pro-Independence Parties and In Common We Can is also possible at this stage.

_Poll Base Projection

-Seat Projection

Pro-Independence : 68 Seats

(-2 From Last Election)

Anti-Independence : 58 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Neutral : 9 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

————————————————–

Together For Catalonia(JUNTS / Big Tent – Pro-Independence) : 31 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Republican Left(ERC / Center-Left – Pro-Independence) : 29 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Socialist Party(PSC-PSOE / Center-Left – Anti-Independence) : 28 Seats

(+11 From Last Election)

Citizens(Cs / Lean-Left – Anti-Independence) : 12 Seats

(-24 From Last Election)

Voice(VOX / Far-Right – Anti-Independence) : 10 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

In Common We Can(ECP / Left-wing – Neutral) : 9 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Popular Unity Candidacy(CUP / Left-wing – Pro-Independence) : 8 Seats

(+4 From Last Election)

People’s Party(PPC / Center-Right – Anti-Independence) : 8 Seats

(+4 From Last Election)

European Democratic Party(PDeCAT / Center-Right – Pro-Independence) : 0 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed – Neutral) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Pro-Independence : 49.55%

(+1.83pp From Last Election)

Anti-Independence : 42.92%

(-0.73pp From Last Election)

Neutral : 7.53%

(-1.10pp From Last Election)

————————————————–

Socialist Party(PSC-PSOE / Center-Left – Anti-Independence) : 22.62%

(+8.70pp From Last Election)

Together For Catalonia(JUNTS / Big Tent – Pro-Independence) : 20.98%

(-0.78pp From Last Election)

Republican Left(ERC / Center-Left – Pro-Independence) : 20.53%

(-0.95pp From Last Election)

Citizens(Cs / Lean-Left – Anti-Independence) : 8.72%

(-16.75pp From Last Election)

In Common We Can(ECP / Left-wing – Neutral) : 7.13%

(-0.36pp From Last Election)

Voice(VOX / Far-Right – Anti-Independence) : 6.48%

(NEW PARTY)

Popular Unity Candidacy(CUP / Left-wing – Pro-Independence) : 6.22%

(+1.74pp From Last Election)

People’s Party(PPC / Center-Right – Anti-Independence) : 5.10%

(+0.84pp From Last Election)

European Democratic Party(PDeCAT / Center-Right – Pro-Independence) : 1.82%

(NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed – Neutral) : 0.40%

(-0.74pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18nS8LUumjJu2qFmfXOTGXh7jPm67GvCQIfOsm1b-f9Y/

_Globe Elections UN VIDEO

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Europe

[Portugal Presidential Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Portugal, we are projecting that the incumbent president Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa will be re-elected after defeating Ana Gomes, his nearest contender by a significant margin.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa(PSD / Center-Right) : 61.54%

(+7.38pp From Last Election)

Ana Gomes(PS / Center-Left) : 13.85%

(-14.34pp From Last Election)

André Ventura(CHEGA! / Far-Right) : 10.29%

(NEW PARTY)

Marisa Matias(BE / Left-wing) : 5.23%

(-4.89pp From Last Election)

João Ferreira(CDU / Far-Left) : 4.94%

(+1.00pp From Last Election)

Tiago Mayan(IL / Lean-Right) : 2.55%

(NEW PARTY)

Vitorino Silva(RIR / Big Tent) : 1.60%

(-1.68pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YbEx_vDC6zGD5eDfglhMbpj_XtmqA3Hcd5hhwtLhaDY/

_VIDEO

: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nVU7G9S2IfE

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/