Europe

[Bulgaria Presidential Election]2021 2nd Round FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21 R2 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Bulgaria, we are projecting that Rumen Radev will defeat Anastas Gerdzhikov and will be re-elected.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Rumen Radev(BSPzB / Center-Left) : 61.66%

(-0.49pp From Last Election)

Anastas Gerdzhikov(GERB / Center-Right) : 38.34%

(+0.49pp From Last Election)

_PROVINCE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

-Other Races

SC-24(Sofia(C-24)) – RADEV +12.46pp

VA(Varna) – RADEV +12.66pp

BU(Burgas) – RADEV +14.54pp

PC(Plovdiv(C)) – RADEV +14.54pp

SC-23(Sofia(C-23)) – RADEV +15.96pp

BL(Blagoevgrad) – RADEV +16.48pp

SC-25(Sofia(C-25)) – RADEV +16.74pp

GA(Gabrovo) – RADEV +16.98pp

SL(Sliven) – RADEV +20.62pp

PE(Pernik) – RADEV +20.72pp

KY(Kyustendil) – RADEV +20.74pp

SI(Silistra) – RADEV +24.86pp

RU(Ruse) – RADEV +25.48pp

SM(Smolyan) – RADEV +25.50pp

SP(Sofia(P)) – RADEV +26.36pp

SZ(Stara Zagora) – RADEV+26.56pp

PP(Plovdiv(P)) – RADEV +26.56pp

LO(Lovech) – RADEV +26.82pp

SH(Shumen) – RADEV +26.96pp

PA(Pazardzhik) – RADEV +27.74pp

MO(Montana) – RADEV +31.40pp

VI(Vidin) – RADEV +31.74pp

VR(Vratsa) – RADEV +31.84pp

YA(Yambol) – RADEV +32.44pp

HA(Haskovo) – RADEV +33.28pp

DO(Dobrich) – RADEV +33.74pp

VT(Veliko Tarnovo) – RADEV +34.42pp

RA(Razgrad) – RADEV +35.48pp

PL(Pleven) – RADEV +35.72pp

KA(Kardzhali) – RADEV +41.56pp

TA(Targovishte) – RADEV +45.04pp

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard


R1 BASE ’21 R2 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s R1 BASE Projection in Bulgaria, we are projecting that Rumen Radev will defeat Anastas Gerdzhikov and will be re-elected.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Rumen Radev(BSPzB / Center-Left) : 64.73%

(+2.58pp From Last Election)

Anastas Gerdzhikov(GERB / Center-Right) : 35.27%

(-2.58pp From Last Election)

_PROVINCE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

SC-24(Sofia(C-24)) – RADEV +5.84pp

-Other Races

SC-25(Sofia(C-25)) – RADEV +10.08pp

PE(Pernik) – RADEV +14.32pp

GA(Gabrovo) – RADEV +14.76pp

PC(Plovdiv(C)) – RADEV +15.52pp

KY(Kyustendil) – RADEV +15.60pp

VA(Varna) – RADEV +16.30pp

SP(Sofia(P)) – RADEV +21.16pp

SC-23(Sofia(C-23)) – RADEV +23.32pp

LO(Lovech) – RADEV +24.90pp

PP(Plovdiv(P)) – RADEV +27.28pp

SL(Sliven) – RADEV +27.72pp

YA(Yambol) – RADEV +28.92pp

SZ(Stara Zagora) – RADEV+29.16pp

VI(Vidin) – RADEV +29.54pp

BU(Burgas) – RADEV +30.30pp

PA(Pazardzhik) – RADEV +30.32pp

VR(Vratsa) – RADEV +30.62pp

VT(Veliko Tarnovo) – RADEV +32.80pp

BL(Blagoevgrad) – RADEV +34.20pp

DO(Dobrich) – RADEV +35.76pp

RU(Ruse) – RADEV +35.96pp

SH(Shumen) – RADEV +38.98pp

SM(Smolyan) – RADEV +40.80pp

MO(Montana) – RADEV +41.80pp

SI(Silistra) – RADEV +42.62pp

HA(Haskovo) – RADEV +46.74pp

RA(Razgrad) – RADEV +54.20pp

PL(Pleven) – RADEV +38.52pp

TA(Targovishte) – RADEV +49.56pp

KA(Kardzhali) – RADEV +72.84pp

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Bulgaria General Election]2021(N) FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21(N) PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Bulgaria, we are projecting that Coat Of Arms is likely to be the largest party and the current largest There Is Such A People goes down significantly. The race for the 2nd place is very close between the Socialists & We Continue The Change as well as the 5th place between Rights & Freedoms, Democratic Bulgaria. Stand Up! We Are Coming! and Revival, National Movement are not expected to cross the 4% thershold nationally.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Coat Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 68 Seats

(+5 From Last Election)

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Center-Left) : 45 Seats

(+9 From Last Election)

We Continue The Change(PP / Lean-Left) : 41 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 34 Seats

(-31 From Last Election)

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 26 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Lean-Right) : 26 Seats

(-8 From Last Election)

Stand Up! We Are Coming!(IBGNI / Big Tent) : 0 Seats

(-13 From Last Election)

Revival(VAZ / Right-wing) : 6 Seats

(+6 From Last Election)

National Movement(VMRO / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Coat Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 24.62%

(+1.11pp From Last Election)

We Continue The Change(PP / Lean-Left) : 15.90%

(NEW PARTY)

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Center-Left) : 15.20%

(+1.81pp From Last Election)

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 12.01%

(-12.07pp From Last Election)

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 10.69%

(-0.01pp From Last Election)

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Lean-Right) : 9.90%

(-2.74pp From Last Election)

Stand Up! We Are Coming!(IBGNI / Big Tent) : 3.79%

(-1.22pp From Last Election)

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 2.79%

(-0.22pp From Last Election)

National Movement(VMRO / Far-Right) : 1.51%

(-1.63pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 3.59%

(-0.92pp From Last Election)

_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS

_Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Bulgaria Presidential Election]2021 1st Round FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21 R1 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Bulgaria, we are projecting that it Rumen Radev will win the R1 over Anastas Gerdzhikov, but it is still unsure whether will R2 be held or not.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Rumen Radev(BSPzB / Center-Left) : 48.45%

(+16.11pp From Last Election)

Anastas Gerdzhikov(GERB / Center-Right) : 26.49%

(-3.96pp From Last Election)

Mustafa Karadayi(DPS / Center) : 9.68%

(+2.66pp From Last Election)

Lozan Panov(DB / Lean-Right) : 7.00%

(NEW PARTY)

Kostadin Kostadinov(VAZ / Right-wing) : 2.68%

(NEW PARTY)

Milen Mihov(VMRO / Far-Right) : 1.09%

(-14.77pp From Last Election)

Luna Yordanova(IND / Big Tent) : 0.66%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 3.95%

(-10.39pp From Last Election)

_PROVINCE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

TA(Targovishte) – KARADAYI +7.58pp

SH(Shumen) – RADEV +8.34pp

-Other Races

SI(Silistra) – RADEV +10.85pp

BL(Blagoevgrad) – RADEV +12.38pp

RA(Razgrad) – KARADAYI +12.84pp

SC-24(Sofia(C-24)) – RADEV +14.98pp

SC-23(Sofia(C-23)) – RADEV +16.47pp

VA(Varna) – RADEV +16.87pp

BU(Burgas) – RADEV +17.40pp

SC-25(Sofia(C-25)) – RADEV +22.01pp

SL(Sliven) – RADEV +22.16pp

RU(Ruse) – RADEV +22.35pp

PC(Plovdiv(C)) – RADEV +22.40pp

SM(Smolyan) – RADEV +22.50pp

PA(Pazardzhik) – RADEV +23.62pp

GA(Gabrovo) – RADEV +25.26pp

HA(Haskovo) – RADEV +27.74pp

DO(Dobrich) – RADEV +28.65pp

PE(Pernik) – RADEV +28.79pp

LO(Lovech) – RADEV +29.13pp

SZ(Stara Zagora) – RADEV+29.85pp

KY(Kyustendil) – RADEV +30.20pp

PP(Plovdiv(P)) – RADEV +30.59pp

SP(Sofia(P)) – RADEV +31.40pp

MO(Montana) – RADEV +33.05pp

VT(Veliko Tarnovo) – RADEV +33.91pp

VR(Vratsa) – RADEV +34.10pp

PL(Pleven) – RADEV +35.64pp

VI(Vidin) – RADEV +35.79pp

YA(Yambol) – RADEV +38.15pp

KA(Kardzhali) – KARADAYI +39.83pp

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Iceland General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Independence Party(D / Right-wing) : 13 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Progressive Party(B / Lean-Right) : 11 Seats

(+3 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Alliance(S / Center-Left) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Left Green Movement(V / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(-4 From Last Election)

Pirate Party(P / Big Tent) : 7 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Socialist Party(J / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

People’s Party(F / Big Tent) : 5 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Reform Party(C / Lean-Right) : 4 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Center Party(M / Center) : 4 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Others(O / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Independence Party(D / Right-wing) : 21.67%

(-3.58pp From Last Election)

Progressive Party(B / Lean-Right) : 14.44%

(+3.73pp From Last Election)

Social Democratic Alliance(S / Center-Left) : 12.90%

(+0.85pp From Last Election)

Left Green Movement(V / Left-wing) : 11.06%

(-5.83pp From Last Election)

Pirate Party(P / Big Tent) : 10.38%

(+1.18pp From Last Election)

Reform Party(C / Lean-Right) : 10.25%

(+3.56pp From Last Election)

Center Party(M / Center) : 6.24%

(-4.63pp From Last Election)

Socialist Party(J / Left-wing) : 6.15%

(NEW PARTY)

People’s Party(F / Big Tent) : 6.14%

(+1 From Last Election)

Others(O / Mixed) : 0.77%

(-0.69pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Norway General Election]2021 FINAL Results & Projection Analysis

FINAL ’21 RESULTS

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s LIVE Projection in Norway, Red Coalition has gained the majority in the next Storting after winning over Blue Coalition.

_COALITION LEVEL RESULTS

-Seat Results

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 97 Seats

(+17 From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 68 Seats

(-20 From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 3 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Results

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 52.05%

(+6.23pp From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 42.37%

(-6.74pp From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 3.92%

(+0.70pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 1.66%

(-0.19pp From Last Election)

_PARTY LEVEL RESULTS

-Seat Projection

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 48 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 36 Seats

(-9 From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 28 Seats

(+9 From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 21 Seats

(-6 From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 13 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 8 Seats

(+7 From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 3 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 3 Seats

(-5 From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Results

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 26.08%

(-1.11pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 20.22%

(-4.66pp From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 13.42%

(+3.17pp From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 11.54%

(-3.56pp From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 7.59%

(+1.61pp From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 4.69%

(+2.29pp From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 4.58%

(+0.24pp From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 4.89%

(+0.70pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 3.77%

(-0.40pp From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 1.14%

(+1.01pp From Last Election)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0.63%

(+0.19pp From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0.35%

(+0.05pp From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.33%

(NEW PARTY)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0.26%

(NEW PARTY)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.15%

(-0.04pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 1.33%

(-0.08pp From Last Election)

_PROJECTION ANALYSIS

-Average Error Analysis

Globe Elections UN(FINAL Projection) : 0.55%

—————————————————–

TV2(Exit Poll) : 0.48%

Pollofpolls.no(Poll Of Polls) : 0.65%

NRK(Exit Poll) : 0.69%

Estimite(Estimation) : 0.72%

PolitPro(Trend) : 0.74%

Europe Elects(Average) : 0.77%

Politico(Poll Of Polls) : 0.82%

-Standard Error Analysis

Globe Elections UN(FINAL Projection) : 0.73%

—————————————————–

TV2(Exit Poll) : 0.86%

Pollofpolls.no(Poll Of Polls) : 0.88%

PolitPro(Trend) : 0.99%

Europe Elects(Average) : 1.03%

Politico(Poll Of Polls) : 1.04%

Estimite(Estimation) : 1.08%

NRK(Exit Poll) : 1.08%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Russia General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Russia, United Russia will be retaining majority in the next State Duma, but a supermajority is uncertain.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

United Russia(UR / Right-wing Big Tent) : 300 Seats

(-43 From Last Election)

Communist Party(CPRF / Left-wing) : 69 Seats

(+27 From Last Election)

Liberal Democratic Party(LDPR / Far-Right) : 41 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

A Just Russia+For Truth(AJR+FT / Center-Left) : 27 Seats

(+4 From Last Election)

Independent(IND / Mixed) : 5 Seats

(+4 From Last Election)

Yabloko(YAB / Lean-Left) : 2 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Rodina(ROD / Far-Right) : 2 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Russian Party Of Pensioners For Social Justice(RPPSJ / Center) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

The Communists(CPCR / Far-Left) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

Party Of Growth(ROST / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(+4 From Last Election)

Civic Platform(CP / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

New People(NP / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

The Greens(REPTG / Center-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Russian Party Of Freedom & Justice(RPFJ / Center-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Green Alternative(GA / Left-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

United Russia(UR / Right-wing Big Tent) : 40.34%

(-14.89pp From Last Election)

Communist Party(CPRF / Left-wing) : 22.66%

(+9.07pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democratic Party(LDPR / Far-Right) : 12.35%

(-1.04pp From Last Election)

A Just Russia+For Truth(AJR+FT / Center-Left) : 10.82%

(+3.88pp From Last Election)

Russian Party Of Pensioners For Social Justice(RPPSJ / Center) : 3.14%

(+1.38pp From Last Election)

New People(NP / Lean-Right) : 2.67%

(NEW PARTY)

The Communists(CPCR / Far-Left) : 1.93%

(-0.38pp From Last Election)

Yabloko(YAB / Lean-Left) : 1.59%

(-0.45pp From Last Election)

Rodina(ROD / Far-Right) : 1.21%

(-0.33pp From Last Election)

The Greens(REPTG / Center-Left) : 1.07%

(+0.30pp From Last Election)

Russian Party Of Freedom & Justice(RPFJ / Center-Left) : 0.80%

(NEW PARTY)

Party Of Growth(ROST / Center-Right) : 0.75%

(-0.57pp From Last Election)

Green Alternative(GA / Left-wing) : 0.41%

(NEW PARTY)

Civic Platform(CP / Center-Right) : 0.26%

(+0.04pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Norway General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Norway, Red Coalition will be gaining the majority in the next Storting very likely as they are ahead of Blue Coalition.

_COALITION LEVEL PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 94 Seats

(+14 From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 68 Seats

(-20 From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 7 Seats

(+6 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 51.52%

(+5.70pp From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 41.69%

(-7.42pp From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 4.89%

(+1.67pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 1.90%

(+0.05pp From Last Election)

_PARTY LEVEL PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 43 Seats

(-6 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 37 Seats

(-8 From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 23 Seats

(+4 From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 21 Seats

(-6 From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 19 Seats

(+8 From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 9 Seats

(+8 From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 7 Seats

(+6 From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 5 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 5 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 24.54%

(-2.65pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 19.55%

(-5.33pp From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 12.49%

(+2.24pp From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 11.90%

(-3.20pp From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 9.04%

(+3.06pp From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 5.34%

(+2.94pp From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 4.89%

(+1.67pp From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 4.73%

(+0.39pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 4.12%

(-0.05pp From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0.97%

(+0.84pp From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0.19%

(-0.11pp From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.14%

(NEW PARTY)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0.14%

(-0.30pp From Last Election)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0.11%

(NEW PARTY)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.09%

(-0.10pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 1.76%

(+0.35pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Bulgaria General Election]2021(J) FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21(J) PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Bulgaria, we are projecting that There Is Such A People is likely to be the largest group in the next National Assembly after surpassing Coat Of Arms within a key race margin, which is less than 10%p. Also, the 3rd place is closely fought between Democratic Bulgaria and Socialists. And the following parties – Rights & Freedom, Stand Up!, Revival – are expected to be entering parliament, and Bulgarian Patriots will fail to do that.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 72 Seats

(+21 From Last Election)

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 49 Seats

(-26pp From Last Election)

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Lean-Right) : 37 Seats

(+10 From Last Election)

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 35 Seats

(-8 From Last Election)

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 29 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 12 Seats

(-2 From Last Election)

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 6 Seats

(+6 From Last Election)

Bulgarian Patriots(BP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Bulgarian Summer(BL / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Left Union For Clean & Holy Republic(LUCHR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 25.68%

(+8.02pp From Last Election)

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 17.31%

(-8.87pp From Last Election)

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Lean-Right) : 14.20%

(+4.75pp From Last Election)

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 11.08%

(-4.39pp From Last Election)

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 9.19%

(-1.32pp From Last Election)

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 4.91%

(+0.19pp From Last Election)

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 4.50%

(+2.05pp From Last Election)

Bulgarian Patriots(BP / Far-Right) : 2.84%

(-3.17pp From Last Election)

Bulgarian Summer(BL / Big Tent) : 1.40%

(-1.55pp From Last Election)

Left Union For Clean & Holy Republic(LUCHR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 0.55%

(+0.02pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 8.34%

(+4.37pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection (***Corrected From The Old Version That Had Little Bit Inaccurate Numbers.)

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 21.29%

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 21.21%

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 16.23%

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Lean-Right) : 11.73%

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 11.12%

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 5.55%

Bulgarian Patriots(BP / Far-Right) : 4.16%

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 2.47%

Bulgarian Summer(BL / Big Tent) : 1.05%

Left Union For Clean & Holy Republic(LUCHR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 0.61%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 4.58%

_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS

_Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Bulgaria General Election]2021(A) FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

FINAL ’21(A) PROJECTION

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Bulgaria, Coats Of Arms – the main governing party – will be remaining as the largest group in the next parliament. It is followed by BSP(Bulgarian Socialist Party) For Bulgaria with a similar margin on 2017. On the other hand, There Is Such A People – a new party led by Slavi Trifonov and The Movement for Rights and Freedoms continues on with over 10% each. Also, Democratic Bulgaria, Stand Up! Get Out!, Bulgarian National Movement, Will Movement are expected to receive some seats after crossing 4% threshold needed to win seats.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 29.32%

(-7.31pp From Last Election)

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 21.97%

(-5.92pp From Last Election)

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 12.05%

(NEW PARTY)

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 11.58%

(+2.36pp From Last Election)

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Center Big Tent) : 5.90%

(-2.53pp From Last Election)

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 4.86%

(NEW PARTY)

Bulgarian National Movement(BMPO / Far-Right) : 4.29%

(-5.01pp From Last Election)

Will Movement(VOL / Far-Right) : 4.27%

(+0.02pp From Last Election)

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 1.19%

(NEW PARTY)

Alternative For Bulgarian Revival(ABV / Center-Left) : 0.82%

(-0.77pp From Last Election)

Republicans For Bulgaria(RB / Center-Right) : 0.52%

(NEW PARTY)

Attack(ATA / Far-Right) : 0.41%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.82%

(+0.13pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17x5R8urGepn6b7dRvgFF7ZqzJMxh3XFwNq6uExrZ-S0/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Europe

[Netherlands General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in the Netherlands, People’s Party for Freedom & Democracy led by current Prime Minister Mark Rutte will be remaining as the largest party. Also, the following three parties, Party for Freedom, Democrats 66, Christian Democratic Appeal are the second tiers with only little changes from TK2017. On the other hand, Labour Party, Socialist Party, GreenLeft, and 8 other parties will enter the new parliament.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

People’s Party for Freedom & Democracy(VVD / Center-Right) : 33 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Party for Freedom(PVV / Far-Right) : 20 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Democrats 66(D66 / Center) : 18 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Appeal(CDA / Center-Right) : 17 Seats

(-2 From Last Election)

Labour Party(PvdA / Center-Left) : 11 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Socialist Party(SP / Left-wing) : 11 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

GreenLeft(GL / Left-wing) : 10 Seats

(-4 From Last Election)

Christian Union(CU / Lean-Right) : 6 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Party for the Animals(PvdD / Left-wing) : 6 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Forum for Democracy(FvD / Right-wing) : 6 seats

(+4 From Last Election)

Volt Netherlands(VOLT / Lean-Left) : 3 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

Reformed Political Party(SGP / Right-wing) : 3 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Right Answer 2021 / Juiste Antwoord 2021(JA21 / Right-wing) : 3 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

Think / Equal / Denk(DENK / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

50PLUS(50+ / Center) : 1 Seat

(-3 From Last Election)

Together1(BIJ1 / Far-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Farmer-Citizen Movement(BBB / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Others(ANDERE / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

People’s Party for Freedom & Democracy(VVD / Center-Right) : 21.62%

(+0.34pp From Last Election)

Party for Freedom(PVV / Far-Right) : 13.26%

(+0.21pp From Last Election)

Democrats 66(D66 / Center) : 11.41%

(-0.82pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Appeal(CDA / Center-Right) : 10.92%

(-1.46pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(PvdA / Center-Left) : 7.39%

(+1.69pp From Last Election)

Socialist Party(SP / Left-wing) : 7.00%

(-2.09pp From Last Election)

GreenLeft(GL / Left-wing) : 6.37%

(-2.75pp From Last Election)

Christian Union(CU / Lean-Right) : 4.02%

(+0.63pp From Last Election)

Party for the Animals(PvdD / Left-wing) : 3.77%

(+0.58pp From Last Election)

Forum for Democracy(FvD / Right-wing) : 3.58%

(+1.80pp From Last Election)

Volt Netherlands(VOLT / Lean-Left) : 2.26%

(NEW PARTY)

Reformed Political Party(SGP / Right-wing) : 2.12%

(+0.04pp From Last Election)

Right Answer 2021 / Juiste Antwoord 2021(JA21 / Right-wing) : 1.72%

(NEW PARTY)

Think / Equal / Denk(DENK / Center-Left) : 1.50%

(-0.55pp From Last Election)

50PLUS(50+ / Center) : 0.89%

(-2.22pp From Last Election)

Together1(BIJ1 / Far-Left) : 0.60%

(+0.33pp From Last Election)

Farmer-Citizen Movement(BBB / Big Tent) : 0.39%

(NEW PARTY)

Others(ANDERE / Mixed) : 1.18%

(-0.08pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qiAp8m1WY_sIj6Smlv9e6eaRFRDCZiDUFoHDGS3Dlqw/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/