CALCULATED ’23 RESULTS

_Globe Elections UN Video
_Abia
_Adamawa
_Akwa Ibom
_Bauchi
_Bayelsa
_Benue
_Borno
_Cross River
_Delta
_Ebonyi
_Enugu
_Gombe
_Imo
_Jigawa
_Kaduna
_Kano
_Katsina
_Kebbi
_Kogi
_Kwara
_Lagos
_Nasarawa
_Niger
_Ogun
_Oyo
_Plateau
_Rivers
_Sokoto
_Taraba
_Yobe
_Zamfara
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Abia

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 84.64%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 5.86%

All Progressives Grand Alliance(APGA / Big Tent) : 5.72%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 2.27%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.32%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.19%

_Adamawa

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 46.98%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 19.94%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 11.88%

African Democratic Congress(ADC / Big Tent) : 11.82%

Social Democratic Party(SDP / Center-Left) : 7.26%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.89%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.23%

_Akwa Ibom

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 43.63%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 27.05%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 24.45%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 1.47%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 3.40%

_Bauchi

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 71.28%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 13.72%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 5.13%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 4.57%

People’s Redemption Party(PRP / Center-Left) : 2.92%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.38%

_Bayelsa

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 58.57%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 23.08%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 16.77%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.39%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.19%

_Benue

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 43.74%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 35.65%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 18.32%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.61%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.68%

_Borno

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 62.57%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 31.03%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 1.17%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 1.12%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 4.11%

_Cross River

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 45.28%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 28.47%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 24.01%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.40%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.84%

_Delta

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 59.87%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 28.30%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 9.89%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.49%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.28%

_Ebonyi

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 85.52%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 8.27%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 4.44%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.49%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.28%

_Enugu

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 95.41%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 3.50%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.36%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 0.16%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.57%

_Gombe

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 71.83%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 18.58%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 5.89%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 1.60%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.10%

_Imo

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 68.37%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 10.54%

All Progressives Grand Alliance(APGA / Big Tent) : 6.24%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 5.71%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.28%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 8.86%

_Jigawa

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 45.79%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 40.95%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 10.60%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 0.20%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.46%

_Kaduna

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 43.00%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 26.01%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 22.85%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 6.52%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.62%

_Kano

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 56.31%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 18.20%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 17.56%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 3.80%

People’s Redemption Party(PRP / Center-Left) : 2.95%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.18%

_Katsina

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 58.14%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 34.58%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 5.63%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 0.76%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.89%

_Kebbi

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 56.67%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 38.87%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 1.46%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 1.05%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.95%

_Kogi

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 63.01%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 23.24%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 9.00%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.92%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 3.83%

_Kwara

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 62.15%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 24.98%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 5.69%

Social Democratic Party(SDP / Center-Left) : 4.92%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.69%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.57%

_Lagos

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 68.97%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 25.40%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 3.30%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.73%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.60%

_Nasarawa

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 27.58%

Social Democratic Party(SDP / Center-Left) : 23.56%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 17.55%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 13.49%

All Progressives Grand Alliance(APGA / Big Tent) : 12.18%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 1.60%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 4.04%

_Niger

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 42.74%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 35.40%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 12.11%

Action Democratic Party(ADP / Center) : 3.54%

All Progressives Grand Alliance(APGA / Big Tent) : 3.35%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 2.38%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.48%

_Ogun

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 60.69%

Allied Peoples Movement(APM / Big Tent) : 11.76%

African Democratic Congress(ADC / Big Tent) : 9.53%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 9.26%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 6.41%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.30%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.05%

_Oyo

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 49.58%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 28.93%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 15.67%

Accord(A / Big Tent) : 3.69%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.55%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.58%

_Plateau

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 39.67%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 33.33%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 20.74%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.85%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 5.41%

_Rivers

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 38.87%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 31.65%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 19.60%

Social Democratic Party(SDP / Center-Left) : 5.14%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.27%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 4.47%

_Sokoto

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 56.73%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 41.34%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 1.29%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.21%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.43%

_Taraba

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 38.67%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 29.93%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 22.23%

All Progressives Grand Alliance(APGA / Big Tent) : 2.55%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 2.38%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 4.24%

_Yobe

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 69.66%

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 25.13%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 3.34%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 0.85%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.02%

_Zamfara

All Progressives Congress(APC / Center Big Tent) : 52.73%

Peoples Democratic Party(PDP / Center-Right) : 42.49%

New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP / Center) : 0.75%

Labour Party(LP / Center-Left) : 0.36%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 3.67%

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 Nigeria Governor Election Calculated Results was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 2023 Nigeria Presidential Election Results, 2019 Nigeria Presidential & Governor Election Results, Vote Flow / Shift between them.

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

FINAL ’22 R1 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s 1st Round FINAL Projection in Kenya, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close Raila Odinga & William Ruto, with the projected margin being historically narrow.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection (Presidential)

Raila Odinga(AZIMIO / Center-Left) : 48.98%

(+4.16pp From Last Election)

William Ruto(KK / Center-Right) : 48.93%

(-5.34pp From Last Election)

George Wajackoyah(RPK / Big Tent) : 1.78%

(NEW PARTY)

David Mwaure(AP / Left-wing) : 0.31%

(NEW PARTY)

-Vote Share Projection (General)

Declaration Of Unity(AZIMIO / Center Big Tent) : 49.06%

(+18.95pp From Last Election)

Kenya First(KK / Center-Right) : 47.42%

(+0.13pp From Last Election)

Roots Party(RPK / Big Tent) : 1.98%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.54%

(-21.06pp From Last Election)

_REGION PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

NR(Narok) – ODINGA +2.64pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

DI(Diaspora) – ODINGA +2.67pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

NY(Nyamira) – ODINGA +4.00pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

KJ(Kajiado) – RUTO +5.39pp

WA(Wajir) – ODINGA +6.19pp

SA(Samburu) – ODINGA +8.82pp

IS(Isiolo) – ODINGA +9.44pp

-Other Races

LM(Lamu) – ODINGA +11.06pp

NA(Nairobi) – ODINGA +11.52pp

GA(Garissa) – ODINGA +11.96pp

TR(Tana River) – ODINGA +15.57pp

TU(Turkana) – ODINGA +17.81pp

TR(Trans Nzoia) – ODINGA +18.56pp

KS(Kisii) – ODINGA +20.58pp

WP(West Pokot) – RUTO +20.78pp

BG(Bungoma) – ODINGA +44.17pp

MO(Mombasa) – ODINGA +47.46pp

UG(Uasin Gishu) – RUTO +47.49pp

TT(Taita Taveta) – ODINGA +49.78pp

MD(Mandera) – RUTO +52.99pp

KW(Kwale) – ODINGA +56.46pp

MS(Marsabit) – RUTO + 61.97pp

NK(Nakuru) – RUTO +63.83pp

BA(Baringo) – RUTO +63.84pp

KT(Kitui) – ODINGA +64.79pp

MC(Machakos) – ODINGA +67.21pp

ND(Nandi) – RUTO +68.66pp

BO(Bomet) – RUTO +69.34pp

KL(Kilifi) – ODINGA +71.73pp

ME(Meru) – RUTO +72.44pp

LK(Laikipia) – RUTO +74.20pp

MI(Migori) – ODINGA +74.76pp

BS(Busia) – ODINGA +77.39pp

KK(Kakamega) – ODINGA +78.47pp

EB(Embu) – RUTO +79.44pp

KA(Kiambu) – RUTO +81.73pp

VI(Vihiga) – ODINGA +82.07pp

TH(Tharaka Nithi) – RUTO +82.25pp

KE(Kericho) – RUTO +82.52pp

MK(Makueni) – ODINGA +84.13pp

EM(Elgeyo Marakwet) – RUTO +86.60pp

MU(Muranga) – RUTO +94.43pp

KR(Kirinyaga) – RUTO +95.97pp

NE(Nyeri) – RUTO +96.30pp

KM(Kisumu) – ODINGA +96.33pp

NA(Nyandarua) – RUTO +97.03pp

SI(Siaya) – ODINGA +98.56pp

HB(Homa Bay) – ODINGA +99.00pp

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 Kenya Presidential Election R1 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(total 72,658 unweighted / 41,141 weighted sample size – presidential, total 60,253 unweighted / 32,014 weighted sample size – general) fieldwork done between 7/26 and 8/2. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.