[Canada Alberta General Election]2023 FINAL Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’23 PROJECTION

1. _FULL GRAPHICS
2. _HEADLINE
3. _SEAT PROJECTION
4. _VOTE SHARE PROJECTION
5. _FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
6. _RESEARCH INFORMATION
7. _Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboards

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_FULL GRAPHICS

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_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Canada Alberta, we are projecting that it is EXTREMELY CLOSE between Danielle Smith’s United Conservatives & Rachel Notley’s New Democrats.

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_SEAT PROJECTION

United Conservative Party(UCP / Right-wing) : 46 Seats

(-17 From Last Election)

New Democratic Party(NDP / Center-Left) : 41 Seats

(+17 From Last Election)

Alberta Party(AP / Center) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Liberal Party(LIB / Center) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Wildrose Independence Party(WIP / Right-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Solidarity Movement(SM / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

The Independence Party(TIP / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

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_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

United Conservative Party(UCP / Right-wing) : 48.14%

(-6.79pp From Last Election)

New Democratic Party(NDP / Center-Left) : 46.66%

(+13.94pp From Last Election)

Alberta Party(AP / Center) : 1.87%

(-7.22pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 0.93%

(+0.52pp From Last Election)

Liberal Party(LIB / Center) : 0.50%

(-0.48pp From Last Election)

Wildrose Independence Party(WIP / Right-wing) : 0.24%

(-0.28pp From Last Election)

Solidarity Movement(SM / Big Tent) : 0.15%

(NEW PARTY)

The Independence Party(TIP / Big Tent) : 0.05%

(-0.66pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.46%

(+0.72pp From Last Election)

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_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

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_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 Canada Alberta General Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 14 polling data(19,690 unweighted / 16,374 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 5/21 and 5/28.

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

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_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboards

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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[United Kingdom General Election]2023 May Projection / Prediction / Forecast

MAY ’23 PROJECTION

1. _Globe Elections UN Video
2. _HEADLINE
3. _SEAT PROJECTION
4. _VOTE SHARE PROJECTION
5. _FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
6. _RESEARCH INFORMATION
7. _Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboards

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_Globe Elections UN Video

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_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s May Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will likely take the majority over the Conservatives in the next parliament.

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_SEAT PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 344 Seats

(-19 From Apr ’23, +141 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 210 Seats

(+17 From Apr ’23, -155 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 46 Seats

(+2 From Apr ’23, -2 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 27 Seats

(+1 From Apr ’23, +16 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+2 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 3 Seats

(-1 From Apr ’23, -1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(-1 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Right-wing Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(-1 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’23, +1 From Last Election)

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_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 43.68%

(-1.85pp From Apr ’23, +11.52pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 28.19%

(+0.63pp From Apr ’23, -15.44pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 10.43%

(+1.16pp From Apr ’23, -1.12pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Right-wing Big Tent) : 5.61%

(-0.11pp From Apr ’23, +3.60pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.12%

(+0.31pp From Apr ’23, +2.42pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 3.45%

(+0.09pp From Apr ’23, -0.43pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.48%

(+0.07pp From Apr ’23, +0.41pp From Last Election)

Party Of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.45%

(-0.33pp From Apr ’23, -0.03pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.59%

(+0.03pp From Apr ’23, -0.93pp From Last Election)

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_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

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_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 United Kingdom General Election May Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 11 polling data(20,646 unweighted / 18,585 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/23 and 4/30.

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

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_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboards

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

[United Kingdom General Election]2023 April Projection / Prediction / Forecast

APRIL ’23 PROJECTION

1. _Globe Elections UN Video
2. _HEADLINE
3. _SEAT PROJECTION
4. _VOTE SHARE PROJECTION
5. _FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
6. _RESEARCH INFORMATION
7. _Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboards

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_Globe Elections UN Video

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_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s April Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will take the majority over the Conservatives in the next parliament.

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_SEAT PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 363 Seats

(-32 From Mar ’23, +160 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 193 Seats

(+28 From Mar ’23, -172 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 44 Seats

(-6 From Mar ’23, -4 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 26 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’23, +15 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 6 Seats

(-2 From Mar ’23, -2 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 4 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 2 Seats

(+1 From Mar ’23, +1 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Mar ’23, +1 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Right-wing Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’23, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’23, +1 From Last Election)

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_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 45.53%

(-1.74pp From Mar ’23, +13.37pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 27.56%

(+2.11pp From Mar ’23, -16.07pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.27%

(+0.24pp From Mar ’23, -2.28pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Right-wing Big Tent) : 5.72%

(-0.82pp From Mar ’23, +3.71pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 4.81%

(-0.23pp From Mar ’23, +2.11pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 3.36%

(-0.37pp From Mar ’23, -0.52pp From Last Election)

Party Of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.78%

(+0.02pp From Mar ’23, +0.30pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.41%

(+0.21pp From Mar ’23, +0.34pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.56%

(+0.58pp From Mar ’23, -0.96pp From Last Election)

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_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

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_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 United Kingdom General Election April Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 11 polling data(17,886 unweighted / 15,494 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 3/24 and 3/31.

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

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_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboards

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

[United Kingdom General Election]2023 March Projection / Prediction / Forecast

MARCH ’23 PROJECTION

1. _Globe Elections UN Video
2. _HEADLINE
3. _SEAT PROJECTION
4. _VOTE SHARE PROJECTION
5. _FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
6. _RESEARCH INFORMATION
7. _Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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_Globe Elections UN Video

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_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will take the majority in the next parliament.

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_SEAT PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 395 Seats

(+14 From Feb ’23, +192 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 155 Seats

(-25 From Feb ’23, -210 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 50 Seats

(-5 From Feb ’23, +2 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 26 Seats

(+16 From Feb ’23, +15 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 4 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Right-wing Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +1 From Last Election)

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_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 47.27%

(-0.34pp From Feb ’23, +15.11pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 25.45%

(+2.10pp From Feb ’23, -18.18pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.03%

(-0.13pp From Feb ’23, -2.52pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Right-wing Big Tent) : 6.54%

(+0.19pp From Feb ’23, +4.53pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.04%

(-0.88pp From Feb ’23, +2.34pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 3.73%

(-0.72pp From Feb ’23, -0.15pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.76%

(+0.00pp From Feb ’23, +0.28pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.20%

(+0.09pp From Feb ’23, +0.13pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.98%

(-0.31pp From Feb ’23, -1.54pp From Last Election)

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_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

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_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 United Kingdom General Election March Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 10 polling data(15,936 unweighted / 14,775 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 2/21 and 2/28.

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

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_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboards

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

[United Kingdom General Election]2023 February Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FEBRUARY ’23 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

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_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will take the majority in the next parliament.

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_SEAT PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 381 Seats

(+178 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 180 Seats

(-185 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 55 Seats

(+7 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 10 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 4 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

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_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 47.61%

(+15.45pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 23.35%

(-20.28pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.16%

(-2.39pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 6.35%

(+4.34pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.92%

(+3.22pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.45%

(+0.57pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.76%

(+0.28pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.11%

(+0.04pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.29%

(-1.23pp From Last Election)

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_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

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_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 United Kingdom General Election February Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 11 polling data(44,068 unweighted / 28,219 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 1/24 and 1/31.

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

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_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

[United Kingdom General Election]2022 February Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FEBRUARY ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will be the largest party in the next parliament but be short of the majority by 42 seats most likely. Also, the Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP) is ahead at this stage with 367 seats, being ahead of Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP)‘s 253 by 114.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 304 Seats

(+77 From Oct ’21, +101 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 246 Seats

(-90 From Oct ’21, -119 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 56 Seats

(+2 From Oct ’21, +8 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 20 Seats

(+12 From Oct ’21, +9 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+1 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 6 Seats

(-1 From Oct ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 4 Seats

(-1 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 2 Seats

(+1 From Oct ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(-1 From Oct ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Oct ’21, +1 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 40.19%

(+6.55pp From Oct ’21, +8.03pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 32.97%

(-6.89pp From Oct ’21, -10.66pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.31%

(+1.05pp From Oct ’21, -2.52pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.22%

(-1.30pp From Oct ’21, +2.54pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.47%

(+0.06pp From Oct ’21, +0.59pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.69%

(+0.00pp From Oct ’21, -0.32pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.70%

(+0.01pp From Oct ’21, +0.22pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.22%

(-0.07pp From Oct ’21, +0.16pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 5.23%

(+0.59pp From Oct ’21, +1.61pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 40.74%

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 33.24%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 10.34%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.29%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.53%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.28%

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.71%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.22%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.65%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 October Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

OCTOBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s October Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Conservatives will be the largrest party in the next parliament with a majority of 22 seats most likely. Also, the Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 345 seats, being ahead of Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 298 by 47.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 336 Seats

(-7 From Sep ’21, -29 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 227 Seats

(+6 From Sep ’21, +24 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 54 Seats

(+1 From Sep ’21, +6 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8 Seats

(-1 From Sep ’21, -3 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, -1 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 6 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, -1 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 39.86%

(-0.85pp From Sep ’21, -3.77pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 33.64%

(+0.71pp From Sep ’21, +1.48pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.26%

(-0.31pp From Sep ’21, -3.57pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.52%

(+0.40pp From Sep ’21, +3.84pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.41%

(+0.19pp From Sep ’21, +0.53pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.69%

(-0.88pp From Sep ’21, -0.32pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.69%

(-0.08pp From Sep ’21, +0.21pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.29%

(-0.10pp From Sep ’21, +0.23pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 4.64%

(+0.92pp From Sep ’21, +1.02pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 40.12%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 34.04%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.17%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.60%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.47%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.27%

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.69%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.29%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.35%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 September Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

SEPTEMBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Conservatives will be the largrest party in the next parliament with a majority of 42 seats most likely. Also, the Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 352 seats, being ahead of Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 292 by 60.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 343 Seats

(+11 From Aug ’21, -22 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 221 Seats

(-11 From Aug ’21, +18 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 53 Seats

(+1 From Aug ’21, +5 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9 Seats

(+0 From Aug ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 7 Seats

(-1 From Aug ’21, -1 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 6 Seats

(-1 From Aug ’21, -1 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(+0 From Aug ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 2 Seats

(+2 From Aug ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 40.71%

(+0.97pp From Aug ’21, -2.92pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 32.93%

(-1.94pp From Aug ’21, +0.77pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.57%

(+0.76pp From Aug ’21, -3.26pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.12%

(+0.29pp From Aug ’21, +3.44pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.22%

(+0.30pp From Aug ’21, +0.34pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.57%

(+0.91pp From Aug ’21, +0.56pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.77%

(-0.08pp From Aug ’21, +0.29pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.39%

(-0.13pp From Aug ’21, +0.33pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.72%

(-1.08pp From Aug ’21, +0.10pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 40.66%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 33.07%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.43%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.15%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.23%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 3.43%

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.77%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.39%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.87%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 August Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

AUGUST ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s August Projection in the United Kingdom(UK), we are projecting that the Conservatives will be the largrest party in the next parliament with a majority of 14 seats most likely. Also, the Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 340 seats, being ahead of Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 303 by 37.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 332 Seats

(-17 From Jul ’21, -36 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 232 Seats

(+19 From Jul ’21, +29 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 52 Seats

(-3 From Jul ’21, +4 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9 Seats

(+1 From Jul ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(+1 From Jul ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 39.74%

(-1.53pp From Jul ’21, -3.89pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 34.87%

(+2.56pp From Jul ’21, +2.71pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7.81%

(-0.38pp From Jul ’21, -4.02pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.83%

(+0.36pp From Jul ’21, +3.15pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 3.92%

(-0.73pp From Jul ’21, +0.04pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.66%

(+0.11pp From Jul ’21, -0.35pp From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.85%

(-0.01pp From Jul ’21, +0.37pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.52%

(+0.41pp From Jul ’21, +0.46pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 4.80%

(-0.79pp From Jul ’21, +1.18pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 40.05%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 35.33%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.68%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.90%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 3.98%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.24%

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.86%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.53%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.43%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 July Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

JULY ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s July Projection in the United Kingdom(UK), we are projecting that the Conservatives will likely retain majority in the next parliament with a majority of 48 seats. Also, the potential Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 357 seats, being ahead of potential Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 286 by 71.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 349 Seats

(-11 From Jun ’21, -19 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 213 Seats

(+8 From Jun ’21, +10 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 55 Seats

(+1 From Jun ’21, +7 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8 Seats

(+1 From Jun ’21, -3 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Sinn Féin / We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(+1 From Jun ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 41.27%

(-1.66pp From Jun ’21, -2.36pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 32.31%

(-0.06pp From Jun ’21, +0.15pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.19%

(+0.72pp From Jun ’21, -3.64pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.47%

(-0.24pp From Jun ’21, +2.79pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.65%

(+0.29pp From Jun ’21, +0.77pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.55%

(+0.22pp From Jun ’21, -0.46pp From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.86%

(+0.14pp From Jun ’21, +0.38pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.11%

(-0.19pp From Jun ’21, +0.05pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 5.59%

(+0.78pp From Jun ’21, +1.97pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 41.76%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 32.87%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.14%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.57%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.73%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.11%

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.87%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.11%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.84%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard