FEBRUARY ’22 PROJECTION
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will be the largest party in the next parliament but be short of the majority by 42 seats most likely. Also, the Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP) is ahead at this stage with 367 seats, being ahead of Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP)‘s 253 by 114.
_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection
Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 304 Seats
(+77 From Oct ’21, +101 From Last Election)
Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 246 Seats
(-90 From Oct ’21, -119 From Last Election)
Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 56 Seats
(+2 From Oct ’21, +8 From Last Election)
Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 20 Seats
(+12 From Oct ’21, +9 From Last Election)
We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats
(+1 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)
Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 6 Seats
(-1 From Oct ’21, -2 From Last Election)
Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 4 Seats
(-1 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)
Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 2 Seats
(+1 From Oct ’21, +1 From Last Election)
Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats
(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)
Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat
(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)
Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 1 Seat
(-1 From Oct ’21, +1 From Last Election)
Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)
UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)
Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seat
(+1 From Oct ’21, +1 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection
Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 40.19%
(+6.55pp From Oct ’21, +8.03pp From Last Election)
Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 32.97%
(-6.89pp From Oct ’21, -10.66pp From Last Election)
Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.31%
(+1.05pp From Oct ’21, -2.52pp From Last Election)
Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.22%
(-1.30pp From Oct ’21, +2.54pp From Last Election)
Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.47%
(+0.06pp From Oct ’21, +0.59pp From Last Election)
Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.69%
(+0.00pp From Oct ’21, -0.32pp From Last Election)
Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.70%
(+0.01pp From Oct ’21, +0.22pp From Last Election)
UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.22%
(-0.07pp From Oct ’21, +0.16pp From Last Election)
Others(OTH / Mixed) : 5.23%
(+0.59pp From Oct ’21, +1.61pp From Last Election)
_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection
Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 40.74%
Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 33.24%
Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 10.34%
Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.29%
Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.53%
Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.28%
Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.71%
UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.22%
Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.65%