Europe, United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2022 February Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FEBRUARY ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will be the largest party in the next parliament but be short of the majority by 42 seats most likely. Also, the Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP) is ahead at this stage with 367 seats, being ahead of Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP)‘s 253 by 114.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 304 Seats

(+77 From Oct ’21, +101 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 246 Seats

(-90 From Oct ’21, -119 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 56 Seats

(+2 From Oct ’21, +8 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 20 Seats

(+12 From Oct ’21, +9 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+1 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 6 Seats

(-1 From Oct ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 4 Seats

(-1 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 2 Seats

(+1 From Oct ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(-1 From Oct ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Oct ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Oct ’21, +1 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 40.19%

(+6.55pp From Oct ’21, +8.03pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 32.97%

(-6.89pp From Oct ’21, -10.66pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.31%

(+1.05pp From Oct ’21, -2.52pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.22%

(-1.30pp From Oct ’21, +2.54pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.47%

(+0.06pp From Oct ’21, +0.59pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.69%

(+0.00pp From Oct ’21, -0.32pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.70%

(+0.01pp From Oct ’21, +0.22pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.22%

(-0.07pp From Oct ’21, +0.16pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 5.23%

(+0.59pp From Oct ’21, +1.61pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 40.74%

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 33.24%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 10.34%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.29%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.53%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.28%

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.71%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.22%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.65%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe, United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 October Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

OCTOBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s October Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Conservatives will be the largrest party in the next parliament with a majority of 22 seats most likely. Also, the Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 345 seats, being ahead of Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 298 by 47.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 336 Seats

(-7 From Sep ’21, -29 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 227 Seats

(+6 From Sep ’21, +24 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 54 Seats

(+1 From Sep ’21, +6 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8 Seats

(-1 From Sep ’21, -3 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, -1 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 6 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, -1 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 39.86%

(-0.85pp From Sep ’21, -3.77pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 33.64%

(+0.71pp From Sep ’21, +1.48pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.26%

(-0.31pp From Sep ’21, -3.57pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.52%

(+0.40pp From Sep ’21, +3.84pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.41%

(+0.19pp From Sep ’21, +0.53pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.69%

(-0.88pp From Sep ’21, -0.32pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.69%

(-0.08pp From Sep ’21, +0.21pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.29%

(-0.10pp From Sep ’21, +0.23pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 4.64%

(+0.92pp From Sep ’21, +1.02pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 40.12%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 34.04%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.17%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.60%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.47%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.27%

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.69%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.29%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.35%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe, United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 September Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

SEPTEMBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Conservatives will be the largrest party in the next parliament with a majority of 42 seats most likely. Also, the Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 352 seats, being ahead of Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 292 by 60.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 343 Seats

(+11 From Aug ’21, -22 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 221 Seats

(-11 From Aug ’21, +18 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 53 Seats

(+1 From Aug ’21, +5 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9 Seats

(+0 From Aug ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 7 Seats

(-1 From Aug ’21, -1 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 6 Seats

(-1 From Aug ’21, -1 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(+0 From Aug ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 2 Seats

(+2 From Aug ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 40.71%

(+0.97pp From Aug ’21, -2.92pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 32.93%

(-1.94pp From Aug ’21, +0.77pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.57%

(+0.76pp From Aug ’21, -3.26pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.12%

(+0.29pp From Aug ’21, +3.44pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.22%

(+0.30pp From Aug ’21, +0.34pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.57%

(+0.91pp From Aug ’21, +0.56pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.77%

(-0.08pp From Aug ’21, +0.29pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.39%

(-0.13pp From Aug ’21, +0.33pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.72%

(-1.08pp From Aug ’21, +0.10pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 40.66%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 33.07%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.43%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.15%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.23%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 3.43%

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.77%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.39%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.87%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe, United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 August Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

AUGUST ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s August Projection in the United Kingdom(UK), we are projecting that the Conservatives will be the largrest party in the next parliament with a majority of 14 seats most likely. Also, the Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 340 seats, being ahead of Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 303 by 37.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 332 Seats

(-17 From Jul ’21, -36 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 232 Seats

(+19 From Jul ’21, +29 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 52 Seats

(-3 From Jul ’21, +4 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9 Seats

(+1 From Jul ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(+1 From Jul ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jul ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 39.74%

(-1.53pp From Jul ’21, -3.89pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 34.87%

(+2.56pp From Jul ’21, +2.71pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7.81%

(-0.38pp From Jul ’21, -4.02pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.83%

(+0.36pp From Jul ’21, +3.15pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 3.92%

(-0.73pp From Jul ’21, +0.04pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.66%

(+0.11pp From Jul ’21, -0.35pp From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.85%

(-0.01pp From Jul ’21, +0.37pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.52%

(+0.41pp From Jul ’21, +0.46pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 4.80%

(-0.79pp From Jul ’21, +1.18pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 40.05%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 35.33%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.68%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.90%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 3.98%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.24%

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.86%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.53%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.43%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe, United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 July Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

JULY ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s July Projection in the United Kingdom(UK), we are projecting that the Conservatives will likely retain majority in the next parliament with a majority of 48 seats. Also, the potential Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 357 seats, being ahead of potential Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 286 by 71.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 349 Seats

(-11 From Jun ’21, -19 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 213 Seats

(+8 From Jun ’21, +10 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 55 Seats

(+1 From Jun ’21, +7 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8 Seats

(+1 From Jun ’21, -3 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Sinn Féin / We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(+1 From Jun ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jun ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 41.27%

(-1.66pp From Jun ’21, -2.36pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 32.31%

(-0.06pp From Jun ’21, +0.15pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.19%

(+0.72pp From Jun ’21, -3.64pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.47%

(-0.24pp From Jun ’21, +2.79pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.65%

(+0.29pp From Jun ’21, +0.77pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.55%

(+0.22pp From Jun ’21, -0.46pp From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.86%

(+0.14pp From Jun ’21, +0.38pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.11%

(-0.19pp From Jun ’21, +0.05pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 5.59%

(+0.78pp From Jun ’21, +1.97pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 41.76%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 32.87%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.14%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.57%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.73%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.11%

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.87%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.11%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.84%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe, United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 June Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

JUNE ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s June Projection in the United Kingdom(UK), we are projecting that the Conservatives will retain majority in the next parliament with a big majority of 70 seats. Also, the potential Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 368 seats, being ahead of potential Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 274 by 94.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 360 Seats

(+18 From May ’21, -8 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 205 Seats

(-21 From May ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 54 Seats

(+1 From May ’21, +6 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+2 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7 Seats

(-1 From May ’21, -4 From Last Election)

Sinn Féin / We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 4 Seats

(-1 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(-1 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(-1 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 42.93%

(+0.77pp From May ’21, -0.70pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 32.37%

(-2.78pp From May ’21, +0.21pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7.47%

(+0.61pp From May ’21, -4.36pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.71%

(+0.49pp From May ’21, +3.03pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.36%

(+0.14pp From May ’21, +0.48pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.33%

(-0.02pp From Apr ’21, -0.68pp From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.72%

(-0.19pp From May ’21, +0.24pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.30%

(-0.10pp From May ’21, +0.24pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 4.81%

(+1.08pp From May ’21, +1.19pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 43.23%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 32.78%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.30%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.78%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.41%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.04%

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.73%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.30%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.43%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe, United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 May Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s May Projection in the United Kingdom(UK), we are projecting that the Conservatives are likely to be retaining majority in the next parliament with a majority of 28 seats. Also, the potential Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 346 seats, being ahead of potential Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+AP+SDLP+GRN)‘s 297 by 49.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 339 Seats

(-3 From Apr ’21, -26 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 226 Seats

(+4 From Apr ’21, +23 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 53 Seats

(-1 From Apr ’21, +5 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8 Seats

(+1 From Apr ’21, -3 From Last Election)

Sinn Féin / We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Apr ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 6 Seats

(+0 From Apr ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(-1 From Apr ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Apr ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Apr ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 42.16%

(+0.09pp From Apr ’21, -1.47pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 35.15%

(+0.42pp From Apr ’21, +2.99pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 6.86%

(+0.27pp From Apr ’21, -4.97pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.22%

(+0.22pp From Apr ’21, +2.54pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.22%

(-0.22pp From Apr ’21, +0.34pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.35%

(-0.06pp From Apr ’21, -0.66pp From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.91%

(-0.82pp From Apr ’21, +0.43pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.40%

(-0.73pp From Apr ’21, +0.34pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.73%

(+0.83pp From Apr ’21, +0.11pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 42.24%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 35.41%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7.57%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.26%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.25%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.06%

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.92%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.41%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.88%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1gn6n8aOQiDOZ9sFV2D_oHt3gllKZ8KJy47CFIVlrZ3c/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Europe, United Kingdom

[United Kingdom Scotland General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in the United Kingdom(UK) Scotland, we are projecting that the Scottish Nationals could possibly gain majority in the next parliament with a majority of 1 seat at the most likeliest outcome. Also, the potential Pro-Independence Alliance(SNP+GRN+ALBA) will have a absolute majority with 76 seats, after being ahead of potential Anti-Independence Alliance(CON+LAB+LD+AFU+RUK+UKIP)‘s 53 by 23 seats.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 65 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 28 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 20 Seats

(-4 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 11 Seats

(+5 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 5 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Scotland Party(ALBA / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

All For Unity(AFU / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Proportional(=Regional) Vote Share Projection

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 37.81%

(-3.91pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 22.32%

(-0.61pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 17.61%

(-1.46pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 10.01%

(+3.43pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 5.92%

(+0.70pp From Last Election)

Scotland Party(ALBA / Big Tent) : 3.10%

(NEW PARTY)

All For Unity(AFU / Big Tent) : 0.81%

(NEW PARTY)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0.30%

(NEW PARTY)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.08%

(-1.95pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.04%

(-0.41pp From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 48.75%

(+2.25pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 21.27%

(-0.75pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 20.77%

(-1.79pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 6.92%

(-0.90pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1.22%

(+0.64pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.07%

(+0.55pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_xLi0yWCmSEB_kgaQ-7GG3e_xgMWG4dcGyibx9qaL8Y/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Europe, United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 April Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s April Projection in the United Kingdom(UK), we are projecting that the Conservatives are very likely to be retaining majority in the next parliament with a majority of 34 seats. Also, the potential Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 349 seats, being ahead of potential Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+AP+SDLP+GRN)‘s 294 by 55.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 342 Seats

(+5 From Mar ’21, -23 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 222 Seats

(-6 From Mar ’21, +19 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 54 Seats

(+2 From Mar ’21, +6 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7 Seats

(-1 From Mar ’21, -4 From Last Election)

Sinn Féin / We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 6 Seats

(+1 From Mar ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 6 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 42.07%

(+1.00pp From Mar ’21, -1.56pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 34.73%

(-0.93pp From Mar ’21, +2.57pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 6.59%

(+0.22pp From Mar ’21, -5.24pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.00%

(+0.44pp From Mar ’21, +2.32pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.44%

(+0.47pp From Mar ’21, +0.56pp From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 1.73%

(+0.13pp From Mar ’21, +1.25pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.41%

(-0.05pp From Mar ’21, -0.60pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 1.13%

(+0.40pp From Mar ’21, +1.07pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.90%

(-1.68pp From Mar ’21, -0.72pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 42.45%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 35.24%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7.33%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.08%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.51%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.16%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 1.15%

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 0.76%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.32%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FX-r1wsPrevLkXCJ7BMibNCMTgie9ZFPtPjqMmAZuvQ/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/