Category: Asia

Election Results & Projection / Prediction / Forecasts From Asia. Does Not Include South Korea, Israel.

Asia

[Iran Presidential Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

mglee05

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Iran, we are projecting Ebrahim Raisi will be elected as the next Iran President after obtaining more than 50% of the votes, and completely preventing a runoff or 2nd Round.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Ebrahim Raisi(CCA / Right-wing) : 80.72%

(+41.29pp From Last Election)

Mohsen Rezaee(RFII / Lean-Left) : 10.43%

(NEW PARTY)

Abdolnaser Hemmati(ECP / Center) : 5.42%

(-53.96pp From Last Election)

Amir-Hossein Ghazizadeh Hashemi(IPL / Center-Right) : 3.43%

(+2.24pp From Last Election)

-Turnout Projection

Registered Voters : 59,310,307

Total Voters Projected To Vote : 25,165,008

Turnout Projection : 42.43%

_DEPARTMENTAL PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

(None)

-Other Races

KU(Kurdistan) – RAISI +47.42pp

AB(Abroad) – RAISI +57.98pp

TE(Tehran) – RAISI +60.89pp

AL(Alborz) – RAISI +61.27pp

EA(East Azerbaijan) – RAISI +62.03pp

WA(West Azerbaijan) – RAISI +63.23pp

GI(Gilan) – RAISI +63.25pp

QA(Qazvin) – RAISI +64.91pp

MZ(Mazandaran) – RAISI +66.51pp

IS(Alborz) – RAISI +66.79pp

QO(Qom) – RAISI +67.24pp

AR(Ardebil) – RAISI +68.40pp

YA(Yazd) – RAISI +69.44pp

ZA(Zanjan) – RAISI +69.87pp

KS(Kermanshah) – RAISI +69.90pp

MR(Markazi) – RAISI +71.45pp

S&B(Sistan & Baluchestan) – RAISI +71.63pp

HA(Hamedan) – RAISI +71.69pp

C&B(Chaharmahal & Bakhtiari) – RAISI +72.80pp

SE(Semnan) – RAISI +72.85pp

GO(Golestan) – RAISI +73.94pp

KH(Khuzestan) – RAISI +74.00pp

HO(Khuzestan) – RAISI +75.70pp

LO(Lorestan) – RAISI +75.81pp

FA(Fars) – RAISI +76.88pp

IL(Ilam) – RAISI +76.99pp

NK(North Khorasan) – RAISI +77.79pp

RK(Razavi Khorasan) – RAISI +77.89pp

BU(Bushehr) – RAISI +79.70pp

KE(Kerman) – RAISI +80.71pp

K&B(Kohgiluyeh & Boyer Ahmad) – RAISI +86.55pp

SK(South Khorasan) – RAISI +88.88pp

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections UN VIDEO

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

GLOBAL PROJECTION / PREDICTION / FORECAST DASHBOARD
Asia

[2020 Taiwan Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu Recall Election]Final Results

mglee05

Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu has been removed from office with 42.14% turnout and 97.40% agreeing to pass the recall motion. 969,259 out of the 2,299,981 registered voters has voted today. The recall has passed with a agreement rate of 97.40%(939,090/964,141). According to the official results by CEC, 2.60%(25,051/964,141) of the voters voted against to recall Han Kuo-yu.

_

Spreadsheet Link For Projection/Prediction And Analysis :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1A6CVXzCCi4XZyeXvFGSSa-WxtWXboeSzstt0_zKctU8/

Official Results Link :

https://web.cec.gov.tw/central/cms/109news/33404

Asia

[2020 Taiwan Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu Recall Election]Final Projection/Prediction

mglee05

Globe Elections United Network is projecting that Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu will be ousted with 41.82% turnout and 85.51% agreeing to pass the recall motion. 961,832 out of the 2,299,981 registered voters are expected to vote. The recall will pass with a agreement rate of 85.51%, or 822,433 people will agree for recalling Han Kuo-yu. According to GEUN projection, there will be 14.49% disagreement rate. This means that 139,399 voters will vote against the motion.

_

Spreadsheet Link For Projection/Prediction And Analysis :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1A6CVXzCCi4XZyeXvFGSSa-WxtWXboeSzstt0_zKctU8/

Asia

[2020 Malaysia Sabah Kimanis By-Election]Live Results

mglee05

#Counting Numbers Calculated After the Forecasted Turnout of 80.08%

Final Results

All of the votes in. Officialy.

BN’s Mohamad Alamin leads over WARISAN-PH’s Karim Bujang by 2,029 votes or 8.68pp.

Outcome : Hold BN.

93.4% Counted

93.4% of the votes in.

BN’s Mohamad Alamin leads over WARISAN-PH’s Karim Bujang by 1,792 votes or 8.08pp.

Projection : Likely BN.

81.7% Counted

81.7% of the votes in.

BN’s Mohamad Alamin leads over WARISAN-PH’s Karim Bujang by 1,739 votes or 8.96pp.

Projection : Likely BN.

75.4% Counted

75.4% of the votes in.

BN’s Mohamad Alamin leads over WARISAN-PH’s Karim Bujang by 1,604 votes or 8.96pp.

Projection : Leaning BN.

58.7% Counted

58.7% of the votes in.

BN’s Mohamad Alamin leads over WARISAN-PH’s Karim Bujang by 1,159 votes or 8.30pp.

Projection : Leaning BN.

54.4% Counted

54.4% of the votes in.

BN’s Mohamad Alamin leads over WARISAN-PH’s Karim Bujang by 1,159 votes or 8.30pp.

Projection : Leaning BN.

37.3% Counted

37.3% of the votes in.

BN’s Mohamad Alamin leads over WARISAN-PH’s Karim Bujang by 517 votes or 5.82pp.

Projection : Too Early To Call.

23.4% Counted

23.4% of the votes in.

BN’s Mohamad Alamin leads over WARISAN-PH’s Karim Bujang by 487 votes or 8.78pp.

Projection : Too Early To Call.

11.5% Counted

11.5% of the votes in.

BN’s Mohamad Alamin leads over WARISAN-PH’s Karim Bujang by 257 votes or 9.34pp.

Projection : Too Early To Call.

7.0% Counted

7.0% of the votes in.

BN’s Mohamad Alamin leads over WARISAN-PH’s Karim Bujang by 141 votes or 8.50pp.

Projection : Too Early To Call.

1.3% Counted

1.3% of the votes in.

WARISAN-PH’s Karim Bujang leads over BN’s Mohamad Alamin by 16 votes or 5.36pp.

Projection : Too Early To Call.

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Result Data From : https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/507580