Asia, South Korea

[South Korea General Election]2023 March Projection / Prediction / Forecast

MARCH ’23 PROJECTION

  1. _Globe Elections UN Video
  2. _HEADLINE
  3. _SEAT PROJECTION
  4. _VOTE SHARE PROJECTION (Proportional)
  5. _VOTE SHARE PROJECTION (Constituency)
  6. _FULL RESULTS/DETAILS
  7. _RESEARCH INFORMATION
  8. _Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

_Globe Elections UN Video

Overview

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Call between Democrats, led by Lee Jae-myung & People Power, led by Chung Jin-suk for the overall control of the next National Assembly.


_SEAT PROJECTION

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 153 Seats

(+7 From Feb ’23, +47 From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 140 Seats

(-14 From Feb ’23 -43 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JUS / Center-Left) : 7 Seats

(+7 From Feb ’23, +1 From Last Election)

Progressive Party(PRO / Left-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, -5 From Last Election)


_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION (Proportional)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 49.27%

(+2.19pp From Feb ’23, +7.94pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.07%

(-2.90pp From Feb ’23, +5.98pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 3.27%

(+0.30pp From Feb ’23, -6.40pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.39%

(+0.41pp From Feb ’23, -7.52pp From Last Election)


_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION (Constituency)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 49.58%

(-2.79pp From Feb ’23, -1.18pp From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.85%

(+2.47pp From Feb ’23, +4.44pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.69%

(+0.16pp From Feb ’23, -0.02pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.88%

(+0.16pp From Feb ’23, -3.24pp From Last Election)


_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS


_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 South Korea General Election March Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 17 polling data(total 22,672 unweighted / 21,084 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 2/21 and 2/28.

For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.


_Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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Asia, South Korea

[South Korea General Election]2023 February Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FEBRUARY ’23 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

Overview
Detail

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Call between Democrats, led by Lee Jae-myung & People Power, led by Chung Jin-suk for the overall control of the next National Assembly.


_SEAT PROJECTION

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 154 Seats

(+4 From Jan ’23 -29 From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 146 Seats

(+6 From Jan ’23, +40 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JUS / Center-Left) : 0 Seat

(-10 From Jan ’23, -6 From Last Election)

Progressive Party(PRO / Left-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jan ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Jan ’23, -5 From Last Election)


_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION (Proportional)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.97%

(+1.16pp From Jan ’23, +8.88pp From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.08%

(+0.20pp From Jan ’23, +5.75pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 2.97%

(-1.29pp From Jan ’23, -6.70pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.98%

(-0.07pp From Jan ’23, -7.93pp From Last Election)


_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION (Constituency)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 52.37%

(+0.87pp From Jan ’23, +1.61pp From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 45.38%

(-0.16pp From Jan ’23, +1.97pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.53%

(-0.68pp From Jan ’23, -0.18pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.72%

(-0.03pp From Jan ’23, -3.40pp From Last Election)


_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS


_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 South Korea General Election February Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 16 polling data(total 18,830 unweighted / 16,982 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 1/24 and 1/31.

For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.


_Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Asia, South Korea

[South Korea General Election]2023 January Projection / Prediction / Forecast

JANUARY ’23 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s January Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Call between Democrats, led by Lee Jae-myung & People Power, led by Chung Jin-suk for the control of the next National Assembly.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 150 Seats

(-63 From Dec ’22, -33 From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 140 Seats

(+58 From Dec ’22, +34 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JUS / Center-Left) : 10 Seats

(+5 From Dec ’22, +4 From Last Election)

Progressive Party(PRO / Left-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Dec ’22, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Dec ’22, -5 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection (Proportional)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 46.88%

(+5.97pp From Dec ’22, +5.55pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 46.81%

(-5.80pp From Dec ’22, +7.72pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 4.26%

(+0.28pp From Dec ’22, -5.41pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.05%

(-0.45pp From Dec ’22, -7.86pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection (Constituency)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 51.50%

(-8.88pp From Dec ’22, +0.74pp From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 45.54%

(+7.56pp From Dec ’22, +2.13pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 2.21%

(+1.47pp From Dec ’22, +0.50pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.75%

(-0.15pp From Dec ’22, -3.37pp From Last Election)

_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 South Korea General Election Jaunuary Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 18 polling data(total 19,664 unweighted / 19,164 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 12/24 and 12/31.

For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

_Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Asia, Israel

[Israel General Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Israel, Netanyahu Bloc, led by former PM Benjamin Netanyahu is likely to obtain around the majority of 61 seats, but however they’re facing a serious challenge from the Center Bloc led by incumbent PM Yair Lapid, as it is a Key Race between these two.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing) : 32 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

There Is A Future(YA / Center) : 25 Seats

(+8 From Last Election)

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right) : 13 Seats

(+7 From Last Election)

National Unity Party(NUP / Lean-Right) : 11 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent) : 8 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Israel Our Home(YB / Center-Right) : 6 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Labor Party(AVO / Center-Left) : 5 Seats

(-2 From Last Election)

Vigour(MER / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

United Arab List(RAAM / Big Tent) : 4 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

New + Renewal(HAD+TA / Left-wing Big Tent) : 4 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Jewish Home(JH / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(-7 From Last Election)

National Alliance(BAL / Left-wing) : 0 Seat

(-2 From Last Election)

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Youth On Fire(TB / Right-wing Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Economic Freedom Party(EFP / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing) : 24.93%

(+0.74pp From Last Election)

There Is A Future(YA / Center) : 19.21%

(+5.29pp From Last Election)

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right) : 10.22%

(+5.10pp From Last Election)

National Unity Party(NUP / Lean-Right) : 8.80%

(-2.57pp From Last Election)

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent) : 6.55%

(-0.62pp From Last Election)

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing) : 5.34%

(-0.29pp From Last Election)

Israel Our Home(YB / Center-Right) : 4.77%

(-0.86pp From Last Election)

Labor Party(AVO / Center-Left) : 3.97%

(-2.12pp From Last Election)

Vigour(MER / Left-wing) : 3.55%

(-1.04pp From Last Election)

United Arab List(RAAM / Big Tent) : 3.30%

(-0.49pp From Last Election)

New + Renewal(HAD+TA / Left-wing Big Tent) : 3.25%

(+0.04pp From Last Election)

Jewish Home(JH / Far-Right) : 1.84%

(-4.37pp From Last Election)

National Alliance(BAL / Left-wing) : 1.83%

(+0.22pp From Last Election)

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left) : 0.86%

(+0.07pp From Last Election)

Youth On Fire(TB / Right-wing Big Tent) : 0.61%

(NEW PARTY)

Economic Freedom Party(EFP / Big Tent) : 0.49%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.48%

(-0.20pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 Israel General Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 15 polling data(total 14,154 unweighted / 14,154 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 10/21 and 10/28. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Asia

[India Presidential Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in India, we are projecting that Draupadi Murmu will become the next president after defeating Yashwant Sinha.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Draupadi Murmu(NDA / Center Big Tent) : 62.08%

(-3.57pp From Last Election)

Yashwant Sinha(UO / Center-Left Big Tent) : 37.92%

(+3.57pp From Last Election)

_STATE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

BR(Bihar) – ​MURMU +4.52pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

-Other Races

RS(Rajya Sabha) – ​MURMU +11.48pp

MP(Madhya Pradesh) – ​MURMU +16.52pp

GJ(Gujarat) – ​MURMU +24.72pp

MH(Maharashtra) – ​MURMU +28.02pp

GA(Goa) – ​MURMU +28.20pp

RJ(Rajasthan) – ​SINHA +28.58pp

HR(Haryana) – ​MURMU +31.04pp

AS(Assam) – ​MURMU +31.20pp

HP(Himachal Pradesh) – ​MURMU +32.34pp

TN(Tamil Nadu) – ​SINHA +35.90pp

UP(Uttar Pradesh) – ​MURMU +36.66pp

KA(Karnataka) – ​MURMU +36.94pp

ML(Meghalaya) – ​MURMU +38.98pp

UT(Uttarakhand) – ​MURMU +45.72pp

TR(Tripura) – ​MURMU +45.76pp

JH(Jharkhand) – ​MURMU +48.14pp

LS(Lok Sabha) – ​MURMU +50.74pp

WB(West Bengal) – ​MURMU +51.36pp

PY(Puducherry) – ​MURMU +51.52pp

CT(Chhattisgarh) – ​SINHA +64.04pp

MZ(Mizoram) – ​MURMU +70.58pp

DL(Delhi) – ​SINHA +77.14pp

MN(Manipur) – ​MURMU +80.00pp

AR(Andhra Pradesh) – ​MURMU +83.34pp

OD(Odisha) – ​MURMU +86.40pp

PB(Punjab) – ​SINHA +89.74pp

TG(Telangana) – ​SINHA +94,96pp

AP(Andhra Pradesh) – ​MURMU +100.00pp

KL(Kerala) – ​SINHA +100.00pp

NL(Nagaland) – ​MURMU +100.00pp

SK(Sikkim) – ​MURMU +100.00pp

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 India Presidential Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects affiliation & endorsement of each political parties.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close in Gyeonggi & Chungnam, Too Close To Call in Sejong, and Key Race in Daejeon & Incheon.

_NATIONAL MAP

_GYEONGGI PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.63%

(+0.23pp From 5/25 ’22, +12.11pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.89%

(+0.56pp From 5/25 ’22, -10.52pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 4.57%

(-0.44pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Hwang Soon-sik(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.14%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -1.40pp From Last Election)

Song Young-ju(PRO / Left-wing) : 0.48%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -0.24pp From Last Election)

Seo Tae-sung(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.29%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_CHUNGNAM PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Tae-heum(PPP / Center-Right) : 51.16%

(-0.05pp From 5/25 ’22, +16.06pp From Last Election)

Yang Seung-jo(DPK / Lean-Left) : 48.84%

(+1.82pp From 5/25 ’22, -13.72pp From Last Election)

Choi Gi-bok(CCF / Lean-Right) : W/D

(-1.77pp From 5/25 ’22, -2.34pp From Last Election)

_SEJONG PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Choi Min-ho(PPP / Center-Right) : 52.39%

(+33.79pp From Last Election)

Lee Choon-hee(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.61%

(-23.70pp From Last Election)

_DAEJEON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jang-woo(PPP / Center-Right) : 54.69%

(+22.52pp From Last Election)

Heo Tae-jeong(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.31%

(-11.10pp From Last Election)

_INCHEON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Yoo Jeong-bok(PPP / Center-Right) : 53.20%

(-0.32pp From 5/25 ’22, +17.76pp From Last Election)

Park Nam-choon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 42.26%

(+0.31pp From 5/25 ’22, -15.41pp From Last Election)

Lee Jeong-mi(JUS / Center-Left) : 3.99%

(+0.29pp From 5/25 ’22, +1.17pp From Last Election)

Kim Han-byul(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.55%

(-0.28pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_CHUNGBUK PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Young-hwan(PPP / Center-Right) : 56.00%

(-0.49pp From 5/25 ’22, +26.34pp From Last Election)

Noh Young-min(DPK / Lean-Left) : 44.00%

(+0.49pp From 5/25 ’22, -17.16pp From Last Election)

_GANGWON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Jin-tae(PPP / Right-wing) : 56.76%

(+21.49pp From Last Election)

Lee Kwang-jae(DPK / Lean-Left) : 43.24%

(-21.49pp From Last Election)

_JEJU PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Young-hun(DPK / Lean-Left) : 55.11%

(+15.09pp From Last Election)

Heo Hyang-jin(PPP / Lean-Right) : 38.01%

(-16.98pp From Last Election)

Park Chan-sik(IND / Left-wing) : 5.12%

(NEW PARTY)

Boo Soon-jung(GRN / Left-wing) : 1.76%

(-1.78pp From Last Election)

_SEOUL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 59.32%

(+1.05pp From 5/25 ’22, +1.78pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 39.16%

(-0.60pp From 5/25 ’22, -0.03pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.21%

(-0.11pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Shin Ji-hye(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.19%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -0.30pp From Last Election)

Kim Gwang-jong(IND / Big Tent) : 0.12%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_GYEONGNAM PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Park Wan-su(PPP / Center-Right) : 64.84%

(+21.88pp From Last Election)

Yang Moon-seok(DPK / Lean-Left) : 28.85%

(-23.96pp From Last Election)

Yeo Yeong-gug(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.74%

(NEW PARTY)

Choi Jin-seok(UKP / Center-Left) : 1.57%

(NEW PARTY)

_INCHEON GYEYANG B PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 50.17%

(-8.50pp From Last Election)

Yoon Hyeong-seon(PPP / Center-Right) : 49.83%

(+11.08pp From Last Election)

_GYEONGGI SEONGNAM BUNDANG A PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Ahn Cheol-soo(PPP / Lean-Right) : 66.18%

(+16.11pp From Last Election)

Kim Byung-gwan(DPK / Center) : 33.82%

(-15.53pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 South Korea Governor Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 113 polling data(total 116,236 unweighted / 109,038 weighted sample size – including data for by-elections) fieldwork done mostly(exception for Gangwon) between 5/18 and 5/25. Governor Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/25 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/25 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 4

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.40%

(+0.00pp From 5/24 ’22, +11.88pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.43%

(-0.15pp From 5/24 ’22, -10.98pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 5.01%

(+0.07pp From 5/24 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.16%

(+0.08pp From 5/24 ’22, -5.91pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (CHUNGNAM)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Tae-heum(PPP / Center-Right) : 51.21%

(+0.29pp From 5/24 ’22, +16.11pp From Last Election)

Yang Seung-jo(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.02%

(-0.63pp From 5/24 ’22, -15.54pp From Last Election)

Choi Gi-bok(CCF / Lean-Right) : 1.77%

(+0.34pp From 5/24 ’22, -0.57pp From Last Election)

_TREND (CHUNGNAM)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 58.27%

(-0.01pp From 5/24 ’22, +0.73pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 39.76%

(+0.17pp From 5/24 ’22, +0.57pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.32%

(-0.07pp From 5/24 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.65%

(-0.09pp From 5/24 ’22, -2.62pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/25 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(total 10,761 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/16 and 5/23 for Gyeonggi, 12 polling data(total 9,168 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/15 and 5/22 for Chungnam, 9 polling data(total 8,348 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/16 and 5/23 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/23 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/23 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 3

GYEONGGI

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.21%

(+0.76pp From 5/21 ’21, +11.69pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 44.62%

(-1.03pp From 5/21 ’21, -11.79pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 5.76%

(+0.10pp From 5/21 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.41%

(+0.17pp From 5/21 ’21, -5.66pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 59.18%

(-1.34pp From 5/21 ’21, +1.64pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 38.55%

(+1.33pp From 5/21 ’21, -0.64pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.62%

(-0.05pp From 5/21 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.65%

(+0.06pp From 5/21 ’21, -2.62pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/23 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 13 polling data(total 11,337 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/14 and 5/21 for Gyeonggi, 9 polling data(total 6,721 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/14 and 5/21 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/19 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/19 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 3

GYEONGGI

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 46.29%

(+0.36pp From 5/18 ’21, +10.77pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.94%

(-0.14pp From 5/18 ’21, -10.47pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 5.55%

(-0.10pp From 5/18 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.22%

(-0.12pp From 5/18 ’21, -5.85pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 62.14%

(-0.18pp From 5/18 ’21, +4.60pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 35.18%

(-0.13pp From 5/18 ’21, -4.01pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.68%

(+0.27pp From 5/18 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.00%

(+0.04pp From 5/18 ’21, -2.27pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/19 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 11 polling data(total 10,049 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/10 and 5/17 for Gyeonggi, 9 polling data(total 7,135 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/8 and 5/15 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS