According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in India, we are projecting that Draupadi Murmu will become the next president after defeating Yashwant Sinha.
_NATIONAL PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Draupadi Murmu(NDA / Center Big Tent) : 62.08%
(-3.57pp From Last Election)
Yashwant Sinha(UO / Center-Left Big Tent) : 37.92%
According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Japan, the main ruling Liberal Democrats will remain as the largest party in the House of Representatives, but it is not certain whether they could retain majority or not.
_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION
-Seat Projection
Liberal Democratic Party(LDP / Right-wing) : 244 Seats
According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Iran, we are projecting Ebrahim Raisi will be elected as the next Iran President after obtaining more than 50% of the votes, and completely preventing a runoff or 2nd Round.
Globe Elections UN is currently still projecting that it is too early to call for the next government. But we are putting Likud & Yesh Atid as the most & second largest party in the next knesset.
_SEAT RESULTS
-Seat Results By Coalition
Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 56 Seats
(+21 From Last Election)
Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 52 Seats
According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Israel, Opposition Coalition will be ahead of Pro-Netanyahu Coalition. This means that the current prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu may be ousted after 12 years of ruling. However, there would be still a long road to a new PM due to the fact that Opposition Coalition now does not have a majority and the opposition parties did not decide to support a unified candidate.
_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION
-Seat Projection By Coalition
Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 59 Seats
(-10 From Mar ’21, +24 From Last Election)
Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 52 Seats
According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in Israel, Opposition Coalition will have the absolute majority of the next Knesset over Pro-Netanyahu Coalition. This means that the current prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu will be ousted pretty likely after 12 years of ruling. However, there would be still a long road to a new PM due to the fact that opposition parties did not decide to support a unified candidate.
_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION
-Seat Projection By Coalition
Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 69 Seats
(-5 From Feb ’21, +34 From Last Election)
Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 46 Seats
According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in Israel, Opposition Coalition will have the absolute majority of the next Knesset over Pro-Netanyahu Coalition. Also, the unity coalition partner Blue & White will have no seats after failing to pass 3.25% threshold. This means that the current prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu will be ousted pretty likely. However, there would be still a long road to a new PM due to the fact that opposition parties did not decide to support a unified candidate.
_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION
-Seat Projection By Coalition
Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 74 Seats
(+0 From Jan ’21, +39 From Last Election)
Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 46 Seats
Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu has been removed from office with 42.14% turnout and 97.40% agreeing to pass the recall motion. 969,259 out of the 2,299,981 registered voters has voted today. The recall has passed with a agreement rate of 97.40%(939,090/964,141). According to the official results by CEC, 2.60%(25,051/964,141) of the voters voted against to recall Han Kuo-yu.
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Spreadsheet Link For Projection/Prediction And Analysis :
Globe Elections United Network is projecting that Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu will be ousted with 41.82% turnout and 85.51% agreeing to pass the recall motion. 961,832 out of the 2,299,981 registered voters are expected to vote. The recall will pass with a agreement rate of 85.51%, or 822,433 people will agree for recalling Han Kuo-yu. According to GEUN projection, there will be 14.49% disagreement rate. This means that 139,399 voters will vote against the motion.
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Spreadsheet Link For Projection/Prediction And Analysis :
Global Elections, History, Society Center (GEHSC.en) 