_HEADLINE
According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in Italy, we are projecting that Center-Right Coalition will have the majority of the both chambers, after being ahead of current government Center-Left Coalition + Five Star Movement.
_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION
-By Government/Opposition
Government : 41.37%
(-3.22pp From Jan ’21, -16.61pp From Last Election)
Opposition : 55.66%
(+4.09pp From Jan ’21, +19.96pp From Last Election)
Netural : 2.97%
(-0.87pp From Jan ’21, -3.35pp From Last Election)
-By Coalition
Center-Right Coalition(CDX / Center-Right) : 55.66%
(+4.09pp From Jan ’21, +19.96pp From Last Election)
Center-Left Coalition(CSX / Center-Left) : 22.90%
(-2.88pp From Jan ’21, +1.00pp From Last Election)
Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 16.63%
(-0.23pp From Jan ’21, -16.05pp From Last Election)
The Left(LS / Left-wing) : 1.84%
(-0.11pp From Jan ’21, -1.56pp From Last Election)
Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.97%
(-0.87pp From Jan ’21, -3.35pp From Last Election)
-By Party
League / Lega(LEGA / Far-Right – CDX) : 30.87%
(+0.43pp From Jan ’21, +13.52pp From Last Election)
Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing – CDX) : 18.66%
(+3.70pp From Jan ’21, +14.31pp From Last Election)
Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent – M5S) : 16.63%
(-0.23pp From Jan ’21, -16.05pp From Last Election)
Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left – CSX) : 15.38%
(-1.40pp From Jan ’21, -3.38pp From Last Election)
Forward Italy / Forza Italia(FI / Center-Right – CDX) : 5.68%
(-0.51pp From Jan ’21, -8.32pp From Last Election)
Action(A / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.67%
(-0.22pp From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)
Italy Alive(IV / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.40%
(-0.42pp From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)
The Left(LS / Left-wing – LS) : 1.84%
(-0.11pp From Jan ’21, -1.56pp From Last Election)
More Europe(+E / Lean-Left – CSX) : 1.36%
(-0.62pp From Jan ’21, -1.20pp From Last Election)
Green Europe(EV / Left-wing – CSX) : 1.09%
(-0.37pp From Jan ’21, +0.51pp From Last Election)
Let’s Change!(C! / Center-Right – CDX) : 0.45%
(RE-ENTRY, NEW PARTY)
Others(OTH / Mixed – MIXED) : 2.97%
(-0.70pp From Jan ’21, -3.35pp From Last Election)
_POLL BASE PROJECTION
-By Government/Opposition
Government : 47.90%
Opposition : 48.90%
Netural : 3.20%
-By Coalition
Center-Right Coalition(CDX) : 48.90%
Center-Left Coalition(CSX) : 29.52%
Five Star Movement(M5S) : 15.15%
The Left(LS) : 3.23%
Others(OTH) : 3.20%
-By Party
League / Lega(LEGA / Far-Right – CDX) : 24.11%
Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left – CSX) : 20.04%
Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing – CDX) : 16.74%
Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent – M5S) : 15.15%
Forward Italy / Forza Italia(FI / Center-Right – CDX) : 7.45%
Action(A / Lean-Left – CSX) : 3.48%
The Left(LS / Left-wing – LS) : 3.23%
Italy Alive(IV / Lean-Left – CSX) : 3.12%
More Europe(+E / Lean-Left – CSX) : 1.46%
Green Europe(EV / Left-wing – CSX) : 1.42%
Let’s Change!(C! / Center-Right – CDX) : 0.60%
Others(OTH / Mixed – MIXED) : 3.20%
_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Q2ZQZt6Ci1sQAjd1g1-S1-9BdnML7sIvfu7HUJLu5h4/
_Globe Elections UN Video
_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard
: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/
Global Elections History Society Center (GEHSC.en) 