Europe, Italy

[Italy General Election]2021 February Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in Italy, we are projecting that Center-Right Coalition will have the majority of the both chambers, after being ahead of current government Center-Left Coalition + Five Star Movement.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-By Government/Opposition

Government : 41.37%

(-3.22pp From Jan ’21, -16.61pp From Last Election)

Opposition : 55.66%

(+4.09pp From Jan ’21, +19.96pp From Last Election)

Netural : 2.97%

(-0.87pp From Jan ’21, -3.35pp From Last Election)

-By Coalition

Center-Right Coalition(CDX / Center-Right) : 55.66%

(+4.09pp From Jan ’21, +19.96pp From Last Election)

Center-Left Coalition(CSX / Center-Left) : 22.90%

(-2.88pp From Jan ’21, +1.00pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 16.63%

(-0.23pp From Jan ’21, -16.05pp From Last Election)

The Left(LS / Left-wing) : 1.84%

(-0.11pp From Jan ’21, -1.56pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.97%

(-0.87pp From Jan ’21, -3.35pp From Last Election)

-By Party

League / Lega(LEGA / Far-Right – CDX) : 30.87%

(+0.43pp From Jan ’21, +13.52pp From Last Election)

Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing – CDX) : 18.66%

(+3.70pp From Jan ’21, +14.31pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent – M5S) : 16.63%

(-0.23pp From Jan ’21, -16.05pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left – CSX) : 15.38%

(-1.40pp From Jan ’21, -3.38pp From Last Election)

Forward Italy / Forza Italia(FI / Center-Right – CDX) : 5.68%

(-0.51pp From Jan ’21, -8.32pp From Last Election)

Action(A / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.67%

(-0.22pp From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

Italy Alive(IV / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.40%

(-0.42pp From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

The Left(LS / Left-wing – LS) : 1.84%

(-0.11pp From Jan ’21, -1.56pp From Last Election)

More Europe(+E / Lean-Left – CSX) : 1.36%

(-0.62pp From Jan ’21, -1.20pp From Last Election)

Green Europe(EV / Left-wing – CSX) : 1.09%

(-0.37pp From Jan ’21, +0.51pp From Last Election)

Let’s Change!(C! / Center-Right – CDX) : 0.45%

(RE-ENTRY, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed – MIXED) : 2.97%

(-0.70pp From Jan ’21, -3.35pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-By Government/Opposition

Government : 47.90%

Opposition : 48.90%

Netural : 3.20%

-By Coalition

Center-Right Coalition(CDX) : 48.90%

Center-Left Coalition(CSX) : 29.52%

Five Star Movement(M5S) : 15.15%

The Left(LS) : 3.23%

Others(OTH) : 3.20%

-By Party

League / Lega(LEGA / Far-Right – CDX) : 24.11%

Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left – CSX) : 20.04%

Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing – CDX) : 16.74%

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent – M5S) : 15.15%

Forward Italy / Forza Italia(FI / Center-Right – CDX) : 7.45%

Action(A / Lean-Left – CSX) : 3.48%

The Left(LS / Left-wing – LS) : 3.23%

Italy Alive(IV / Lean-Left – CSX) : 3.12%

More Europe(+E / Lean-Left – CSX) : 1.46%

Green Europe(EV / Left-wing – CSX) : 1.42%

Let’s Change!(C! / Center-Right – CDX) : 0.60%

Others(OTH / Mixed – MIXED) : 3.20%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Q2ZQZt6Ci1sQAjd1g1-S1-9BdnML7sIvfu7HUJLu5h4/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/