America, Brazil, SPECIAL - 2022 BR Presidential Election

[Brazil Presidential Election]2022 9/26 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

9/26 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR SEPTEMBER WEEK 5

(None)

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Lula da Silva(FEB / Left-wing) : 46.73%

(-1.00pp From 9/25 ’22, +1585pp From Last Election)

Jair Bolsonaro(PL / Right-wing) : 40.23%

(+1.68pp From 9/25 ’22, -7.06pp From Last Election)

Ciro Gomes(PDT / Center-Left) : 6.59%

(-0.71pp From 9/25 ’22, -5.88pp From Last Election)

Simone Tebet(MDB / Center) : 4.66%

(-0.24pp From 9/25 ’22, -2.11pp From Last Election)

Soraya Thronicke(UNIÃO / Center-Right) : 0.90%

(-0.03pp From 9/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Luiz D’Avila(NOVO / Center-Right) : 0.50%

(+0.16pp From 9/25 ’22, -2.00pp From Last Election)

José Eymael(DC / Right-wing) : 0.12%

(+0.06pp From 9/25 ’22, +0.04pp From Last Election)

Sofia Manzano(PCB / Far-Left) : 0.08%

(+0.03pp From 9/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Kelmon Souza(PTB / Far-Right) : 0.07%

(+0.03pp From 9/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Leo Péricles(UP / Far-Left) : 0.06%

(+0.02pp From 9/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Vera Lúcia(PSTU / Left-wing) : 0.06%

(+0.00pp From 9/25 ’22, +0.01pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_AGE

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 9/26 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 13 polling data(total 45,243 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 9/15 and 9/22 and reported on Superior Electoral Court(TSE)’s Surveys/Pesquisas Page. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as the presidential projection.

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

America, Brazil, SPECIAL - 2022 BR Presidential Election

[Brazil Presidential Election]2022 9/25 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

9/25 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR SEPTEMBER WEEK 5

(None)

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Lula da Silva(FEB / Left-wing) : 47.73%

(-0.78pp From 9/24 ’22, +16.85pp From Last Election)

Jair Bolsonaro(PL / Right-wing) : 38.55%

(+0.81pp From 9/24 ’22, -8.74pp From Last Election)

Ciro Gomes(PDT / Center-Left) : 7.30%

(+0.02pp From 9/24 ’22, -5.17pp From Last Election)

Simone Tebet(MDB / Center) : 4.90%

(-0.03pp From 9/24 ’22, -1.87pp From Last Election)

Soraya Thronicke(UNIÃO / Center-Right) : 0.93%

(+0.00pp From 9/24 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Luiz D’Avila(NOVO / Center-Right) : 0.34%

(-0.01pp From 9/24 ’22, -2.16pp From Last Election)

José Eymael(DC / Right-wing) : 0.06%

(+0.00pp From 9/24 ’22, -0.02pp From Last Election)

Vera Lúcia(PSTU / Left-wing) : 0.06%

(+0.00pp From 9/24 ’22, +0.01pp From Last Election)

Sofia Manzano(PCB / Far-Left) : 0.05%

(+0.00pp From 9/24 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Leo Péricles(UP / Far-Left) : 0.04%

(-0.01pp From 9/24 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Kelmon Souza(PTB / Far-Right) : 0.04%

(+0.00pp From 9/24 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_TREND

_AGE

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 9/25 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(total 35,885 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 9/15 and 9/22 and reported on Superior Electoral Court(TSE)’s Surveys/Pesquisas Page. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as the presidential projection.

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

America, Brazil, SPECIAL - 2022 BR Presidential Election

[Brazil Presidential Election]2022 9/22 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

9/22 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR SEPTEMBER WEEK 4

(None)

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Lula da Silva(FEB / Left-wing) : 47.42%

(+1.85pp From 9/20 ’22, +16.54pp From Last Election)

Jair Bolsonaro(PL / Right-wing) : 38.40%

(-0.64pp From 9/20 ’22, -8.89pp From Last Election)

Ciro Gomes(PDT / Center-Left) : 7.48%

(-0.69pp From 9/20 ’22, -4.99pp From Last Election)

Simone Tebet(MDB / Center) : 5.07%

(-0.47pp From 9/20 ’22, -1.70pp From Last Election)

Soraya Thronicke(UNIÃO / Center-Right) : 0.98%

(-0.09pp From 9/20 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Luiz D’Avila(NOVO / Center-Right) : 0.43%

(-0.05pp From 9/20 ’22, -2.07pp From Last Election)

José Eymael(DC / Right-wing) : 0.05%

(+0.04pp From 9/20 ’22, -0.03pp From Last Election)

Leo Péricles(UP / Far-Left) : 0.05%

(+0.04pp From 9/20 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Vera Lúcia(PSTU / Left-wing) : 0.04%

(+0.00pp From 9/20 ’22, -0.01pp From Last Election)

Sofia Manzano(PCB / Far-Left) : 0.04%

(+0.00pp From 9/20 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Kelmon Souza(PTB / Far-Right) : 0.04%

(+0.01pp From 9/20 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_TREND

_AGE

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 9/22 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 13 polling data(total 31,343 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 9/13 and 9/20 and reported on Superior Electoral Court(TSE)’s Surveys/Pesquisas Page. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as the presidential projection.

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Europe, Italy, SPECIAL - 2022 IT General Election

[Italy General Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Italy, we are projecting that now it is Extremely Close between Center-Left Coalition + Five Star Movement and Center-Right Coalition on the extended coalition level.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection By Original Coalition

Center-Right Coalition(CDX / Right-wing) : 46.21%

(+8.69pp From Last Election)

Center-Left Coalition(CSX/ Center-Left) : 28.51%

(+3.18pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 12.76%

(+19.90pp From Last Election)

Center Coalition(CX / Lean-Left) : 6.48%

(+6.42pp From Last Election)

Italexit(IE / Big Tent) : 2.66%

(+1.71pp From Last Election)

People’s Union(UP / Far-Left) : 1.04%

(-0.10pp From Last Election)

Others(ALT / Mixed) : 2.34%

(+0.00pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Party

Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing) : 24.98%

(+0.57pp From 9/9 ’22, +20.64pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left) : 22.11%

(-0.07pp From 9/9 ’22, +2.73pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 12.76%

(+0.40pp From 9/9 ’22, -19.90pp From Last Election)

League(LEGA / Far-Right) : 12.37%

(-0.47pp From 9/9 ’22, -4.98pp From Last Election)

Forward Italy(FI / Center-Right) : 7.40%

(-0.09pp From 9/9 ’22, -6.59pp From Last Election)

Action + Italy Alive(AZ+IV / Lean-Left) : 6.48%

(+0.07pp From 9/9 ’22, +6.42pp From Last Election)

Greens & Left(AVS / Left-wing) : 3.58%

(+0.16pp From 9/9 ’22, +0.19pp From Last Election)

Italexit(IE / Big Tent) : 2.66%

(-0.02pp From 9/9 ’22, +1.71pp From Last Election)

More Europe(PE / Lean-Left) : 1.85%

(-0.18pp From 9/9 ’22, -0.71pp From Last Election)

Us Moderates(NM / Lean-Right) : 1.46%

(-0.28pp From 9/9 ’22, -0.38pp From Last Election)

Popular Union(UP / Far-Left) : 1.04%

(NEW ENTRY, -0.10pp From Last Election)

Civic Commitment(IC / Lean-Left) : 0.97%

(-0.22pp From 9/9 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(ALT / Mixed) : 2.34%

(-0.93pp From 9/9 ’21, +0.00pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

America, Brazil, SPECIAL - 2022 BR Presidential Election

[Brazil Presidential Election]2022 9/20 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

9/20 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR SEPTEMBER WEEK 4

(Will Be Released Soon)

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Lula da Silva(FEB / Left-wing) : 45.57%

(-0.09pp From 9/19 ’22, +14.69pp From Last Election)

Jair Bolsonaro(PL / Right-wing) : 39.04%

(+0.20pp From 9/19 ’22, -8.25pp From Last Election)

Ciro Gomes(PDT / Center-Left) : 8.17%

(-0.08pp From 9/19 ’22, -4.30pp From Last Election)

Simone Tebet(MDB / Center) : 5.54%

(+0.04pp From 9/19 ’22, -1.23pp From Last Election)

Soraya Thronicke(UNIÃO / Center-Right) : 1.07%

(+0.03pp From 9/19 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Luiz D’Avila(NOVO / Center-Right) : 0.48%

(-0.10pp From 9/19 ’22, -2.02pp From Last Election)

Vera Lúcia(PSTU / Left-wing) : 0.04%

(+0.00pp From 9/19 ’22, -0.01pp From Last Election)

Sofia Manzano(PCB / Far-Left) : 0.04%

(+0.00pp From 9/19 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Kelmon Souza(PTB / Far-Right) : 0.03%

(+0.00pp From 9/19 ’22, NEW PARTY)

José Eymael(DC / Right-wing) : 0.01%

(+0.00pp From 9/19 ’22, -0.03pp From Last Election)

Leo Péricles(UP / Far-Left) : 0.01%

(+0.00pp From 9/19 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_TREND

_AGE

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 9/20 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(total 22,260 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 9/11 and 9/18 and reported on Superior Electoral Court(TSE)’s Surveys/Pesquisas Page. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as the presidential projection.

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

America, Brazil, SPECIAL - 2022 BR Presidential Election

[Brazil Presidential Election]2022 9/18 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

9/18 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR SEPTEMBER WEEK 4

(Will Be Released Soon)

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Lula da Silva(FEB / Left-wing) : 45.66%

(-0.54pp From 9/17 ’22, +14.78pp From Last Election)

Jair Bolsonaro(PL / Right-wing) : 38.84%

(+0.48pp From 9/17 ’22, -8.45pp From Last Election)

Ciro Gomes(PDT / Center-Left) : 8.25%

(-0.06pp From 9/17 ’22, -4.22pp From Last Election)

Simone Tebet(MDB / Center) : 5.50%

(+0.11pp From 9/17 ’22, -1.27pp From Last Election)

Soraya Thronicke(UNIÃO / Center-Right) : 1.04%

(-0.04pp From 9/17 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Luiz D’Avila(NOVO / Center-Right) : 0.58%

(+0.04pp From 9/17 ’22, -1.92pp From Last Election)

Sofia Manzano(PCB / Far-Left) : 0.04%

(+0.00pp From 9/17 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Vera Lúcia(PSTU / Left-wing) : 0.04%

(+0.02pp From 9/17 ’22, -0.01pp From Last Election)

Kelmon Souza(PTB / Far-Right) : 0.03%

(-0.01pp From 9/17 ’22, NEW PARTY)

José Eymael(DC / Right-wing) : 0.01%

(+0.00pp From 9/17 ’22, -0.03pp From Last Election)

Leo Péricles(UP / Far-Left) : 0.01%

(+0.00pp From 9/17 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_TREND

_AGE

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 9/18 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(total 26,761 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 9/9 and 9/16 and reported on Superior Electoral Court(TSE)’s Surveys/Pesquisas Page. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as the presidential projection.

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

America, Brazil, SPECIAL - 2022 BR Presidential Election

[Brazil Presidential Election]2022 1st Round September Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

SEPTEMBER ’22 R1 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s 1st Round September Projection in Brazil, we are projecting that former president Lula da Silva is somewhat ahead but it is still a Key Race between him and incumbent president Jair Bolsonaro.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Lula da Silva(FEB / Left-wing) : 47.62%

(+15.87pp From Last Election)

Jair Bolsonaro(PL / Right-wing) : 39.10%

(-8.19pp From Last Election)

Ciro Gomes(PDT / Center-Left) : 8.60%

(-3.87pp From Last Election)

Simone Tebet(MDB / Center) : 3.59%

(-3.18pp From Last Election)

Vera Lúcia(PSTU / Left-wing) : 0.37%

(+0.32pp From Last Election)

Luiz D’Avila(NOVO / Center-Right) : 0.32%

(-2.18pp From Last Election)

José Eymael(DC / Right-wing) : 0.21%

(+0.17pp From Last Election)

Sofia Manzano(PCB / Far-Left) : 0.07%

(NEW PARTY)

Leo Péricles(UP / Far-Left) : 0.05%

(NEW PARTY)

Padre Kelmon(PTB / Far-Right) : 0.04%

(NEW PARTY)

Soraya Thronicke(UNIÃO / Center-Right) : 0.03%

(NEW PARTY)

_STATE PROJECTIONS (POLL+SWING)

-Key Races

RS(Rio Grande do Sul) – LULA +1.50pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

SP(São Paulo) – ​BOLSONARO +7.13pp (POLL BASE – BOLSONARO +1.46pp)

RJ(Rio de Janeiro) – ​BOLSONARO +10.00pp (POLL BASE – BOLSONARO +4.15pp)

MG(Minas Gerais) – ​LULA +10.34pp (SWING BASE – LULA +3.99pp)

PR(Paraná) – ​BOLSONARO +10.39pp (POLL BASE – BOLSONARO +4.40pp)

-Other Races

MS(Mato Grosso do Sul) – ​BOLSONARO +12.31pp

TO(Tocantins) – ​LULA +14.40pp

ES(Espírito Santo) – ​BOLSONARO +14.93pp

AM(Amazonas) – ​LULA +15.00pp

AP(Amapá) – ​LULA +15.16pp

GO(Goiás) – ​BOLSONARO +15.91pp

DF(Distrito Federal) – ​BOLSONARO +16.98pp

MT(Mato Grosso) – ​BOLSONARO +18.70pp

EX(Exterior) – ​BOLSONARO +19.28pp

AL(Alagoas) – ​LULA +23.75pp

PA(Pará) – ​LULA +25.07pp

RO(Rondônia) – ​BOLSONARO +25.67pp

SC(Santa Catarina) – ​BOLSONARO +26.93pp

AC(Acre) – ​BOLSONARO +27.71pp

RR(Roraima) – ​BOLSONARO +29.91pp

PB(Paraíba) – ​LULA +31.61pp

PE(Pernambuco) – ​LULA +32.58pp

RN(Rio Grande do Norte) – ​LULA +32.68pp

SE(Sergipe) – ​LULA +37.82pp

CE(Ceará) – ​LULA +41.89pp (VS CIRO)

BA(Bahia) – ​LULA +46.77pp

MA(Maranhão) – ​LULA +46.85pp

PI(Piauí) – ​LULA +56.31pp

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 Brazil Presidential Election R1 September Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 11 polling data(total 28,517 unweighted / 21,416 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 8/23 and 8/30 and reported on Superior Electoral Court(TSE)’s Surveys/Pesquisas Page. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Sweden General Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Sweden, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close between Red & Greens, led by Magdalena Andersson and Conservatives, led by Ulf Kristersson.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection (By Coalition)

Conservative Bloc(KB / Right-wing) : 154 Seats

(+0 From 9/8 ’22, +0 From Last Election)

Red & Greens(R&G / Center-Left) : 150 Seats

(+2 From 9/8 ’22, +6 From Last Election)

Center & Liberals(C&L / Lean-Right) : 45 Seats

(-2 From 9/8 ’22, -6 From Last Election)

Other Parties(ÖVR / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From 9/8 ’22, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection (By Coalition)

Conservative Bloc(KB / Right-wing) : 43.78%

(+0.05pp Rom 9/8 ’22,+0.09pp From Last Election)

Red & Greens(R&G / Center-Left) : 42.50%

(+0.23pp From 9/8 ’22, +1.82pp From Last Election)

Center & Liberals(C&L / Lean-Right) : 12.65%

(-0.25pp From 9/8 ’22, -1.45pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(ÖVR / Mixed) : 1.07%

(-0.03pp From 9/8 ’22,-0.46pp From Last Election)

-Seat Projection (By Party)

Social Democratic Party(S / Center-Left – R&G) : 103 Seats

(+1 From 9/8 ’22, +3 From Last Election)

Sweden Democrats(SD / Right-wing- KB) : 72 Seats

(+1 From 9/8 ’22, +10 From Last Election)

Moderate Party(M / Center-Right- KB) : 62 Seats

(+0 From 9/8 ’22, -8 From Last Election)

Left Party(V / Left-wing – R&G) : 27 Seats

(-1 From 9/8 ’22, -1 From Last Election)

Center Party(C / Center – C&L) : 27 Seats

(+0 From 9/8 ’22, -4 From Last Election)

Christian Democrats(KD / Center-Right- KB) : 20 Seats

(-1 From 9/8 ’22, -2 From Last Election)

Green Party(MP / Center-Left – R&G) : 20 Seats

(+1 From 9/8 ’22, +4 From Last Election)

Liberals(L / Center – C&L) : 18 Seats

(-1 From 9/8 ’22, -2 From Last Election)

Other Parties(Ö / Mixed – ÖVR) : 0 Seat

(+0 From 9/8 ’22, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection (By Party)

Social Democratic Party(S / Center-Left – R&G) : 29.28%

(+0.41pp From 9/8 ’22, +1.02pp From Last Election)

Sweden Democrats(SD / Right-wing- KB) : 20.41%

(+0.25pp From 9/8 ’22, +2.88pp From Last Election)

Moderate Party(M / Center-Right- KB) : 17.59%

(+0.10pp From 9/8 ’22, -2.25pp From Last Election)

Left Party(V / Left-wing – R&G) : 7.64%

(-0.38pp From 9/8 ’22, -0.37pp From Last Election)

Center Party(C / Center – C&L) : 7.60%

(-0.01pp From 9/8 ’22, -1.01pp From Last Election)

Christian Democrats(KD / Center-Right- KB) : 5.78%

(-0.30pp From 9/8 ’22, -0.54pp From Last Election)

Green Party(MP / Center-Left – R&G) : 5.58%

(+0.20pp From 9/8 ’22, +1.17pp From Last Election)

Liberals(L / Center – C&L) : 5.05%

(-0.24pp From 9/8 ’22, -0.44pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(Ö / Mixed – ÖVR) : 1.07%

(-0.03pp, From 9/8 ’22, -0.46pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 Sweden General Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 13 polling data(total 25,138 unweighted / 21,035 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 9/2 and 9/9. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection.

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

America

[Chile Constitutional Referendum]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN VIDEO

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Chile, we are projecting that it is Key Race between Approve & Reject, however Reject has an impressive lead.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Reject(REC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 54.93%

(+33.24pp From Last Election)

Approve(APR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 45.07%

(-33.24pp From Last Election)

_REGIONAL PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

OH(O’Higgins) – APPROVE +0.06pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

EX(Extranjero) – APPROVE +1.86pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

MG(Magallanes) – REJECT +5.20pp

SA(Santiago) – REJECT +5.32pp

VA(Valparaíso) – REJECT +6.44pp

AN(Antofagasta)APPROVE +9.64pp

-Other Races

CO(Coquimbo) – APPROVE +11.08pp

TA(Tarapacá)REJECT +12.24pp

AY(Aysén) – REJECT +12.58pp

AP(Arica & Parinacota)REJECT +15.22pp

ML(Maule)REJECT +17.14pp

AT(Atacama) – APPROVE +17.66pp

LR(Los Ríos)REJECT +19.60pp

LL(Los Lagos)REJECT +20.96pp

BI(Biobío)REJECT +22.38pp

ÑU(Ñuble)REJECT +30.06pp

AR(Araucanía)REJECT +37.08pp

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 Chile Constitutional Referendum FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 9 polling data(total 21,714 unweighted / 20,028 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 8/12 and 8/19.

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

Europe, Italy, SPECIAL - 2022 IT General Election

[Italy General Election]2022 8/30 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

8/30 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR SEPTEMBER WEEK 1

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing) : 24.54%

(+0.51pp From 8/22 ’22, +20.19pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left) : 22.95%

(-1.13pp From 8/22 ’22, +3.61pp From Last Election)

League(LEGA / Far-Right) : 13.65%

(-0.26pp From 8/22 ’22, -3.70pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 10.88%

(+0.15pp From 8/22 ’22, -21.80pp From Last Election)

Forward Italy(FI / Center-Right) : 7.80%

(+0.13pp From 8/22 ’22, -6.20pp From Last Election)

Action + Italy Alive(AZ+IV / Lean-Left) : 5.46%

(+0.21pp From 8/22 ’22, +5.40pp From Last Election)

Greens & Left(AVS / Left-wing) : 3.05%

(-0.10pp From 8/22 ’22, -0.92pp From Last Election)

Italexit(IE / Big Tent) : 2.60%

(+0.38pp From 8/22 ’22, +1.99pp From Last Election)

More Europe(PE / Lean-Left) : 2.06%

(-0.01pp From 8/22 ’22, -0.50pp From Last Election)

Us Moderates(NM / Lean-Right) : 1.48%

(-0.23pp From 8/22 ’22, -0.36pp From Last Election)

Civic Commitment(IC / Lean-Left) : 0.95%

(+0.15pp From 8/22 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(ALT / Mixed) : 4.48%

(+0.20pp From 8/22 ’21, +1.12pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 8/30 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 8 polling data(total 13,453 sample size) fieldwork done between 8/20 and 8/27 and reported on Electoral Political Polls. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to Electoral Political Polls homepage(http://www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it/).