Africa

[Kenya Presidential Election]2022 1st Round FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 R1 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s 1st Round FINAL Projection in Kenya, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close Raila Odinga & William Ruto, with the projected margin being historically narrow.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection (Presidential)

Raila Odinga(AZIMIO / Center-Left) : 48.98%

(+4.16pp From Last Election)

William Ruto(KK / Center-Right) : 48.93%

(-5.34pp From Last Election)

George Wajackoyah(RPK / Big Tent) : 1.78%

(NEW PARTY)

David Mwaure(AP / Left-wing) : 0.31%

(NEW PARTY)

-Vote Share Projection (General)

Declaration Of Unity(AZIMIO / Center Big Tent) : 49.06%

(+18.95pp From Last Election)

Kenya First(KK / Center-Right) : 47.42%

(+0.13pp From Last Election)

Roots Party(RPK / Big Tent) : 1.98%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.54%

(-21.06pp From Last Election)

_REGION PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

NR(Narok) – ODINGA +2.64pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

DI(Diaspora) – ODINGA +2.67pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

NY(Nyamira) – ODINGA +4.00pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

KJ(Kajiado) – RUTO +5.39pp

WA(Wajir) – ODINGA +6.19pp

SA(Samburu) – ODINGA +8.82pp

IS(Isiolo) – ODINGA +9.44pp

-Other Races

LM(Lamu) – ODINGA +11.06pp

NA(Nairobi) – ODINGA +11.52pp

GA(Garissa) – ODINGA +11.96pp

TR(Tana River) – ODINGA +15.57pp

TU(Turkana) – ODINGA +17.81pp

TR(Trans Nzoia) – ODINGA +18.56pp

KS(Kisii) – ODINGA +20.58pp

WP(West Pokot) – RUTO +20.78pp

BG(Bungoma) – ODINGA +44.17pp

MO(Mombasa) – ODINGA +47.46pp

UG(Uasin Gishu) – RUTO +47.49pp

TT(Taita Taveta) – ODINGA +49.78pp

MD(Mandera) – RUTO +52.99pp

KW(Kwale) – ODINGA +56.46pp

MS(Marsabit) – RUTO + 61.97pp

NK(Nakuru) – RUTO +63.83pp

BA(Baringo) – RUTO +63.84pp

KT(Kitui) – ODINGA +64.79pp

MC(Machakos) – ODINGA +67.21pp

ND(Nandi) – RUTO +68.66pp

BO(Bomet) – RUTO +69.34pp

KL(Kilifi) – ODINGA +71.73pp

ME(Meru) – RUTO +72.44pp

LK(Laikipia) – RUTO +74.20pp

MI(Migori) – ODINGA +74.76pp

BS(Busia) – ODINGA +77.39pp

KK(Kakamega) – ODINGA +78.47pp

EB(Embu) – RUTO +79.44pp

KA(Kiambu) – RUTO +81.73pp

VI(Vihiga) – ODINGA +82.07pp

TH(Tharaka Nithi) – RUTO +82.25pp

KE(Kericho) – RUTO +82.52pp

MK(Makueni) – ODINGA +84.13pp

EM(Elgeyo Marakwet) – RUTO +86.60pp

MU(Muranga) – RUTO +94.43pp

KR(Kirinyaga) – RUTO +95.97pp

NE(Nyeri) – RUTO +96.30pp

KM(Kisumu) – ODINGA +96.33pp

NA(Nyandarua) – RUTO +97.03pp

SI(Siaya) – ODINGA +98.56pp

HB(Homa Bay) – ODINGA +99.00pp

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 Kenya Presidential Election R1 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(total 41,141 unweighted / 72,658 weighted sample size – presidential, total 32,014 unweighted / 60,253 weighted sample size – general) fieldwork done between 7/26 and 8/2. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Asia

[India Presidential Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in India, we are projecting that Draupadi Murmu will become the next president after defeating Yashwant Sinha.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Draupadi Murmu(NDA / Center Big Tent) : 62.08%

(-3.57pp From Last Election)

Yashwant Sinha(UO / Center-Left Big Tent) : 37.92%

(+3.57pp From Last Election)

_STATE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

BR(Bihar) – ​MURMU +4.52pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

-Other Races

RS(Rajya Sabha) – ​MURMU +11.48pp

MP(Madhya Pradesh) – ​MURMU +16.52pp

GJ(Gujarat) – ​MURMU +24.72pp

MH(Maharashtra) – ​MURMU +28.02pp

GA(Goa) – ​MURMU +28.20pp

RJ(Rajasthan) – ​SINHA +28.58pp

HR(Haryana) – ​MURMU +31.04pp

AS(Assam) – ​MURMU +31.20pp

HP(Himachal Pradesh) – ​MURMU +32.34pp

TN(Tamil Nadu) – ​SINHA +35.90pp

UP(Uttar Pradesh) – ​MURMU +36.66pp

KA(Karnataka) – ​MURMU +36.94pp

ML(Meghalaya) – ​MURMU +38.98pp

UT(Uttarakhand) – ​MURMU +45.72pp

TR(Tripura) – ​MURMU +45.76pp

JH(Jharkhand) – ​MURMU +48.14pp

LS(Lok Sabha) – ​MURMU +50.74pp

WB(West Bengal) – ​MURMU +51.36pp

PY(Puducherry) – ​MURMU +51.52pp

CT(Chhattisgarh) – ​SINHA +64.04pp

MZ(Mizoram) – ​MURMU +70.58pp

DL(Delhi) – ​SINHA +77.14pp

MN(Manipur) – ​MURMU +80.00pp

AR(Andhra Pradesh) – ​MURMU +83.34pp

OD(Odisha) – ​MURMU +86.40pp

PB(Punjab) – ​SINHA +89.74pp

TG(Telangana) – ​SINHA +94,96pp

AP(Andhra Pradesh) – ​MURMU +100.00pp

KL(Kerala) – ​SINHA +100.00pp

NL(Nagaland) – ​MURMU +100.00pp

SK(Sikkim) – ​MURMU +100.00pp

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 India Presidential Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects affiliation & endorsement of each political parties.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe, France

[France General Election]2022 2nd Round FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 R2 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round FINAL Projection in France, we are projecting that the Together would probably be remaining as the largest group in the next national assembly, but the majority for them is now uncertain.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Together(ENS / Center) : 279 Seats

(-71 From Last Election)

New Ecologic & Social People’s Union(NUPES / Left-wing) : 186 Seats

(+129 From Last Election)

Union Of The Right & Center(UDC / Center-Right) : 59 Seats

(-71 From Last Election)

National Rally(RN / Far-Right) : 32 Seats

(+24 From Last Election)

Other Left Parties(DVG / Center-Left) : 8 Seats

(-8 From Last Election)

Other Right Parties(DVD / Center-Right) : 4 Seat

(-2 From Last Election)

Other Center Parties(DVC / Center) : 1 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Reconquest!(REC / Right-wing) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Union For France(UPF / Right-wing) : 0 Seat

(-1 From Last Election)

Extremely Right Parties(EXD / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(-1 From Last Election)

Extremely Left Parties(EXG / Far-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Animalist Party(PA / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Others(DIV / Mixed) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 France General Election R1 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(total 27,277 sample size) fieldwork done between 6/10(12) and 6/17. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection.

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

America

[Colombia Presidential Election]2022 2nd Round FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 R2 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round FINAL Projection in Colombia, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close between Rodolfo Hernandez & Gustavo Petro for the next presidency.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Rodolfo Hernández(LIGA / Big Tent) : 50.15%

(-6.24pp From Last Election)

Gustavo Petro(PH / Left-wing) : 49.85%

(+6.24pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 Colombia Presidential Election R2 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(total 26,014 sample size) fieldwork done between 6/4 and 6/11. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe, France

[France General Election]2022 1st Round FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 R1 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s 1st Round FINAL Projection in France, we are projecting that the Together could be retaining majority in the next national assembly but it is Extremely Close between Together & New People’s on the vote level.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Together(ENS / Center) : 292 Seats

(-58 From Last Election)

New Ecologic & Social People’s Union(NUPES / Left-wing) : 182 Seats

(+125 From Last Election)

Union Of The Right & Center(UDC / Center-Right) : 44 Seats

(-86 From Last Election)

National Rally(RN / Far-Right) : 34 Seats

(+26pp From Last Election)

Other Left Parties(DVG / Center-Left) : 9 Seats

(-7 From Last Election)

Other Right Parties(DVD / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(-5 From Last Election)

Reconquest!(REC / Right-wing) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Other Center Parties(DVC / Center) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Union For France(UPF / Right-wing) : 0 Seat

(-1 From Last Election)

Extremely Right Parties(EXD / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(-1 From Last Election)

Extremely Left Parties(EXG / Far-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Animalist Party(PA / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Others(DIV / Mixed) : 15 Seats

(+7 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Together(ENS / Center) : 27.14%

(-5.19pp From Last Election)

New Ecologic & Social People’s Union(NUPES / Left-wing) : 27.12%

(+17.04pp From Last Election)

National Rally(RN / Far-Right) : 19.59%

(+6.39pp From Last Election)

Union Of The Right & Center(UDC / Center-Right) : 10.32%

(-8.48pp From Last Election)

Reconquest!(REC / Right-wing) : 5.91%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Left Parties(DVG / Center-Left) : 3.33%

(-3.04pp From Last Election)

Union For France(UPF / Right-wing) : 1.27%

(+0.10pp From Last Election)

Extremely Left Parties(EXG / Far-Left) : 1.19%

(+0.42pp From Last Election)

Animalist Party(PA / Big Tent) : 0.44%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Right Parties(DVD / Center-Right) : 0.40%

(-2.36pp From Last Election)

Other Center Parties(DVC / Center) : 0.36%

(NEW PARTY)

Extremely Right Parties(EXD / Far-Right) : 0.06%

(-0.24pp From Last Election)

Others(DIV / Mixed) : 2.87%

(-0.24pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 France General Election R1 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 13 polling data(total 47,888 sample size) fieldwork done between 6/2 and 6/9. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection.

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close in Gyeonggi & Chungnam, Too Close To Call in Sejong, and Key Race in Daejeon & Incheon.

_NATIONAL MAP

_GYEONGGI PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.63%

(+0.23pp From 5/25 ’22, +12.11pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.89%

(+0.56pp From 5/25 ’22, -10.52pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 4.57%

(-0.44pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Hwang Soon-sik(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.14%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -1.40pp From Last Election)

Song Young-ju(PRO / Left-wing) : 0.48%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -0.24pp From Last Election)

Seo Tae-sung(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.29%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_CHUNGNAM PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Tae-heum(PPP / Center-Right) : 51.16%

(-0.05pp From 5/25 ’22, +16.06pp From Last Election)

Yang Seung-jo(DPK / Lean-Left) : 48.84%

(+1.82pp From 5/25 ’22, -13.72pp From Last Election)

Choi Gi-bok(CCF / Lean-Right) : W/D

(-1.77pp From 5/25 ’22, -2.34pp From Last Election)

_SEJONG PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Choi Min-ho(PPP / Center-Right) : 52.39%

(+33.79pp From Last Election)

Lee Choon-hee(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.61%

(-23.70pp From Last Election)

_DAEJEON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jang-woo(PPP / Center-Right) : 54.69%

(+22.52pp From Last Election)

Heo Tae-jeong(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.31%

(-11.10pp From Last Election)

_INCHEON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Yoo Jeong-bok(PPP / Center-Right) : 53.20%

(-0.32pp From 5/25 ’22, +17.76pp From Last Election)

Park Nam-choon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 42.26%

(+0.31pp From 5/25 ’22, -15.41pp From Last Election)

Lee Jeong-mi(JUS / Center-Left) : 3.99%

(+0.29pp From 5/25 ’22, +1.17pp From Last Election)

Kim Han-byul(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.55%

(-0.28pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_CHUNGBUK PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Young-hwan(PPP / Center-Right) : 56.00%

(-0.49pp From 5/25 ’22, +26.34pp From Last Election)

Noh Young-min(DPK / Lean-Left) : 44.00%

(+0.49pp From 5/25 ’22, -17.16pp From Last Election)

_GANGWON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Jin-tae(PPP / Right-wing) : 56.76%

(+21.49pp From Last Election)

Lee Kwang-jae(DPK / Lean-Left) : 43.24%

(-21.49pp From Last Election)

_JEJU PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Young-hun(DPK / Lean-Left) : 55.11%

(+15.09pp From Last Election)

Heo Hyang-jin(PPP / Lean-Right) : 38.01%

(-16.98pp From Last Election)

Park Chan-sik(IND / Left-wing) : 5.12%

(NEW PARTY)

Boo Soon-jung(GRN / Left-wing) : 1.76%

(-1.78pp From Last Election)

_SEOUL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 59.32%

(+1.05pp From 5/25 ’22, +1.78pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 39.16%

(-0.60pp From 5/25 ’22, -0.03pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.21%

(-0.11pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Shin Ji-hye(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.19%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -0.30pp From Last Election)

Kim Gwang-jong(IND / Big Tent) : 0.12%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_GYEONGNAM PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Park Wan-su(PPP / Center-Right) : 64.84%

(+21.88pp From Last Election)

Yang Moon-seok(DPK / Lean-Left) : 28.85%

(-23.96pp From Last Election)

Yeo Yeong-gug(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.74%

(NEW PARTY)

Choi Jin-seok(UKP / Center-Left) : 1.57%

(NEW PARTY)

_INCHEON GYEYANG B PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 50.17%

(-8.50pp From Last Election)

Yoon Hyeong-seon(PPP / Center-Right) : 49.83%

(+11.08pp From Last Election)

_GYEONGGI SEONGNAM BUNDANG A PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Ahn Cheol-soo(PPP / Lean-Right) : 66.18%

(+16.11pp From Last Election)

Kim Byung-gwan(DPK / Center) : 33.82%

(-15.53pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 South Korea Governor Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 113 polling data(total 116,236 unweighted / 109,038 weighted sample size – including data for by-elections) fieldwork done mostly(exception for Gangwon) between 5/18 and 5/25. Governor Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

America

[Colombia Presidential Election]2022 1st Round FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 R1 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s 1st Round FINAL Projection in Colombia, we are projecting that there will be a runoff between Gustavo Petro & Fico Gutiérrez somewhat likely after being ahead of Rodolfo Hernández & Sergio Fajardo.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Gustavo Petro(PH / Left-wing) : 44.84%

(+19.30pp From Last Election)

Fico Gutiérrez(EPC / Center-Right) : 26.46%

(-22.90pp From Last Election)

Rodolfo Hernández(LIGA / Big Tent) : 21.13%

(NEW PARTY)

Sergio Fajardo(CCE / Center-Left) : 6.43%

(-17.73pp From Last Election)

John Rodríguez(CJL / Right-wing) : 0.77%

(+0.15pp From Last Election)

Enrique Gómez(MSN / Far-Right) : 0.37%

(NEW PARTY)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 Colombia Presidential Election R1 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 8 polling data(total 21,142 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/13 and 5/20. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/25 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/25 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 4

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.40%

(+0.00pp From 5/24 ’22, +11.88pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.43%

(-0.15pp From 5/24 ’22, -10.98pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 5.01%

(+0.07pp From 5/24 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.16%

(+0.08pp From 5/24 ’22, -5.91pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (CHUNGNAM)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Tae-heum(PPP / Center-Right) : 51.21%

(+0.29pp From 5/24 ’22, +16.11pp From Last Election)

Yang Seung-jo(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.02%

(-0.63pp From 5/24 ’22, -15.54pp From Last Election)

Choi Gi-bok(CCF / Lean-Right) : 1.77%

(+0.34pp From 5/24 ’22, -0.57pp From Last Election)

_TREND (CHUNGNAM)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 58.27%

(-0.01pp From 5/24 ’22, +0.73pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 39.76%

(+0.17pp From 5/24 ’22, +0.57pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.32%

(-0.07pp From 5/24 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.65%

(-0.09pp From 5/24 ’22, -2.62pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/25 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(total 10,761 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/16 and 5/23 for Gyeonggi, 12 polling data(total 9,168 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/15 and 5/22 for Chungnam, 9 polling data(total 8,348 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/16 and 5/23 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/23 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/23 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 3

GYEONGGI

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.21%

(+0.76pp From 5/21 ’21, +11.69pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 44.62%

(-1.03pp From 5/21 ’21, -11.79pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 5.76%

(+0.10pp From 5/21 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.41%

(+0.17pp From 5/21 ’21, -5.66pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 59.18%

(-1.34pp From 5/21 ’21, +1.64pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 38.55%

(+1.33pp From 5/21 ’21, -0.64pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.62%

(-0.05pp From 5/21 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.65%

(+0.06pp From 5/21 ’21, -2.62pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/23 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 13 polling data(total 11,337 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/14 and 5/21 for Gyeonggi, 9 polling data(total 6,721 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/14 and 5/21 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Oceania

[Australia General Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Australia, we are projecting that the Labor Party will be the largest party likely but the majority is not certain as it is still a Key Race between them and Liberal/Nationals.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Labor Party(ALP / Center-Left) : 77 Seats

(+9 From Last Election)

Liberal/National Coalition(L/NC / Center-Right) : 68 Seats

(-9 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Katter’s Australian Party(KAP / Right-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Center Alliance(CA / Lean-Left) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Pauline Hanson’s One Nation(ONP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

United Australia Party(UAP / Right-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection(Primary)

Liberal/National Coalition(L/NC / Center-Right) : 35.37%

(-6.07pp From Last Election)

Labor Party(ALP / Center-Left) : 35.23%

(+1.89pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 12.31%

(+1.91pp From Last Election)

Pauline Hanson’s One Nation(ONP / Far-Right) : 5.12%

(+2.04pp From Last Election)

United Australia Party(UAP / Right-wing) : 3.10%

(-0.33pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 8.87%

(+0.56pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection(TPP)

Labor Party(ALP / Center-Left) : 52.55%

(+4.08pp From Last Election)

Liberal/National Coalition(L/NC / Center-Right) : 47.45%

(-4.08pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 Australia General Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 6 polling data(total 9,380 sample size) fieldwork done between 4/15 and 4/22. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection.

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard