[United States Georgia Senate Election]2022 Runoff FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast
FINAL ’22 PROJECTION
(Update On 2022.12/06)
R1 BASE ’22 PROJECTION
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE
According to Globe Elections UN’s R1 BASE Projection in US Georgia, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close between Raphael Warnock & Herschel Walker in a rematch in just one month time.
_GEORGIA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Raphael Warnock(DP / Center-Left) : 50.49%
(-0.55pp From Last Election)
Herschel Walker(GOP / Right-wing) : 49.51%
(+0.55pp From Last Election)
_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2022 United States Georgia Senate Election Runoff(2nd Round) R1 BASE Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects the results of the 1st Round. R1 Base Projection is calculated by allocating votes of R1 based on political spectrum and support of each candidates & parties/alliances.
_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard
[United States General(House) Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast
FINAL ’22 PROJECTION
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE
According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in United States, we are projecting that it is Extremely Call between Democrats & Republicans both in Seat & Vote Share level.
_POLL BASE PROJECTION
-Seat Projection
Democratic Party(DP / Center-Left) : 221 Seats
(-7 From Oct ’22, -1 From Last Election)
Republican Party(GOP / Center-Right) : 214 Seats
(+7 From Oct ’22, +1 From Last Election)
Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Oct ’22, +0 From Last Election)
-Vote Share Projection
Democratic Party(DP / Center-Left) : 49.34%
(-1.53pp From Oct ’22, -0.93pp From Last Election)
Republican Party(GOP / Center-Right) : 49.19%
(+1.32pp From Oct ’22, +1.96pp From Last Election)
Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.47%
(+0.21pp From Oct ’22, -1.03pp From Last Election)
_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2022 United States General Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 18 polling data(total 106,795 unweighted / 15,545 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 10/31 and 11/7. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
_Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard
[United States Governor Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast
FINAL ’22 PROJECTION
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE
According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in United States, we are projecting that it is Too Close To Call between Republicans & Democrats, with the Republicans quite ahead. However, a opposite picture is expected in terms of governing population.
_NATIONAL MAP
_WISCONSIN PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Tim Michels(GOP / Center-Right) : 50.78%
(+2.34pp From Last Election)
Tony Evers(DP / Center-Left) : 49.00%
(-0.54pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.22%
(-1.80pp From Last Election)
_ARIZONA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Kari Lake(GOP / Right-wing) : 51.09%
(-4.91pp From Last Election)
Katie Hobbs(DP / Lean-Left) : 48.34%
(+6.50pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.57%
(-1.59pp From Last Election)
_NEVADA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Joe Lombardo(GOP / Center-Right) : 49.80%
(+4.49pp From Last Election)
Steve Sisolak(DP / Lean-Left) : 46.72%
(-2.67pp From Last Election)
Brandon Davis(LP / Big Tent) : 1.82%
(+0.93pp From Last Election)
Ed Bridges(IAP / Far-Right) : 0.27%
(-0.77pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.39%
(-1.98pp From Last Election)
-Vote Share Projection
Gretchen Whitmer(DP / Lean-Left) : 50.79%
(-2.52pp From Last Election)
Tudor Dixon(GOP / Right-wing) : 47.63%
(+3.88pp From Last Election)
Mary Buzuma(LP / Big Tent) : 0.30%
(-1.03pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.28%
(-0.33pp From Last Election)
_GEORGIA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Brian Kemp(GOP / Center-Right) : 53.28%
(+3.06pp From Last Election)
Stacey Abrams(DP / Center-Left) : 45.33%
(-3.50pp From Last Election)
Shane Hazel(LP / Big Tent) : 1.23%
(+0.28pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.16%
(+0.16pp From Last Election)
_FLORIDA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Ron DeSantis(GOP / Center-Right) : 54.36%
(+4.77pp From Last Election)
Charlie Crist(DP / Center) : 44.31%
(-4.88pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.33%
(+0.11pp From Last Election)
_PENNSYLVANIA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Josh Shapiro(DP / Left-wing) : 54.54%
(-3.23pp From Last Election)
Doug Mastriano(GOP / Far-Right) : 43.29%
(+2.59pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.17%
(+0.64pp From Last Election)
_NEW HAMPSHIRE PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Chris Sununu(GOP / Lean-Right) : 57.11%
(-8.01pp From Last Election)
Tom Sherman(DP / Lean-Left) : 40.98%
(+7.62pp From Last Election)
Kelly Halldorson(IND LP / Big Tent) : 0.98%
(NEW PARTY)
Karlyn Borysenko(LP / Big Tent) : 0.12%
(-1.31pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.81%
(+0.72pp From Last Election)
_OHIO PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Mike DeWine(GOP / Center-Right) : 61.14%
(+10.75pp From Last Election)
Nan Whaley(DP / Lean-Left) : 37.96%
(-8.72pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.90%
(-0.91pp From Last Election)
_COLORADO POLLING MEAN
Jared Polis(DP / Center-Left) : 54.14%
Heidi Ganahl(GOP / Right-wing) : 43.20%
Kevin Ruskusky(LP / Big Tent) : 0.91%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.75%
_NEW MEXICO POLLING MEAN
Michelle Grisham(DP / Center-Left) : 50.75%
Mark Ronchetti(GOP / Center-Right) : 45.69%
Karen Bedonie(LP / Big Tent) : 3.43%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.13%
_NEW YORK POLLING MEAN
Kathy Hochul(DP / Lean-Left) : 53.06%
Lee Zeldin(GOP / Center-Right) : 46.72%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.22%
_OKLAHOMA POLLING MEAN
Kevin Stitt(GOP / Right-wing) : 50.25%
Joy Hofmeiste(DP / Center) : 47.45%
Ervin Yen(IND GOP / Lean-Right) : 1.66%
Natalie Bruno(LP / Big Tent) : 0.64%
_OREGON POLLING MEAN
Tina Kotek(DP / Lean-Left) : 47.03%
Christine Drazan(GOP / Lean-Right) : 43.54%
Betsy Johnson(IND DP / Lean-Right) : 7.58%
Leon Noble(LP / Big Tent) : 0.59%
Donice Smith(CP / Far-Right) : 0.38%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.88%
_TEXAS POLLING MEAN
Greg Abbott(GOP / Center-Right) : 54.51%
Beto O’Rourke(DP / Lean-Left) : 43.59%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.90%
_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2022 United States Governor Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 83 polling data(total 73,972 unweighted / 61,389 weighted sample size) fieldwork done mostly(exception for Pennsylvania) between 10/31 and 11/7. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard
[United States Senate Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast
FINAL ’22 PROJECTION
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE
According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in United States, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close between Republicans & Democrats, but still the Republicans Party is leading in the overall numbers.
_NATIONAL MAP
_PENNSYLVANIA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Mehmet Oz(GOP / Lean-Right) : 49.00%
(+0.89pp From Nov ’22, +0.23pp From Last Election)
John Fetterman(DP / Left-wing) : 48.65%
(-0.36pp From Nov ’22, +1.31pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.35%
(-0.53pp From Nov ’22, -1.54pp From Last Election)
_ARIZONA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Blake Masters(GOP / Right-wing) : 50.04%
(+1.92pp From Nov ’22, +1.23pp From Last Election)
Mark Kelly(DP / Lean-Left) : 49.52%
(-1.15pp From Nov ’22, -1.64pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.44%
(-0.77pp From Nov ’22, +0.41pp From Last Election)
_GEORGIA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Herschel Walker(GOP / Right-wing) : 49.20%
(+0.00pp From Nov ’22, +0.24pp From Last Election)
Raphael Warnock(DP / Center-Left) : 48.48%
(+1.25pp From Nov ’22, -2.56pp From Last Election)
Chase Oliver(LP / Big Tent) : 2.15%
(+0.20pp From Nov ’22, NEW PARTY)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.17%
(-1.45pp From Nov ’22, NEW PARTY)
_NEW HAMPSHIRE PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Maggie Hassan(DP / Lean-Left) : 50.02%
(+2.04pp From Last Election)
Don Bolduc(GOP / Far-Right) : 47.99%
(-2.25pp From Last Election)
Jeremy Kauffman(LP / Big Tent) : 1.58%
(-0.12pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.41%
(+0.33pp From Last Election)
_NEVADA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Adam Laxalt(GOP / Right-wing) : 49.97%
(+0.40pp From Nov ’22, +5.30pp From Last Election)
Catherine Cortez(DP / Lean-Left) : 47.02%
(-0.39pp From Nov ’22, -0.08pp From Last Election)
Chase Oliver(LP / Big Tent) : 0.90%
(-0.11pp From Nov ’22, NEW PARTY)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.11%
(+0.10pp From Nov ’22, -5.98pp From Last Election)
_WISCONSIN PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Ron Johnson(GOP / Right-wing) : 51.87%
(+1.70pp From Last Election)
Mandela Barnes(DP / Left-wing) : 48.10%
(+1.29pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.03%
(-2.99pp From Last Election)
_NORTH CAROLINA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Ted Budd(GOP / Right-wing) : 51.82%
(+0.76pp From Last Election)
Catherine Cortez(DP / Lean-Left) : 46.41%
(+1.04pp From Last Election)
Shannon Bray(LP / Big Tent) : 1.09%
(-2.48pp From Last Election)
Matthew Hoh(GPUS / Left-wing) : 0.68%
(NEW PARTY)
_OHIO PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
JD Vance(GOP / Right-wing) : 53.62%
(-4.41pp From Last Election)
Tim Ryan(DP / Center) : 45.95%
(+8.79pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.43%
(-4.38pp From Last Election)
_FLORIDA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Marco Rubio(GOP / Right-wing) : 53.72%
(+1.74pp From Last Election)
Val Demings(DP / Lean-Left) : 44.46%
(+0.15pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.82%
(-1.89pp From Last Election)
_COLORADO POLLING MEAN
Michael Bennet(DP / Lean-Left) : 51.29%
Joe O’Dea(GOP / Lean-Right) : 44.93%
Brian Peotter(LP / Big Tent) : 1.59%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.19%
_MISSOURI POLLING MEAN
Eric Schmitt(GOP / Center-Right) : 54.70%
Trudy Valentine(DP / Lean-Left) : 42.14%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 3.16%
_NEW YORK POLLING MEAN
Chuck Schumer(DP / Lean-Left) : 56.79%
Joe Pinion(GOP / Lean-Right) : 39.39%
Diane Sare(LRM / Left-wing) : 1.61%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.21%
_UTAH POLLING MEAN
Mike Lee(GOP / Right-wing) : 51.64%
Evan McMullin(IND / Center-Right) : 42.22%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 6.14%
_WASHINGTON POLLING MEAN
Patty Murray(DP / Lean-Left) : 50.33%
Tiffany Smiley(GOP / Center-Right) : 49.67%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.00%
_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2022 United States Senate Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 85 polling data(total 77,599 unweighted / 65,709 weighted sample size) fieldwork done mostly(exception for North Carolina & Pennsylvania) between 10/31 and 11/7. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard
[Denmark General Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast
FINAL ’22 PROJECTION
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE
According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Sweden, we are projecting that it is a Key Race between Red Bloc led by Mette Frederiksen & Blue Bloc led by Jakob Ellemann-Jensen, with Purple Bloc led by Lars Rasmussen placed as a kingmaker.
_POLL BASE PROJECTION
-Seat Projection
Social Democratic Party(SD / Center-Left) : 47 Seats
(-3 From Last Election)
Liberal Party(VEN / Center-Right) : 25 Seats
(-19 From Last Election)
Green Left(SF / Left-wing) : 16 Seats
(+2 From Last Election)
Moderates(MOD / Center) : 16 Seats
(NEW PARTY)
Denmark Democrats(DD / Right-wing) : 14 Seats
(NEW PARTY)
Liberal Alliance(LA / Center-Right) : 13 Seats
(+9 From Last Election)
Unity List(EL / Left-wing) : 11 Seats
(-2 From Last Election)
Conservative People’s Party(DKF / Center-Right) : 11 Seats
(-1 From Last Election)
New Right(NB / Right-wing) : 8 Seats
(+4 From Last Election)
Social Liberal Party(RV / Lean-Left) : 7 Seats
(-9 From Last Election)
The Alternative(ALT / Left-wing) : 5 Seats
(+0 From Last Election)
Danish People’s Party(DF / Far-Right) : 5 Seats
(-11 From Last Election)
Christian Democrats(KD / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Last Election)
Independent Greens(FG / Left-wing) : 0 Seat
(NEW PARTY)
Other Parties(AND / Mixed) : 1 Seat
(+0 From Last Election)
-Vote Share Projection
Social Democratic Party(SD / Center-Left) : 25.28%
(-0.65pp From Last Election)
Liberal Party(VEN / Center-Right) : 13.59%
(-9.74pp From Last Election)
Green Left(SF / Left-wing) : 9.11%
(+1.50pp From Last Election)
Moderates(MOD / Center) : 8.79%
(NEW PARTY)
Denmark Democrats(DD / Right-wing) : 7.66%
(NEW PARTY)
Liberal Alliance(LA / Center-Right) : 7.65%
(+5.35pp From Last Election)
Unity List(EL / Left-wing) : 6.50%
(-0.35pp From Last Election)
Conservative People’s Party(DKF / Center-Right) : 6.03%
(-0.68pp From Last Election)
New Right(NB / Right-wing) : 4.29%
(+1.96pp From Last Election)
Social Liberal Party(RV / Lean-Left) : 4.24%
(-4.35pp From Last Election)
The Alternative(ALT / Left-wing) : 2.83%
(-0.08pp From Last Election)
Danish People’s Party(DF / Far-Right) : 2.75%
(-5.87pp From Last Election)
Christian Democrats(KD / Lean-Right) : 0.63%
(-1.13pp From Last Election)
Independent Greens(FG / Left-wing) : 0.58%
(NEW PARTY)
Other Parties(AND / Mixed) : 0.07%
(-3.05pp From Last Election)
_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2022 Denmark General Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 11 polling data(total 21,169 unweighted / 19,743 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 10/24 and 10/31. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection.
_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard
[Israel General Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE
According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Israel, Netanyahu Bloc, led by former PM Benjamin Netanyahu is likely to obtain around the majority of 61 seats, but however they’re facing a serious challenge from the Center Bloc led by incumbent PM Yair Lapid, as it is a Key Race between these two.
_POLL BASE PROJECTION
-Seat Projection
Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing) : 32 Seats
(+2 From Last Election)
There Is A Future(YA / Center) : 25 Seats
(+8 From Last Election)
Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right) : 13 Seats
(+7 From Last Election)
National Unity Party(NUP / Lean-Right) : 11 Seats
(-3 From Last Election)
Shas(SHAS / Big Tent) : 8 Seats
(-1 From Last Election)
United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing) : 7 Seats
(+0 From Last Election)
Israel Our Home(YB / Center-Right) : 6 Seats
(-1 From Last Election)
Labor Party(AVO / Center-Left) : 5 Seats
(-2 From Last Election)
Vigour(MER / Left-wing) : 5 Seats
(-1 From Last Election)
United Arab List(RAAM / Big Tent) : 4 Seats
(+0 From Last Election)
New + Renewal(HAD+TA / Left-wing Big Tent) : 4 Seats
(+0 From Last Election)
Jewish Home(JH / Far-Right) : 0 Seat
(-7 From Last Election)
National Alliance(BAL / Left-wing) : 0 Seat
(-2 From Last Election)
New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Last Election)
Youth On Fire(TB / Right-wing Big Tent) : 0 Seat
(NEW PARTY)
Economic Freedom Party(EFP / Big Tent) : 0 Seat
(NEW PARTY)
Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Last Election)
-Vote Share Projection
Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing) : 24.93%
(+0.74pp From Last Election)
There Is A Future(YA / Center) : 19.21%
(+5.29pp From Last Election)
Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right) : 10.22%
(+5.10pp From Last Election)
National Unity Party(NUP / Lean-Right) : 8.80%
(-2.57pp From Last Election)
Shas(SHAS / Big Tent) : 6.55%
(-0.62pp From Last Election)
United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing) : 5.34%
(-0.29pp From Last Election)
Israel Our Home(YB / Center-Right) : 4.77%
(-0.86pp From Last Election)
Labor Party(AVO / Center-Left) : 3.97%
(-2.12pp From Last Election)
Vigour(MER / Left-wing) : 3.55%
(-1.04pp From Last Election)
United Arab List(RAAM / Big Tent) : 3.30%
(-0.49pp From Last Election)
New + Renewal(HAD+TA / Left-wing Big Tent) : 3.25%
(+0.04pp From Last Election)
Jewish Home(JH / Far-Right) : 1.84%
(-4.37pp From Last Election)
National Alliance(BAL / Left-wing) : 1.83%
(+0.22pp From Last Election)
New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left) : 0.86%
(+0.07pp From Last Election)
Youth On Fire(TB / Right-wing Big Tent) : 0.61%
(NEW PARTY)
Economic Freedom Party(EFP / Big Tent) : 0.49%
(NEW PARTY)
Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.48%
(-0.20pp From Last Election)
_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2022 Israel General Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 15 polling data(total 14,154 unweighted / 14,154 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 10/21 and 10/28. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard
[Brazil Presidential Election]2022 2nd Round FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast
FINAL ’22 R2 PROJECTION
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE
According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round FINAL Projection in Brazil, we are projecting it is now Extremely Close between former president Lula da Silva and incumbent president Jair Bolsonaro for the next presidency.
_NATIONAL PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Lula da Silva(FEB / Left-wing) : 50.50%
(-0.81pp From 10/29 ’22, +5.63pp From Last Election)
Jair Bolsonaro(PL / Right-wing) : 49.50%
(+0.81pp From 10/29 ’22, -5.63pp From Last Election)
_STATE PROJECTIONS
-Key Races
MG(Minas Gerais) – LULA +2.74pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>
ES(Espírito Santo) – BOLSONARO +7.46pp (POLL BASE – LULA +0.20pp)
AM(Amazonas) – LULA +8.12pp
AP(Amapá) – LULA +8.26pp
TO(Tocantins) – LULA +10.70pp (POLL BASE – LULA +8.10pp)
RS(Rio Grande do Sul) – BOLSONARO +11.78pp (POLL BASE – BOLSONARO +8.02pp)
-Other Races
MS(Mato Grosso do Sul) – BOLSONARO +16.22pp
GO(Goiás) – BOLSONARO +16.86pp
RJ(Rio de Janeiro) – BOLSONARO +18.10pp
PA(Pará) – LULA +18.12pp
SP(São Paulo) – BOLSONARO +18.14pp
MT(Mato Grosso) – BOLSONARO +18.80pp
PR(Paraná) – BOLSONARO +22.98pp
AL(Alagoas) – LULA +24.96pp
DF(Distrito Federal) – BOLSONARO +26.60pp
RN(Rio Grande do Norte) – LULA +31.76pp
EX(Exterior) – BOLSONARO +32.32pp
PB(Paraíba) – LULA +34.80pp
RR(Roraima) – BOLSONARO +35.76pp
RO(Rondônia) – BOLSONARO +37.12pp
PE(Pernambuco) – LULA +37.72pp
SE(Sergipe) – LULA +39.70pp
SC(Santa Catarina) – BOLSONARO +39.80pp
CE(Ceará) – LULA +46.54pp
AC(Acre) – BOLSONARO +48.06pp
BA(Bahia) – LULA +49.56pp
MA(Maranhão) – LULA +50.64pp
PI(Piauí) – LULA +57.80pp
_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2022 Brazil Presidential Election R2 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 23 polling data(total 120,217 unweighted / 112,040 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 10/22 and 10/29 and reported on Superior Electoral Court(TSE)’s Surveys/Pesquisas Page. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.
_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard
[Brazil Presidential Election]2022 10/29 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average
10/29 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER
_LATEST VIDEO FOR OCTOBER WEEK 5
_LATEST VIDEO FOR OCTOBER 25TH SPECIAL
_DATA
-Vote Share Projection
Lula da Silva(FEB / Left-wing) : 51.31%
(+0.98pp From 10/28 ’22, +6.44pp From Last Election)
Jair Bolsonaro(PL / Right-wing) : 48.69%
(-0.98pp From 10/28 ’22, -6.44pp From Last Election)
_TREND
_AGE
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2022 10/29 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 14 polling data(total 41,978 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 10/20 and 10/27 and reported on Superior Electoral Court(TSE)’s Surveys/Pesquisas Page. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date as the presidential projection.
_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
[Brazil Presidential Election]2022 10/28 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average
10/28 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER
_LATEST VIDEO FOR OCTOBER 25TH SPECIAL
_LATEST VIDEO FOR OCTOBER WEEK 4
_DATA
-Vote Share Projection
Lula da Silva(FEB / Left-wing) : 50.33%
(-0.30pp From 10/27 ’22, +5.46pp From Last Election)
Jair Bolsonaro(PL / Right-wing) : 49.67%
(+0.30pp From 10/27 ’22, -5.46pp From Last Election)
_TREND
_AGE
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2022 10/28 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 16 polling data(total 37,404 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 10/19 and 10/26 and reported on Superior Electoral Court(TSE)’s Surveys/Pesquisas Page. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date as the presidential projection.
Global Elections History Society Center (GEHSC.en) 