According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in Germany, we are projecting that Union Parties have an Edge over Social Democrats, Greens & Alternative.
_SEAT PROJECTION
Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 218 Seats
(+19 From Feb ’23, +66 From Last Election)
Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 130 Seats
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will take the majority in the next parliament.
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in Spain, we are projecting that People’s will again emerge as the largest party beating Socialists, but do not have the majority even with the support from its alies.
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in Italy, we are projecting that Center-Right Coalition will clinch the victory over Center-Left, but it is still Extremely Close between Center-Left & Center-Right in the vote level, which means Center-Left could win if unified.
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Call between Democrats, led by Lee Jae-myung & People Power, led by Chung Jin-suk for the overall control of the next National Assembly.
_SEAT PROJECTION
People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 153 Seats
(+7 From Feb ’23, +47 From Last Election)
Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 140 Seats
(-14 From Feb ’23 -43 From Last Election)
Justice Party(JUS / Center-Left) : 7 Seats
(+7 From Feb ’23, +1 From Last Election)
Progressive Party(PRO / Left-wing) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)
Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Feb ’23, -5 From Last Election)
_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION (Proportional)
People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 49.27%
(+2.19pp From Feb ’23, +7.94pp From Last Election)
Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.07%
(-2.90pp From Feb ’23, +5.98pp From Last Election)
Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 3.27%
(+0.30pp From Feb ’23, -6.40pp From Last Election)
Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.39%
(+0.41pp From Feb ’23, -7.52pp From Last Election)
_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION (Constituency)
Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 49.58%
(-2.79pp From Feb ’23, -1.18pp From Last Election)
People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.85%
(+2.47pp From Feb ’23, +4.44pp From Last Election)
Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.69%
(+0.16pp From Feb ’23, -0.02pp From Last Election)
Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.88%
(+0.16pp From Feb ’23, -3.24pp From Last Election)
2023 South Korea General Election March Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 17 polling data(total 22,672 unweighted / 21,084 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 2/21 and 2/28.
For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
According to Globe Elections UN’s EXCEL Projection in Estonia, Reform Party retain its position as largest party, and Kaja Kallas would likely remain Prime Minister after support from current governing partners of Social Democrats & Fatherland, plus Estonia 200.
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in Poland, United Rights will remain the largest party, but no longer with a majority, while Civic Coalition maintains its strength. There is a three way race for the third place between Poland 2050, The Left, Confederation, and Polish Coalition is back above the threshold of 5% for the first time in 2 years.
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will take the majority in the next parliament.
2023 United Kingdom General Election February Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 11 polling data(44,068 unweighted / 28,219 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 1/24 and 1/31.
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in Italy, we are projecting that Center-Right Coalition will hold control of both Senate & Chamber, but it is Extremely Close between Center-Left + Five Star & Center-Right in the vote level.
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
Global Elections History Society Center (GEHSC.en) 