Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close in Gyeonggi & Chungnam, Too Close To Call in Sejong, and Key Race in Daejeon & Incheon.

_NATIONAL MAP

_GYEONGGI PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.63%

(+0.23pp From 5/25 ’22, +12.11pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.89%

(+0.56pp From 5/25 ’22, -10.52pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 4.57%

(-0.44pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Hwang Soon-sik(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.14%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -1.40pp From Last Election)

Song Young-ju(PRO / Left-wing) : 0.48%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -0.24pp From Last Election)

Seo Tae-sung(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.29%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_CHUNGNAM PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Tae-heum(PPP / Center-Right) : 51.16%

(-0.05pp From 5/25 ’22, +16.06pp From Last Election)

Yang Seung-jo(DPK / Lean-Left) : 48.84%

(+1.82pp From 5/25 ’22, -13.72pp From Last Election)

Choi Gi-bok(CCF / Lean-Right) : W/D

(-1.77pp From 5/25 ’22, -2.34pp From Last Election)

_SEJONG PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Choi Min-ho(PPP / Center-Right) : 52.39%

(+33.79pp From Last Election)

Lee Choon-hee(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.61%

(-23.70pp From Last Election)

_DAEJEON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jang-woo(PPP / Center-Right) : 54.69%

(+22.52pp From Last Election)

Heo Tae-jeong(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.31%

(-11.10pp From Last Election)

_INCHEON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Yoo Jeong-bok(PPP / Center-Right) : 53.20%

(-0.32pp From 5/25 ’22, +17.76pp From Last Election)

Park Nam-choon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 42.26%

(+0.31pp From 5/25 ’22, -15.41pp From Last Election)

Lee Jeong-mi(JUS / Center-Left) : 3.99%

(+0.29pp From 5/25 ’22, +1.17pp From Last Election)

Kim Han-byul(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.55%

(-0.28pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_CHUNGBUK PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Young-hwan(PPP / Center-Right) : 56.00%

(-0.49pp From 5/25 ’22, +26.34pp From Last Election)

Noh Young-min(DPK / Lean-Left) : 44.00%

(+0.49pp From 5/25 ’22, -17.16pp From Last Election)

_GANGWON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Jin-tae(PPP / Right-wing) : 56.76%

(+21.49pp From Last Election)

Lee Kwang-jae(DPK / Lean-Left) : 43.24%

(-21.49pp From Last Election)

_JEJU PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Young-hun(DPK / Lean-Left) : 55.11%

(+15.09pp From Last Election)

Heo Hyang-jin(PPP / Lean-Right) : 38.01%

(-16.98pp From Last Election)

Park Chan-sik(IND / Left-wing) : 5.12%

(NEW PARTY)

Boo Soon-jung(GRN / Left-wing) : 1.76%

(-1.78pp From Last Election)

_SEOUL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 59.32%

(+1.05pp From 5/25 ’22, +1.78pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 39.16%

(-0.60pp From 5/25 ’22, -0.03pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.21%

(-0.11pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Shin Ji-hye(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.19%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -0.30pp From Last Election)

Kim Gwang-jong(IND / Big Tent) : 0.12%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_GYEONGNAM PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Park Wan-su(PPP / Center-Right) : 64.84%

(+21.88pp From Last Election)

Yang Moon-seok(DPK / Lean-Left) : 28.85%

(-23.96pp From Last Election)

Yeo Yeong-gug(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.74%

(NEW PARTY)

Choi Jin-seok(UKP / Center-Left) : 1.57%

(NEW PARTY)

_INCHEON GYEYANG B PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 50.17%

(-8.50pp From Last Election)

Yoon Hyeong-seon(PPP / Center-Right) : 49.83%

(+11.08pp From Last Election)

_GYEONGGI SEONGNAM BUNDANG A PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Ahn Cheol-soo(PPP / Lean-Right) : 66.18%

(+16.11pp From Last Election)

Kim Byung-gwan(DPK / Center) : 33.82%

(-15.53pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 South Korea Governor Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 113 polling data(total 116,236 unweighted / 109,038 weighted sample size – including data for by-elections) fieldwork done mostly(exception for Gangwon) between 5/18 and 5/25. Governor Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/25 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/25 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 4

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.40%

(+0.00pp From 5/24 ’22, +11.88pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.43%

(-0.15pp From 5/24 ’22, -10.98pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 5.01%

(+0.07pp From 5/24 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.16%

(+0.08pp From 5/24 ’22, -5.91pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (CHUNGNAM)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Tae-heum(PPP / Center-Right) : 51.21%

(+0.29pp From 5/24 ’22, +16.11pp From Last Election)

Yang Seung-jo(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.02%

(-0.63pp From 5/24 ’22, -15.54pp From Last Election)

Choi Gi-bok(CCF / Lean-Right) : 1.77%

(+0.34pp From 5/24 ’22, -0.57pp From Last Election)

_TREND (CHUNGNAM)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 58.27%

(-0.01pp From 5/24 ’22, +0.73pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 39.76%

(+0.17pp From 5/24 ’22, +0.57pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.32%

(-0.07pp From 5/24 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.65%

(-0.09pp From 5/24 ’22, -2.62pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/25 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(total 10,761 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/16 and 5/23 for Gyeonggi, 12 polling data(total 9,168 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/15 and 5/22 for Chungnam, 9 polling data(total 8,348 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/16 and 5/23 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/23 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/23 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 3

GYEONGGI

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.21%

(+0.76pp From 5/21 ’21, +11.69pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 44.62%

(-1.03pp From 5/21 ’21, -11.79pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 5.76%

(+0.10pp From 5/21 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.41%

(+0.17pp From 5/21 ’21, -5.66pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 59.18%

(-1.34pp From 5/21 ’21, +1.64pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 38.55%

(+1.33pp From 5/21 ’21, -0.64pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.62%

(-0.05pp From 5/21 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.65%

(+0.06pp From 5/21 ’21, -2.62pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/23 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 13 polling data(total 11,337 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/14 and 5/21 for Gyeonggi, 9 polling data(total 6,721 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/14 and 5/21 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/19 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/19 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 3

GYEONGGI

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 46.29%

(+0.36pp From 5/18 ’21, +10.77pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.94%

(-0.14pp From 5/18 ’21, -10.47pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 5.55%

(-0.10pp From 5/18 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.22%

(-0.12pp From 5/18 ’21, -5.85pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 62.14%

(-0.18pp From 5/18 ’21, +4.60pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 35.18%

(-0.13pp From 5/18 ’21, -4.01pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.68%

(+0.27pp From 5/18 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.00%

(+0.04pp From 5/18 ’21, -2.27pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/19 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 11 polling data(total 10,049 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/10 and 5/17 for Gyeonggi, 9 polling data(total 7,135 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/8 and 5/15 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/17 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/17 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 3

GYEONGGI

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 46.23%

(+0.32pp From 5/16 ’21, -10.18pp From Last Election)

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 45.80%

(+0.23pp From 5/16 ’21, +10.28pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 5.70%

(-0.23pp From 5/16 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.27%

(-0.32pp From 5/16 ’21, -5.80pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 62.13%

(+0.76pp From 5/16 ’21, +4.59pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 35.31%

(-0.40pp From 5/16 ’21, -3.88pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.58%

(+0.02pp From 5/16 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.98%

(-0.38pp From 5/16 ’21, -2.29pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/17 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 11 polling data(total 8,499 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/8 and 5/15 for Gyeonggi, 7 polling data(total 5,522 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/8 and 5/15 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/15 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/15 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 3

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 45.43%

(+0.40pp From 5/12 ’21, +9.91pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.37%

(-0.89pp From 5/12 ’21, -11.04pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 6.41%

(+0.32pp From 5/12 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.79%

(+0.17pp From 5/12 ’21, -5.28pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 59.75%

(+1.76pp From 5/14 ’21, +2.21pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 37.15%

(-1.68pp From 5/14 ’21, -2.04pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.24%

(-0.14pp From 5/14 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.86%

(+0.06pp From 5/14 ’21, -1.41pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/15 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 8 polling data(total 7,067 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/4 and 5/11 for Gyeonggi, 6 polling data(total 5,446 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/4 and 5/11 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/10 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/10 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 2

GYEONGGI

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 46.34%

(-0.75pp From 5/9 ’21, -10.07pp From Last Election)

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 45.49%

(+0.36pp From 5/9 ’21, +9.97pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 5.53%

(-0.22pp From 5/9 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.64%

(+0.61pp From 5/9 ’21, -5.43pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 58.89%

(-0.05pp From 5/9 ’21, +1.35pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 38.09%

(+0.24pp From 5/9 ’21, -1.10pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.32%

(-0.25pp From 5/9 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.70%

(+0.06pp From 5/9 ’21, -1.57pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/10 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 11 polling data(total 8,250 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/1 and 5/8 for Gyeonggi, 8 polling data(total 5,912 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/1 and 5/8 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/9 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/9 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 2

GYEONGGI

_DATA (GYEONGGI)

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.09%

(-0.35pp From 5/8 ’21, -9.32pp From Last Election)

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 45.13%

(-1.15pp From 5/8 ’21, +9.61pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 5.75%

(+3.18pp From 5/8 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.03%

(-1.68pp From 5/8 ’21, -6.04pp From Last Election)

_TREND (GYEONGGI)

_AGE (GYEONGGI)

_DATA (SEOUL)

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 58.94%

(+0.30pp From 5/6 ’21, +1.40pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 37.85%

(-1.03pp From 5/6 ’21, -1.34pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.57%

(+0.16pp From 5/6 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.64%

(+0.57pp From 5/6 ’21, -1.63pp From Last Election)

_TREND (SEOUL)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/9 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 8 polling data(total 5,447 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/1 and 5/8 for Gyeonggi, 7 polling data(total 5,080 sample size) fieldwork done between 4/30 and 5/7 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 5/6 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

5/6 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR MAY WEEK 2

_DATA FOR GYEONGGI

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.19%

(-0.44pp From 3/2 ’21, -9.22pp From Last Election)

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 46.30%

(+0.03pp From 5/2 ’21, +10.78pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 2.51%

(+0.18pp From 3/2 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 4.00%

(+0.23pp From 3/2 ’21, -4.07pp From Last Election)

_TREND FOR GYEONGGI

_DATA FOR SEOUL

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 58.64%

(-0.38pp From 5/2 ’21, +1.10pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 38.88%

(+0.39pp From 3/2 ’21, -0.31pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.41%

(-0.16pp From 3/2 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.07%

(+0.15pp From 3/2 ’21, -2.20pp From Last Election)

_TREND FOR SEOUL

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 5/6 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 7 polling data(total 6,761 sample size) fieldwork done between 4/26 and 5/3 for Gyeonggi, 6 polling data(total 6,554 sample size) fieldwork done between 4/26 and 5/3 for Seoul and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

Asia, South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Presidential Election

[South Korea Presidential Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Too Close To Call between Yoon Seok-youl & Lee Jae-myung. Sim Sang-jung and Huh Kyung-young follow after.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 49.62%

(+5.76pp From Feb ’22, +18.73pp From Last Election) (<-AHN Supported YOON)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 45.80%

(+6.04pp From Feb ’22, +4.71pp From Last Election) <-KIM Supported LEE

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 2.61%

(-0.38pp From Feb ’22, -3.56pp From Last Election)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.56%

(+0.04pp From Feb ’22, NEW PARTY)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : W/D

(-11.03pp From Feb ’22, -21.41pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : W/D

(-0.32pp From Feb ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.41%

(-0.43pp From Feb ’22, +0.98pp From Last Election)

_PROVINCE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

IN​(Incheon) – ​LEE +0.71pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

GY​(Gyeonggi) – ​LEE +1.55pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

SU​(Seoul) – ​YOON +2.55pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

DJ​(Daejeon) – ​LEE +4.09pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

CN​(Chungnam) – ​YOON +7.18pp

CB(Chungbuk) – ​YOON +9.93pp

-Other Races

UL​(Ulsan) – ​YOON +12.76pp

JJ(Jeju) – ​LEE +13.21pp

BU​(Busan) – ​YOON +16.84pp

GA​(Gangwon) – ​YOON +19.46pp

SJ(Sejong) – ​LEE +22.72pp

GN​(Gyeongnam) – ​YOON +24.21pp

GB(Gyeongbuk) – ​YOON +47.32pp

DG​(Daegu) – ​YOON +48.12pp

JB(Jeonbuk) – ​LEE +59.67pp

JN(Jeonnam) – ​LEE +63.58pp

GW(Gwangju) – ​LEE +69.64pp

_GENERAL ELECTION

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 43.18%

(+1.35pp From Feb ’22, +9.34pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 42.34%

(-0.11pp From Feb ’22, +3.66pp From Last Election) <- ODP Merged Into DPK

People Party(TPP / Lean-Right) : 7.64%

(-1.22pp From Feb ’22, +0.84pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.48%

(+0.29pp From Feb ’22, -5.19pp From Last Election)

Basic Income Party(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.07%

(+0.00pp From Feb ’22, NEW PARTY)

Transition Korea(TK / Center) : 0.06%

(-0.03pp From Feb ’22, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.23%

(-0.28pp From Feb ’22, -8.78pp From Last Election)

_PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL

-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>

Approval : 46.52%

(+2.87pp From Feb ’22, -9.68pp From Last Election)

Disapproval : 53.48%

(-2.87pp From Feb ’22, +9.68pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 South Korea Presidential Election FINAL(March) Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 52 polling data(total 65,969 sample size – both record number of polling data & sample size for SK) fieldwork done between 2/23 and 3/2 and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard