FEBUARY ’23 PROJECTION
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Call between Democrats, led by Lee Jae-myung & People Power, led by Chung Jin-suk for the overall control of the next National Assembly.
_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection
Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 154 Seats
(+4 From Jan ’23 -29 From Last Election)
People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 146 Seats
(+6 From Jan ’23, +40 From Last Election)
Justice Party(JUS / Center-Left) : 0 Seat
(-10 From Jan ’23, -6 From Last Election)
Progressive Party(PRO / Left-wing) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Jan ’23, +0 From Last Election)
Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Jan ’23, -5 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection (Proportional)
Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.97%
(+1.16pp From Jan ’23, +8.88pp From Last Election)
People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.08%
(+0.20pp From Jan ’23, +5.75pp From Last Election)
Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 2.97%
(-1.29pp From Jan ’23, -6.70pp From Last Election)
Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.98%
(-0.07pp From Jan ’23, -7.93pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection (Constituency)
Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 52.37%
(+0.87pp From Jan ’23, +1.61pp From Last Election)
People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 45.38%
(-0.16pp From Jan ’23, +1.97pp From Last Election)
Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.53%
(-0.68pp From Jan ’23, -0.18pp From Last Election)
Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.72%
(-0.03pp From Jan ’23, -3.40pp From Last Election)
_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2023 South Korea General Election February Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 16 polling data(total 18,830 unweighted / 16,982 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 1/24 and 1/31.
For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.