Oceania

[Australia General Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Australia, we are projecting that the Labor Party will be the largest party likely but the majority is not certain as it is still a Key Race between them and Liberal/Nationals.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Labor Party(ALP / Center-Left) : 77 Seats

(+9 From Last Election)

Liberal/National Coalition(L/NC / Center-Right) : 68 Seats

(-9 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Katter’s Australian Party(KAP / Right-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Center Alliance(CA / Lean-Left) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Pauline Hanson’s One Nation(ONP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

United Australia Party(UAP / Right-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection(Primary)

Liberal/National Coalition(L/NC / Center-Right) : 35.37%

(-6.07pp From Last Election)

Labor Party(ALP / Center-Left) : 35.23%

(+1.89pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 12.31%

(+1.91pp From Last Election)

Pauline Hanson’s One Nation(ONP / Far-Right) : 5.12%

(+2.04pp From Last Election)

United Australia Party(UAP / Right-wing) : 3.10%

(-0.33pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 8.87%

(+0.56pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection(TPP)

Labor Party(ALP / Center-Left) : 52.55%

(+4.08pp From Last Election)

Liberal/National Coalition(L/NC / Center-Right) : 47.45%

(-4.08pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 Australia General Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 6 polling data(total 9,380 sample size) fieldwork done between 4/15 and 4/22. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection.

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard