According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round FINAL Projection in Colombia, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close between Rodolfo Hernandez & Gustavo Petro for the next presidency.
2022 Colombia Presidential Election R2 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(total 26,014 sample size) fieldwork done between 6/4 and 6/11. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.
According to Globe Elections UN’s 1st Round FINAL Projection in Colombia, we are projecting that there will be a runoff between Gustavo Petro & Fico Gutiérrez somewhat likely after being ahead of Rodolfo Hernández & Sergio Fajardo.
2022 Colombia Presidential Election R1 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 8 polling data(total 21,142 sample size) fieldwork done between 5/13 and 5/20. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.
According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round FINAL Projection in Chile, we are projecting that it is Too Close To Call between José Kast and Gabriel Boric.
_NATIONAL PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Gabriel Boric(AD / Left-wing) : 51.47%
(+6.04pp From Last Election)
José Kast(FSC / Far-Right) : 48.53%
(-6.04pp From Last Election)
_REGIONAL PROJECTIONS
-Key Races
OH(O’Higgins) – KAST +0.11pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>
AT(Atacama) – BORIC +0.96pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>
ML(Maule) – KAST +2.62pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
BI(Biobío) – KAST +4.22pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
AN(Antofagasta) – BORIC +4.44pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round R1 BASE Projection in Chile, we are projecting that it is a Key Race between José Kast and Gabriel Boric but Boric leads over Kast slightly.
_NATIONAL PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Gabriel Boric(AD / Left-wing) : 53.33%
(+7.90pp From Last Election)
José Kast(FSC / Far-Right) : 46.67%
(-7.90pp From Last Election)
_REGIONAL PROJECTIONS
-Key Races
LR(Los Ríos) – BORIC +0.22pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>
LL(Los Lagos) – KAST +1.92pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>
AP(Arica & Parinacota) – KAST +3.52pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
According to Globe Elections UN’s 1st Round FINAL Projection in Chile, we are projecting that it is Too Close To Call between José Kast and Gabriel Boric, and they will face once more in the 2nd Round.
_NATIONAL PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
José Kast(FSC / Far-Right) : 31.81%
(+23.88pp From Last Election)
Gabriel Boric(AD / Left-wing) : 27.22%
(+6.95pp From Last Election)
Yasna Provoste(NPS / Lean-Left) : 12.16%
(-16.42pp From Last Election)
Sebastián Sichel(CP+ / Center-Right) : 10.86%
(-25.78pp From Last Election)
Franco Parisi(PDG / Big Tent) : 10.52%
(NEW PARTY)
Marco Enríquez-Ominami(PRO / Center-Left) : 5.13%
(-0.94pp From Last Election)
Eduardo Artés(UPA / Far-Left) : 2.30%
(+1.79pp From Last Election)
_REGIONAL PROJECTIONS
-Key Races
OH(O’Higgins) – BORIC +1.89pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>
AN(Antofagasta) – KAST +2.86pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
SA(Santiago) – BORIC +3.68pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
VA(Valparaíso) – BORIC +4.90pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Canada, we are projecting that it is extremely close between the Liberals led by Justin Trudeau and the Conservatives led by Erin O’ Toole.
According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in Canada, we are projecting that it is too close to call between the Conservatives led by Erin O’ Toole and the Liberals led by Justin Trudeau.
According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round LIVE Projection in Peru, we are calling that Pedro Castillo is the apparent winner after a extremely close fight with Keiko Fujimori.
(***APPARENT WINNER IS NOT PROJECTED WINNER, IT MEANS WE CAN CALL THAT CANDIDATE WILL WIN, BUT COULD FLIP AFTER OTHER FACTORS SUCH AS RECOUNT OR ANNULMENT OF VOTES)
_NATIONAL RESULTS
-Vote Share Results
Pedro Castillo(PPNPL / Left-wing) : 50.13%
(+0.01pp From Last Election)
Keiko Fujimori(FP / Far-Right) : 49.87%
(-0.01pp From Last Election)
_DEPARTMENTAL RESULTS
-Key Races
LO(Loreto) – FUJIMORI +3.60pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
UC(Ucayali) – FUJIMORI +3.64pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round FINAL Projection in Peru, we are projecting that it is extremely close between Keiko Fujimori and Pedro Castillo, therefore we could not project the winner this election yet.
According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round R1 BASE Projection in Peru, we are projecting that it is extremely close between Keiko Fujimori and Pedro Castillo, therefore we could not project a particular winner.
_NATIONAL PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Keiko Fujimori(FP / Far-Right) : 50.70%
(+0.82pp From Last Election)
Pedro Castillo(PPNPL / Left-wing) : 49.30%
(-0.82pp From Last Election)
_DEPARTMENTAL PROJECTIONS
-Key Races
IC(Ica) – FUJIMORI +2.32pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>
SM(San Martin) – CASTILLO +3.23pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
According to Globe Elections UN’s 1st Round FINAL Projection in Peru, we are projecting that it is extremely close between Pedro Castillo, Yonhy Lescano, Keiko Fujimori, Hernando de Soto, Verónika Mendoza and also Rafael López Aliaga is just behind.
According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round FINAL Projection in Ecuador, we are projecting that it is too close to call between Andrés Arauz and Guillermo Lasso. That’s outside the range of extremely close after the projected margin is over 2.50pp, but there is still a pretty large possibility that Lasso pulls ahead.
Global Elections, History, Society Center (GEHSC.en) 