FINAL ’23 PROJECTION
- _FULL GRAPHICS
- _HEADLINE
- _SEAT PROJECTION
- _VOTE SHARE PROJECTION
- _FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
- _RESEARCH INFORMATION
- _Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboards
_FULL GRAPHICS
_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Canada Alberta, we are projecting that it is EXTREMELY CLOSE between Danielle Smith’s United Conservatives & Rachel Notley’s New Democrats.
_SEAT PROJECTION


United Conservative Party(UCP / Right-wing) : 46 Seats
(-17 From Last Election)

New Democratic Party(NDP / Center-Left) : 41 Seats
(+17 From Last Election)

Alberta Party(AP / Center) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Last Election)

Liberal Party(LIB / Center) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Last Election)

Wildrose Independence Party(WIP / Right-wing) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Last Election)

Solidarity Movement(SM / Big Tent) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Last Election)

The Independence Party(TIP / Big Tent) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Last Election)
_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION


United Conservative Party(UCP / Right-wing) : 48.14%
(-6.79pp From Last Election)

New Democratic Party(NDP / Center-Left) : 46.66%
(+13.94pp From Last Election)

Alberta Party(AP / Center) : 1.87%
(-7.22pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 0.93%
(+0.52pp From Last Election)

Liberal Party(LIB / Center) : 0.50%
(-0.48pp From Last Election)

Wildrose Independence Party(WIP / Right-wing) : 0.24%
(-0.28pp From Last Election)

Solidarity Movement(SM / Big Tent) : 0.15%
(NEW PARTY)

The Independence Party(TIP / Big Tent) : 0.05%
(-0.66pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.46%
(+0.72pp From Last Election)
_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2023 Canada Alberta General Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 14 polling data(19,690 unweighted / 16,374 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 5/21 and 5/28.
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.