[United Kingdom General Election]2023 March Projection / Prediction / Forecast

MARCH ’23 PROJECTION

1. _Globe Elections UN Video
2. _HEADLINE
3. _SEAT PROJECTION
4. _VOTE SHARE PROJECTION
5. _FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
6. _RESEARCH INFORMATION
7. _Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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_Globe Elections UN Video

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_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will take the majority in the next parliament.

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_SEAT PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 395 Seats

(+14 From Feb ’23, +192 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 155 Seats

(-25 From Feb ’23, -210 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 50 Seats

(-5 From Feb ’23, +2 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 26 Seats

(+16 From Feb ’23, +15 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 4 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Right-wing Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +1 From Last Election)

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_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 47.27%

(-0.34pp From Feb ’23, +15.11pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 25.45%

(+2.10pp From Feb ’23, -18.18pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.03%

(-0.13pp From Feb ’23, -2.52pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Right-wing Big Tent) : 6.54%

(+0.19pp From Feb ’23, +4.53pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.04%

(-0.88pp From Feb ’23, +2.34pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 3.73%

(-0.72pp From Feb ’23, -0.15pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.76%

(+0.00pp From Feb ’23, +0.28pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.20%

(+0.09pp From Feb ’23, +0.13pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.98%

(-0.31pp From Feb ’23, -1.54pp From Last Election)

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_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

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_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 United Kingdom General Election March Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 10 polling data(15,936 unweighted / 14,775 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 2/21 and 2/28.

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

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_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboards

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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