MARCH ’23 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in Germany, we are projecting that Union Parties have an Edge over Social Democrats, Greens & Alternative.

_SEAT PROJECTION

Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 218 Seats

(+19 From Feb ’23, +66 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 130 Seats

(-7 From Feb ’23, -76 From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(GRN / Center-Left) : 113 Seats

(-5 From Feb ’23, -5 From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 96 Seats

(-2 From Feb ’23, +13 From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 42 Seats

(-3 From Feb ’23, -50 From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 34 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’23, -5 From Last Election)

South Schleswig Voters’ Association(SSW / Big Tent) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Free Voters(FW / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(SON / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

-Proportional

Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 29.25%

(+2.23pp From Feb ’23, +5.18pp From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 20.05%

(-0.99pp From Feb ’23, -5.69pp From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(GRN / Center-Left) : 17.50%

(-0.66pp From Feb ’23, +2.75pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 14.16%

(+0.05pp From Feb ’23, +3.82pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 6.45%

(-0.44pp From Feb ’23, -5.01pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 4.85%

(-0.01pp From Feb ’23, -0.04pp From Last Election)

Free Voters(FW / Lean-Right) : 2.15%

(-0.05pp From Feb ’23, -0.28pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(SON / Mixed) : 5.59%

(-0.13pp From Feb ’23, -0.73pp From Last Election)

-Constituency

Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 34.04%

(+2.42pp From Feb ’23, +5.48pp From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 20.16%

(-1.11pp From Feb ’23, -6.23pp From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(GRN / Center-Left) : 16.23%

(-0.71pp From Feb ’23, +2.28pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 13.59%

(-0.03pp From Feb ’23, +3.46pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 4.84%

(-0.04pp From Feb ’23, -0.14pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 4.82%

(-0.36pp From Feb ’23, -3.90pp From Last Election)

Free Voters(FW / Lean-Right) : 2.50%

(-0.07pp From Feb ’23, -0.38pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(SON / Mixed) : 3.82%

(-0.10pp From Feb ’23, -0.57pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 Germany General Election March Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 11 polling data(26,411 unweighted / 20,415 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 2/21 and 2/28.

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.