South Korea, SPECIAL - 2022 SK Governor Election

[South Korea Governor Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close in Gyeonggi & Chungnam, Too Close To Call in Sejong, and Key Race in Daejeon & Incheon.

_NATIONAL MAP

_GYEONGGI PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Eun-hye(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.63%

(+0.23pp From 5/25 ’22, +12.11pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.89%

(+0.56pp From 5/25 ’22, -10.52pp From Last Election)

Kang Yong-suk(IND PPP / Right-wing) : 4.57%

(-0.44pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Hwang Soon-sik(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.14%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -1.40pp From Last Election)

Song Young-ju(PRO / Left-wing) : 0.48%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -0.24pp From Last Election)

Seo Tae-sung(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.29%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_CHUNGNAM PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Tae-heum(PPP / Center-Right) : 51.16%

(-0.05pp From 5/25 ’22, +16.06pp From Last Election)

Yang Seung-jo(DPK / Lean-Left) : 48.84%

(+1.82pp From 5/25 ’22, -13.72pp From Last Election)

Choi Gi-bok(CCF / Lean-Right) : W/D

(-1.77pp From 5/25 ’22, -2.34pp From Last Election)

_SEJONG PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Choi Min-ho(PPP / Center-Right) : 52.39%

(+33.79pp From Last Election)

Lee Choon-hee(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.61%

(-23.70pp From Last Election)

_DAEJEON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jang-woo(PPP / Center-Right) : 54.69%

(+22.52pp From Last Election)

Heo Tae-jeong(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.31%

(-11.10pp From Last Election)

_INCHEON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Yoo Jeong-bok(PPP / Center-Right) : 53.20%

(-0.32pp From 5/25 ’22, +17.76pp From Last Election)

Park Nam-choon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 42.26%

(+0.31pp From 5/25 ’22, -15.41pp From Last Election)

Lee Jeong-mi(JUS / Center-Left) : 3.99%

(+0.29pp From 5/25 ’22, +1.17pp From Last Election)

Kim Han-byul(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.55%

(-0.28pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_CHUNGBUK PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Young-hwan(PPP / Center-Right) : 56.00%

(-0.49pp From 5/25 ’22, +26.34pp From Last Election)

Noh Young-min(DPK / Lean-Left) : 44.00%

(+0.49pp From 5/25 ’22, -17.16pp From Last Election)

_GANGWON PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kim Jin-tae(PPP / Right-wing) : 56.76%

(+21.49pp From Last Election)

Lee Kwang-jae(DPK / Lean-Left) : 43.24%

(-21.49pp From Last Election)

_JEJU PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Young-hun(DPK / Lean-Left) : 55.11%

(+15.09pp From Last Election)

Heo Hyang-jin(PPP / Lean-Right) : 38.01%

(-16.98pp From Last Election)

Park Chan-sik(IND / Left-wing) : 5.12%

(NEW PARTY)

Boo Soon-jung(GRN / Left-wing) : 1.76%

(-1.78pp From Last Election)

_SEOUL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Lean-Right) : 59.32%

(+1.05pp From 5/25 ’22, +1.78pp From Last Election)

Song Young-gil(DPK / Lean-Left) : 39.16%

(-0.60pp From 5/25 ’22, -0.03pp From Last Election)

Kwon Soo-joung(JUS / Center-Left) : 1.21%

(-0.11pp From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Shin Ji-hye(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.19%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, -0.30pp From Last Election)

Kim Gwang-jong(IND / Big Tent) : 0.12%

(NEW ENTRY From 5/25 ’22, NEW PARTY)

_GYEONGNAM PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Park Wan-su(PPP / Center-Right) : 64.84%

(+21.88pp From Last Election)

Yang Moon-seok(DPK / Lean-Left) : 28.85%

(-23.96pp From Last Election)

Yeo Yeong-gug(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.74%

(NEW PARTY)

Choi Jin-seok(UKP / Center-Left) : 1.57%

(NEW PARTY)

_INCHEON GYEYANG B PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 50.17%

(-8.50pp From Last Election)

Yoon Hyeong-seon(PPP / Center-Right) : 49.83%

(+11.08pp From Last Election)

_GYEONGGI SEONGNAM BUNDANG A PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Ahn Cheol-soo(PPP / Lean-Right) : 66.18%

(+16.11pp From Last Election)

Kim Byung-gwan(DPK / Center) : 33.82%

(-15.53pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 South Korea Governor Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 113 polling data(total 116,236 unweighted / 109,038 weighted sample size – including data for by-elections) fieldwork done mostly(exception for Gangwon) between 5/18 and 5/25. Governor Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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