Europe, France

[France General Election]2022 1st Round FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 R1 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s 1st Round FINAL Projection in France, we are projecting that the Together could be retaining majority in the next national assembly but it is Extremely Close between Together & New People’s on the vote level.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Together(ENS / Center) : 292 Seats

(-58 From Last Election)

New Ecologic & Social People’s Union(NUPES / Left-wing) : 182 Seats

(+125 From Last Election)

Union Of The Right & Center(UDC / Center-Right) : 44 Seats

(-86 From Last Election)

National Rally(RN / Far-Right) : 34 Seats

(+26pp From Last Election)

Other Left Parties(DVG / Center-Left) : 9 Seats

(-7 From Last Election)

Other Right Parties(DVD / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(-5 From Last Election)

Reconquest!(REC / Right-wing) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Other Center Parties(DVC / Center) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Union For France(UPF / Right-wing) : 0 Seat

(-1 From Last Election)

Extremely Right Parties(EXD / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(-1 From Last Election)

Extremely Left Parties(EXG / Far-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Animalist Party(PA / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Others(DIV / Mixed) : 15 Seats

(+7 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Together(ENS / Center) : 27.14%

(-5.19pp From Last Election)

New Ecologic & Social People’s Union(NUPES / Left-wing) : 27.12%

(+17.04pp From Last Election)

National Rally(RN / Far-Right) : 19.59%

(+6.39pp From Last Election)

Union Of The Right & Center(UDC / Center-Right) : 10.32%

(-8.48pp From Last Election)

Reconquest!(REC / Right-wing) : 5.91%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Left Parties(DVG / Center-Left) : 3.33%

(-3.04pp From Last Election)

Union For France(UPF / Right-wing) : 1.27%

(+0.10pp From Last Election)

Extremely Left Parties(EXG / Far-Left) : 1.19%

(+0.42pp From Last Election)

Animalist Party(PA / Big Tent) : 0.44%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Right Parties(DVD / Center-Right) : 0.40%

(-2.36pp From Last Election)

Other Center Parties(DVC / Center) : 0.36%

(NEW PARTY)

Extremely Right Parties(EXD / Far-Right) : 0.06%

(-0.24pp From Last Election)

Others(DIV / Mixed) : 2.87%

(-0.24pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 France General Election R1 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 13 polling data(total 47,888 sample size) fieldwork done between 6/2 and 6/9. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection.

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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