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[Spain Regional Election]2024 Catalonia FINAL Projection / Prediction / Forecast

CA FINAL ’24 PROJECTION


_FINAL PROJECTION – HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Catalonia, we are projecting that Socialists are narrowly leading Together.


_FINAL PROJECTION – SEAT

Socialist Party(PSC / Center-Left) : 40 Seats

(+7 From Last Election)

Together+Carles Puigdemont For Catalonia(JUNTS+ / Big Tent) : 33 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Republican Left(ERC / Center-Left Big Tent) : 26 Seats

(-7 From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Center-Right) : 12 Seats

(+9 From Last Election)

Voice(VOX / Far-Right) : 10 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Commons Unite(COMU+SMR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 6 Seats

(-2 From Last Election)

Popular Unity Candidacy–Let’s Defend the Land(CUP / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(-4 From Last Election)

Catalan Alliance(AC / Far-Right) : 2 Seats

(NEW ENTRY)

Citizens(CS / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(-6 From Last Election)

At Once(ALH / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(=0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTR / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)


_FINAL PROJECTION – VOTE

***Turnout 64.57%

Socialist Party(PSC / Center-Left) : 28.67%

(+5.45pp From Last Election)

Together+Carles Puigdemont For Catalonia(JUNTS+ / Big Tent) : 20.82%

(+0.58pp From Last Election)

Republican Left(ERC / Center-Left Big Tent) : 17.66%

(-3.82pp From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Center-Right) : 9.10%

(+5.22pp From Last Election)

Voice(VOX / Far-Right) : 7.43%

(-0.31pp From Last Election)

Commons Unite(COMU+SMR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 5.55%

(-1.38pp From Last Election)

Popular Unity Candidacy–Let’s Defend the Land(CUP / Left-wing) : 4.54%

(-2.20pp From Last Election)

Catalan Alliance(AC / Far-Right) : 3.20%

(NEW ENTRY)

Citizens(CS / Lean-Right) : 1.34%

(-4.29pp From Last Election)

At Once(ALH / Big Tent) : 0.99%

(-1.75pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTR / Mixed) : 0.70%

(-0.71pp From Last Election)


_CHATGPT PROJECTION


_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS


_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2024 Spain Catalonia Regional Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 25 polling data(39,175 unweighted / 27,780 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/29 and 5/6Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.


_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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