South Korea

[Opi Wave]Opinion Wave Report For South Korea – GE2024

2024 April Week 1


Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) ~ Democratic Union(DEM / Center-Left)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right Big Tent) + People Future Party(PFP / Center-Right Big Tent)

Green Justice Party(GJP / Center-Left)

New Reform Party(NRP / Center Big Tent)

Progressive Party(PRO / Left-wing) ~ DEM

Rebuilding Korea Party(RKP / Center-Left)

New Future Party(NFP / Center)

Liberty Unification Party(LUP / Far-Right)

New Progressive Union(NPU / Center-Left) ~ DEM


NATIONAL

SEAT PROJECTION

DPK 183 (+11) PPP 91 (-13) GJP 0 (=0) NRP 2 (=0) PRO 4 (+1) RKP 14 (=0) NFP 3 (+2) LUP 0 (=0) NPU 2 (=0) (Comparison With Last Week)

CONSTITUENCY VOTE (FPTP)

DPK 49.34 (+1.05) PPP 40.37 (-1.07) GJP 1.15 (=0.00) NRP 3.33 (-0.32) PRO 1.37 (+0.17) NFP 2.42 (+0.06) LUP 1.08 (-0.06)

PROPORTIONAL VOTE (PR)

DEM 23.75 (+2.24) PFP 34.70 (-2.09) GJP 1.88 (-0.11) NRP 4.49 (-0.34) RKP 28.53 (-0.06) NFP 3.23 (+0.29) LUP 2.21 (+0.18)


PROVINCE

SEOUL

FPTP => DPK 50.55 (+0.96) PPP 40.87 (-0.89) GJP 1.16 (+0.06) NRP 3.05 (-0.26) PRO 0.71 (-0.02) NFP 1.91 (+0.07) LUP 1.12 (-0.01)

PR => DEM 23.01 (+2.69) PFP 34.21 (-1.81) GJP 1.93 (-0.18) NRP 5.31 (-0.09) RKP 28.89 (-0.73) NFP 3.39 (+0.28) LUP 2.31 (+0.11)

BUSAN

FPTP => DPK 43.60 (+1.03) PPP 49.15 (-0.98) GJP 0.76 (-0.07) NRP 1.99 (-0.54) PRO 1.38 (+0.43) NFP 1.21 (-0.15) LUP 1.00 (-0.01)

PR => DEM 19.69 (+1.80) PFP 42.98 (-2.16) GJP 1.87 (-0.04) NRP 3.75 (-0.43) RKP 26.15 (+0.68) NFP 2.34 (-0.15) LUP 1.95 (+0.01)

DAEGU

FPTP => DPK 30.53 (+1.06) PPP 58.94 (-1.48) GJP 0.78 (+0.11) NRP 4.54 (-0.17) PRO 0.82 (+0.07) NFP 0.74 (+0.01) LUP 1.59 (-0.05)

PR => DEM 13.22 (+0.48) PFP 54.41 (-2.58) GJP 1.37 (-0.21) NRP 5.78 (-0.14) RKP 18.49 (+1.35) NFP 2.00 (+0.14) LUP 2.35 (+0.44)

INCHEON

FPTP => DPK 51.76 (+1.00) PPP 38.15 (-1.16) GJP 1.30 (-0.10) NRP 3.62 (-0.48) PRO 0.70 (+0.09) NFP 2.46 (+0.35) LUP 1.11 (+0.13)

PR => DEM 25.32 (+1.93) PFP 33.78 (-1.46) GJP 2.09 (-0.35) NRP 4.35 (-0.64) RKP 27.80 (-0.06) NFP 3.17 (+0.52) LUP 2.46 (+0.22)

GWANGJU

FPTP => DPK 76.51 (-0.15) PPP 5.24 (-0.54) GJP 1.33 (+0.21) NRP 4.39 (-0.16) PRO 3.56 (+0.46) NFP 7.60 (+0.28) LUP 0.61 (-0.23)

PR => DEM 39.43 (+1.85) PFP 5.51 (-0.87) GJP 1.91 (+0.25) NRP 4.50 (-0.15) RKP 41.50 (-1.12) NFP 5.58 (+0.31) LUP 1.01 (-0.11)

DAEJEON

FPTP => DPK 51.19 (+1.30) PPP 39.85 (-1.69) GJP 1.10 (=0.00) NRP 2.66 (-0.03) PRO 0.98 (+0.20) NFP 1.80 (-0.01) LUP 1.42 (+0.07)

PR => DEM 25.29 (+4.18) PFP 33.95 (-1.84) GJP 1.94 (-0.03) NRP 4.67 (-0.39) RKP 27.41 (-2.49) NFP 3.00 (+0.23) LUP 2.65 (+0.44)

ULSAN

FPTP => DPK 39.49 (+0.25) PPP 46.71 (-1.76) GJP 1.27 (-0.13) NRP 2.02 (-0.61) PRO 7.33 (+2.17) NFP 1.23 (-0.18) LUP 1.00 (-0.03)

PR => DEM 20.50 (+1.82) PFP 40.44 (-2.15) GJP 2.70 (+0.37) NRP 3.84 (-0.45) RKP 25.87 (+0.59) NFP 2.33 (-0.15) LUP 1.97 (=0.00)

SEJONG

FPTP => DPK 57.48 (+1.30) PPP 33.55 (-1.51) GJP 1.44 (-0.01) NRP 3.11 (-0.05) PRO 0.69 (+0.14) NFP 1.95 (-0.02) LUP 1.18 (+0.04)

PR => DEM 26.70 (+4.44) PFP 25.60 (-1.35) GJP 2.28 (-0.03) NRP 5.03 (-0.41) RKP 34.93 (-3.14) NFP 2.90 (+0.23) LUP 1.89 (+0.31)

GYEONGGI

FPTP => DPK 52.14 (+1.01) PPP 37.66 (-1.15) GJP 1.15 (-0.10) NRP 3.86 (-0.52) PRO 0.86 (+0.11) NFP 2.43 (+0.35) LUP 1.11 (+0.13)

PR => DEM 24.78 (+1.88) PFP 32.39 (-1.42) GJP 1.77 (-0.30) NRP 4.46 (-0.67) RKP 30.17 (-0.08) NFP 3.13 (+0.52) LUP 2.36 (+0.22)

GANGWON

FPTP => DPK 46.35 (+1.52) PPP 46.82 (-0.93) GJP 0.83 (-0.19) NRP 2.19 (+0.20) PRO 0.83 (-0.26) NFP 1.12 (+0.09) LUP 0.84 (-0.59)

PR => DEM 22.11 (+2.71) PFP 41.31 (-2.25) GJP 2.08 (-0.48) NRP 3.43 (-0.18) RKP 24.10 (-0.61) NFP 2.38 (+0.22) LUP 2.95 (+0.56)

CHUNGBUK

FPTP => DPK 46.67 (+1.34) PPP 44.69 (-1.73) GJP 1.16 (=0.00) NRP 2.37 (-0.01) PRO 0.86 (+0.18) NFP 2.24 (=0.00) LUP 0.97 (+0.05)

PR => DEM 23.46 (+3.93) PFP 39.25 (-2.00) GJP 2.11 (-0.02) NRP 4.23 (-0.33) RKP 23.76 (-2.07) NFP 3.89 (+0.31) LUP 1.84 (+0.31)

CHUNGNAM

FPTP => DPK 47.87 (+1.30) PPP 43.56 (-1.75) GJP 0.95 (=0.00) NRP 2.33 (-0.02) PRO 1.29 (+0.27) NFP 1.80 (-0.01) LUP 1.33 (+0.06)

PR => DEM 24.12 (+3.99) PFP 38.47 (-2.05) GJP 1.96 (-0.03) NRP 4.18 (-0.34) RKP 23.82 (-2.14) NFP 3.43 (+0.26) LUP 2.55 (+0.43)

JEONBUK

FPTP => DPK 70.21 (+0.65) PPP 10.97 (-0.97) GJP 1.79 (+0.28) NRP 4.51 (-0.24) PRO 2.22 (+0.31) NFP 8.00 (+0.28) LUP 1.25 (-0.51)

PR => DEM 34.12 (+1.96) PFP 9.33 (-1.33) GJP 2.17 (+0.29) NRP 3.91 (-0.10) RKP 42.71 (-0.69) NFP 5.11 (+0.33) LUP 1.46 (-0.13)

JEONNAM

FPTP => DPK 70.04 (-0.14) PPP 7.48 (-0.78) GJP 1.41 (+0.20) NRP 5.37 (-0.24) PRO 4.40 (+0.56) NFP 9.42 (+0.31) LUP 0.47 (-0.15)

PR => DEM 39.99 (+2.01) PFP 7.89 (-1.20) GJP 1.92 (+0.25) NRP 4.69 (-0.15) RKP 36.63 (-0.86) NFP 6.62 (+0.38) LUP 1.18 (-0.11)

GYEONGBUK

FPTP => DPK 27.24 (+1.02) PPP 63.28 (-1.44) GJP 1.06 (+0.18) NRP 3.19 (-0.11) PRO 0.89 (+0.10) NFP 1.76 (+0.02) LUP 1.32 (-0.04)

PR => DEM 13.32 (+0.50) PFP 56.82 (-2.62) GJP 1.40 (-0.22) NRP 4.11 (-0.09) RKP 17.47 (+1.32) NFP 2.21 (+0.16) LUP 2.60 (+0.49)

GYEONGNAM

FPTP => DPK 39.63 (+0.91) PPP 51.84 (-1.06) GJP 1.48 (-0.12) NRP 1.87 (-0.52) PRO 1.82 (+0.56) NFP 1.08 (-0.14) LUP 1.08 (-0.01)

PR => DEM 18.80 (+1.77) PFP 45.80 (-2.16) GJP 1.41 (+0.20) NRP 3.50 (-0.39) RKP 24.50 (+0.70) NFP 2.37 (-0.14) LUP 2.08 (+0.01)

JEJU

FPTP => DPK 54.78 (+1.62) PPP 37.47 (-0.87) GJP 1.30 (-0.30) NRP 2.13 (+0.19) PRO 1.45 (-0.47) NFP 1.03 (+0.09) LUP 0.56 (-0.33)

PR => DEM 27.07 (+3.16) PFP 29.25 (-1.81) GJP 2.83 (-0.67) NRP 3.34 (-0.20) RKP 31.97 (-1.05) NFP 2.19 (+0.19) LUP 1.97 (+0.36)


GENDER

MAN

FPTP => DPK 50.34 (+1.72) PPP 38.98 (-1.76) GJP 1.12 (+0.13) NRP 4.23 (-0.59) PRO 1.44 (+0.39) NFP 1.78 (-0.34)

PR => DEM 20.34 (+2.27) PFP 33.30 (-2.43) GJP 1.96 (+0.22) NRP 6.19 (-0.61) RKP 32.31 (+0.16) NFP 2.82 (-0.03) LUP 1.99 (+0.38)

WOMAN

FPTP => DPK 48.53 (+0.20) PPP 41.74 (-0.63) GJP 1.24 (-0.07) NRP 2.11 (-0.22) PRO 1.24 (+0.09) NFP 3.32 (+0.66)

PR => DEM 28.98 (+3.92) PFP 34.91 (-2.75) GJP 1.95 (-0.28) NRP 2.61 (-0.44) RKP 23.97 (-0.98) NFP 3.64 (+0.56) LUP 2.55 (+0.14)


AGE

18~29

FPTP => DPK 50.52 (+0.14) PPP 33.56 (-0.16) GJP 2.48 (+0.49) NRP 6.79 (-0.51) PRO 1.68 (+0.12) NFP 2.50 (-0.07)

PR => DEM 33.62 (+3.80) PFP 25.97 (-0.77) GJP 4.06 (+0.46) NRP 10.02 (-0.82) RKP 18.80 (-3.68) NFP 3.43 (+0.08) LUP 2.65 (+0.72)

30~39

FPTP => DPK 51.28 (+2.27) PPP 32.85 (-3.26) GJP 1.11 (-0.34) NRP 5.32 (-1.19) PRO 1.37 (+0.25) NFP 6.05 (+2.03)

PR => DEM 27.06 (+2.41) PFP 27.76 (-3.16) GJP 2.58 (-0.01) NRP 7.89 (-0.04) RKP 25.43 (-0.15) NFP 6.44 (+1.57) LUP 1.84 (-0.26)

40~49

FPTP => DPK 64.23 (-0.59) PPP 26.63 (-0.70) GJP 0.68 (-0.01) NRP 2.11 (-0.37) PRO 1.42 (+0.39) NFP 2.84 (+0.81)

PR => DEM 26.30 (+1.11) PFP 22.31 (-1.50) GJP 1.16 (-0.33) NRP 3.52 (-0.11) RKP 40.18 (+0.08) NFP 3.48 (+0.86) LUP 1.96 (+0.04)

50~59

FPTP => DPK 55.91 (+0.66) PPP 35.06 (-1.39) GJP 1.18 (+0.12) NRP 2.63 (+0.17) PRO 1.40 (+0.42) NFP 1.77 (-0.46)

PR => DEM 22.29 (+2.90) PFP 29.90 (-2.33) GJP 1.55 (-0.10) NRP 3.33 (+0.12) RKP 37.99 (-0.38) NFP 2.20 (-0.02) LUP 1.77 (-0.01)

60~120

FPTP => DPK 36.54 (+2.28) PPP 56.83 (-1.39) GJP 0.75 (-0.27) NRP 1.90 (-0.29) PRO 1.02 (+0.05) NFP 1.46 (-0.34)

PR => DEM 18.26 (+2.82) PFP 51.52 (-1.99) GJP 1.36 (-0.14) NRP 2.16 (-0.65) RKP 20.32 (+0.11) NFP 2.45 (-0.28) LUP 2.55 (+0.24)


_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

(Only available before next week’s update)


_METHODOLOGY

For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).


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