Asia, South Korea

[South Korea General Election]2023 April Projection / Prediction / Forecast

APRIL ’23 PROJECTION

  1. Globe Elections UN Video
  2. _HEADLINE
  3. _SEAT PROJECTION
  4. _VOTE SHARE PROJECTION
    1. -Proportional
    2. -Constituency
  5. _FULL RESULTS/DETAILS
  6. _RESEARCH INFORMATION
  7. _Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

_Globe Elections UN Video


_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s April Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Democrats, led by Lee Jae-myung now have an Edge over People Power with its new leader Kim Gi-hyeon for the majority of the National Assembly.


_SEAT PROJECTION

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 176 Seats

(+36 From Mar ’23, -7 From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 117 Seats

(-36 From Mar ’23, +11 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JUS / Center-Left) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’23, +1 From Last Election)

Progressive Party(PRO / Left-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’23, -5 From Last Election)


_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

-Proportional

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 51.10%

(+6.03pp From Mar ’23, +12.01pp From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 43.29%

(-5.98pp From Mar ’23, +1.96pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 3.45%

(+0.18pp From Mar ’23, -6.22pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.16%

(-0.23pp From Mar ’23, -7.75pp From Last Election)

-Constituency

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 55.75%

(+6.17pp From Mar ’23, +4.99pp From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 41.69%

(-6.16pp From Mar ’23, -1.72pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.77%

(+0.08pp From Mar ’23, +0.06pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.79%

(-0.09pp From Mar ’23, -3.33pp From Last Election)


_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS


_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 South Korea General Election April Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 14 polling data(18,154 unweighted / 14,809 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 3/24 and 3/31.

For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.


_Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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