R1 FINAL ’24 PROJECTION

_FINAL PROJECTION – HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s R1 FINAL Projection in Slovakia, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close between Ivan Korčok & Peter Pellegrini, Peter Pellegrini & Ivan Korčok.

_FINAL PROJECTION – NATIONAL

Ivan Korčok(PS / Center) : 36.90%

(-3.82pp From Last Election)

Peter Pellegrini(HLAS / Center-Left) : 36.73%

(+15.33pp From Last Election)

Štefan Harabin(SNS / Right-wing Big Tent) : 13.97%

(-0.67pp From Last Election)

Igor Matovič(OĽANO / Center-Right) : 3.91%

(-1.81pp From Last Election)

Krisztián Forró(ALI / Center-Right Big Tent) : 2.74%

(-0.41pp From Last Election)

Ján Kubiš(SMER / Left-wing Big Tent) : 2.67%

(NEWLY CONTESTED)

Marian Kotleba(ĽSNS / Far-Right) : 1.72%

(-8.67pp From Last Election)

Patrik Dubovský(ZĽ / Lean-Right) : 0.99%

(NEWLY CONTESTED)

Milan Náhlik(IND / Far-Right) : 0.37%

(-0.14pp From Last Election)

_FINAL PROJECTION – CONSTITUENCY

_CHATGPT PROJECTION

Peter Pellegrini(HLAS / Center-Left) : 36.11%

(+14.71pp From Last Election)

Ivan Korčok(PS / Center) : 35.73%

(-4.99pp From Last Election)

Štefan Harabin(SNS / Right-wing Big Tent) : 14.53%

(-0.11pp From Last Election)

Igor Matovič(OĽANO / Center-Right) : 4.16%

(-1.56pp From Last Election)

Ján Kubiš(SMER / Left-wing Big Tent) : 3.05%

(NEWLY CONTESTED)

Krisztián Forró(ALI / Center-Right Big Tent) : 2.74%

(-0.41pp From Last Election)

Marian Kotleba(ĽSNS / Far-Right) : 1.95%

(-8.44pp From Last Election)

Patrik Dubovský(ZĽ / Lean-Right) : 1.35%

(NEWLY CONTESTED)

Milan Náhlik(IND / Far-Right) : 0.38%

(-0.13pp From Last Election)

_ELECTORAL RATING

Tossup => Nitriansky(Nitra) / Košický(Košice)

Lean HLAS => Banskobystrický(Banská Bystrica)

Likely PS => Trnavský(Trnava)

Likely HLAS => Trenčiansky(Trenčín) / Žilinský(Žilina)

Safe PS => Bratislavský(Bratislava)

Safe HLAS => Prešovský(Prešov)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2024 Slovakia Presidential Election R1 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 6 polling data(7,994 unweighted / 6,777 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 3/12 and 3/19. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.