Israel

[Israel General Election]2021 February Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in Israel, Opposition Coalition will have the absolute majority of the next Knesset over Pro-Netanyahu Coalition. Also, the unity coalition partner Blue & White will have no seats after failing to pass 3.25% threshold. This means that the current prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu will be ousted pretty likely. However, there would be still a long road to a new PM due to the fact that opposition parties did not decide to support a unified candidate.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection By Coalition

Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 74 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, +39 From Last Election)

Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 46 Seats

(+4 From Jan ’21, -6 From Last Election)

Blue & White(B&W / Center) : 0 Seats

(-4 From Jan ’21, -33 From Last Election)

-Seat Projection By Party

Likud / Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 31 Seats

(+4 From Jan ’21, -5 From Last Election)

Yesh Atid / There Is A Future(YA / Center, Opposition) : 18 Seats

(+5 From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

New Hope(NH / Right-wing, Opposition) : 14 Seats

(-4 From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

Joint List(JL / Left-wing Big Tent, Opposition) : 12 Seats

(-1 From Jan ’21, -3 From Last Election)

Yamina / Right(YAM / Far-Right, Opposition) : 11 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, +5 From Last Election)

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent, Pro-Netanyahu) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, -1 From Last Election)

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Yisrael Beiteinu / Israel Our Home(YB / Center-Right, Opposition) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Labor(LAB / Center-Left, Opposition) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Meretz / Vigour(MER / Left-wing, Opposition) : 5 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

Blue & White(B&W / Center, Blue & White) : 0 Seats

(-4 From Jan ’21, -33 From Last Election)

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left, Opposition) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right, Opposition) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed, Opposition) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Coalition

Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 61.04%

(-0.07pp From Jan ’21, +30.76pp From Last Election)

Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 35.72%

(+0.12pp From Jan ’21, -7.41pp From Last Election)

Blue & White(B&W / Center) : 3.24%

(-0.05pp From Jan ’21, -23.35pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Party

Likud / Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 23.88%

(+1.04pp From Jan ’21, -5.58pp From Last Election)

Yesh Atid / There Is A Future(YA / Center, Opposition) : 13.58%

(+2.50pp From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

New Hope(NH / Right-wing, Opposition) : 11.06%

(-3.70pp From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

Joint List(JL / Left-wing Big Tent, Opposition) : 9.13%

(-1.35pp From Jan ’21, -3.54pp From Last Election)

Yamina / Right(YAM / Far-Right, Opposition) : 8.54%

(-1.04pp From Jan ’21, +3.30pp From Last Election)

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent, Pro-Netanyahu) : 6.07%

(-0.60pp From Jan ’21, -1.62pp From Last Election)

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 5.77%

(-0.32pp From Jan ’21, -0.21pp From Last Election)

Yisrael Beiteinu / Israel Our Home(YB / Center-Right, Opposition) : 5.32%

(-0.12pp From Jan ’21, -0.28pp From Last Election)

Labor(LAB / Center-Left, Opposition) : 5.28%

(-0.39pp From Jan ’21, -0.60pp From Last Election)

Meretz / Vigour(MER / Left-wing, Opposition) : 3.66%

(-0.12pp From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

Blue & White(B&W / Center, Blue & White) : 3.24%

(-0.05pp From Jan ’21, -23.35pp From Last Election)

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left, Opposition) : 2.01%

(+1.76pp From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right, Opposition) : 1.83%

(+1.76pp From Jan ’21, +1.41pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed, Opposition) : 0.63%

(+0.63pp From Jan ’21, +0.25pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection By Coalition

Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 61.24%

Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 35.50%

Blue & White(B&W / Center) : 3.26%

-Vote Share Projection By Party

Likud / Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 23.70%

Yesh Atid / There Is A Future(YA / Center, Opposition) : 13.68%

New Hope(NH / Right-wing, Opposition) : 10.98%

Yamina / Right(YAM / Far-Right, Opposition) : 9.60%

Joint List(JL / Left-wing Big Tent, Opposition) : 7.96%

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent, Pro-Netanyahu) : 5.94%

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 5.86%

Yisrael Beiteinu / Israel Our Home(YB / Center-Right, Opposition) : 5.20%

Labor(LAB / Center-Left, Opposition) : 5.04%

Meretz / Vigour(MER / Left-wing, Opposition) : 4.05%

Blue & White(B&W / Center, Blue & White) : 3.26%

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right, Opposition) : 2.56%

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left, Opposition) : 1.96%

Others(OTH / Mixed, Opposition) : 0.21%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TKDMiOMSfOZdhglTYcUOa9POwk95HzPsWaCC6TV2k1U/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/