Canada

[Canada General Election]2021 September Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

SEPTEMBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in Canada, we are projecting that it is too close to call between the Conservatives led by Erin O’ Toole and the Liberals led by Justin Trudeau.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CPC / Center-Right) : 146 Seats

(+25 From Last Election)

Liberal Party(LPC / Lean-Left) : 127 Seats

(-30 From Last Election)

New Democratic Party(NDP / Center-Left) : 40 Seats

(+16 From Last Election)

Quebecers’ Bloc(BQ / Center-Left) : 24 Seats

(-8 From Last Election)

Green Party(GPC / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(-2 From Last Election)

People’s Party(PPC / Right-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(-1 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CPC / Center-Right) : 33.68%

(-0.66pp From Last Election)

Liberal Party(LPC / Lean-Left) : 30.85%

(-2.27pp From Last Election)

New Democratic Party(NDP / Center-Left) : 20.83%

(+4.85pp From Last Election)

Quebecers’ Bloc(BQ / Center-Left) : 6.40%

(-1.23pp From Last Election)

People’s Party(PPC / Right-wing) : 3.95%

(+2.33pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GPC / Left-wing) : 3.25%

(-3.30pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.04%

(+0.28pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

United States

[United States California Governor Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in United States California, we are calling that Gavin Newsom will not be recalled. But Larry Elder is the projected winner on the replace election.

_RECALL ELECTION PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

No – Remain(DP / Center-Left) : 57.99%

(-3.96pp From Last Election)

Yes – Recall(GOP / Center-Right) : 42.01%

(+3.96pp From Last Election)

_REPLACE ELECTION PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Larry Elder(GOP / Right-wing) : 44.09%

Kevin Paffrath(DP / Center-Left) : 10.41%

Kevin Faulconer(GOP / Lean-Right) : 7.01%

John Cox(GOP / Center-Right) : 7.01%

Kevin Kiley(GOP / Center-Right) : 4.42%

Jackie McGowan(DP / Left-wing) : 4.33%

Brandon Ross(DP / Lean-Left) : 3.56%

John Drake(DP / Left-wing) : 2.89%

Holly Baade(DP / Center-Left) : 1.69%

Daniel Watts(DP / Center-Left) : 1.67%

Caitlyn Jenner(GOP / Lean-Right) : 1.54%

Joel Ventresca(DP / Center-Left) : 1.12%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 10.70%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe

[Norway General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Norway, Red Coalition will be gaining the majority in the next Storting very likely as they are ahead of Blue Coalition.

_COALITION LEVEL PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 94 Seats

(+14 From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 68 Seats

(-20 From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 7 Seats

(+6 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 51.52%

(+5.70pp From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 41.69%

(-7.42pp From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 4.89%

(+1.67pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 1.90%

(+0.05pp From Last Election)

_PARTY LEVEL PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 43 Seats

(-6 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 37 Seats

(-8 From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 23 Seats

(+4 From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 21 Seats

(-6 From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 19 Seats

(+8 From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 9 Seats

(+8 From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 7 Seats

(+6 From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 5 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 5 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 24.54%

(-2.65pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 19.55%

(-5.33pp From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 12.49%

(+2.24pp From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 11.90%

(-3.20pp From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 9.04%

(+3.06pp From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 5.34%

(+2.94pp From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 4.89%

(+1.67pp From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 4.73%

(+0.39pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 4.12%

(-0.05pp From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0.97%

(+0.84pp From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0.19%

(-0.11pp From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.14%

(NEW PARTY)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0.14%

(-0.30pp From Last Election)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0.11%

(NEW PARTY)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.09%

(-0.10pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 1.76%

(+0.35pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Poland

[Poland General Election]2021 September Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

SEPTEMBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in Poland, United Rights will be remaining as the largest group in the next Sejm, but no longer with a majority. With Donald Tusk’s return, Civic Coalition has managed to make a big bounce and is now up to around the last election. Poland 2050 is almost down to their starting point. On the other hand, Confederation is significantly up and The Left is now eventually down. However, Polish Coalition is below the 5% threshold and therefore expected to have no seat.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 184 Seats

(+16 From Aug ’21, -51 From Last Election)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 127 Seats

(-4 From Aug ’21, -7 From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 64 Seats

(-13 From Aug ’21, NEW PARTY)

Confederation Freedom & Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 47 Seats

(+1 From Aug ’21, +36 From Last Election)

The Left(LEW / Center-Left) : 38 Seats

(+2 From Aug ’21, -11 From Last Election)

German Minority(MN / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(-2 From Aug ’21, -1 From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, -30 From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, NEW PARTY)

Agreement(POR / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(NEW ENTRY, NEW PARTY)

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 36.00%

(+2.45pp From Aug ’21, -7.59pp From Last Election)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 27.27%

(-0.47pp From Aug ’21, -0.06pp From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 13.82%

(-2.57pp From Aug ’21, NEW PARTY)

Confederation Freedom & Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 10.55%

(+1.47pp From Aug ’21, +3.74pp From Last Election)

The Left(LEW / Center-Left) : 8.66%

(+1.52pp From Aug ’21, -3.91pp From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 2.78%

(-0.71pp From Aug ’21, -5.78pp From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 0.46%

(-0.22pp From Aug ’21, NEW PARTY)

Agreement(POR / Center-Right) : 0.22%

(NEW ENTRY, NEW PARTY)

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 0.24%

(-1.69pp From Aug ’21, -2.52pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 38.76%

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 26.67%

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 13.51%

The Left(LEW / Center-Left) : 8.86%

Confederation Freedom & Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 8.51%

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 2.85%

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 0.47%

reement(POR / Center-Right) : 0.24%

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 0.13%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 September Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

SEPTEMBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Conservatives will be the largrest party in the next parliament with a majority of 42 seats most likely. Also, the Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 352 seats, being ahead of Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 292 by 60.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 343 Seats

(+11 From Aug ’21, -22 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 221 Seats

(-11 From Aug ’21, +18 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 53 Seats

(+1 From Aug ’21, +5 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9 Seats

(+0 From Aug ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 7 Seats

(-1 From Aug ’21, -1 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 6 Seats

(-1 From Aug ’21, -1 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(+0 From Aug ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 2 Seats

(+2 From Aug ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 40.71%

(+0.97pp From Aug ’21, -2.92pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 32.93%

(-1.94pp From Aug ’21, +0.77pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.57%

(+0.76pp From Aug ’21, -3.26pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.12%

(+0.29pp From Aug ’21, +3.44pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.22%

(+0.30pp From Aug ’21, +0.34pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.57%

(+0.91pp From Aug ’21, +0.56pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.77%

(-0.08pp From Aug ’21, +0.29pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.39%

(-0.13pp From Aug ’21, +0.33pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.72%

(-1.08pp From Aug ’21, +0.10pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 40.66%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 33.07%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.43%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.15%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.23%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 3.43%

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.77%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.39%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.87%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Germany

[Germany Federal Election]2021 September Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

SEPTEMBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in Germany, we are projecting that Social Democrats now will be the largest group on the next Bundestag after a historic big surge. For the second place, there is almost a tie between Greens and Christian Democratic/Social Union. Free Democrats are completely steady, Alternative For Germany is slightly down, and The Left is down.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection (Projections Made For All Constituencies From Jun ’21)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 203 Seats

(+103 From Aug ’21, +50 From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 139 Seats

(-9 From Aug ’21, +72 From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 128 Seats

(-68 From Aug ’21, -118 From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 79 Seats

(+3 From Aug ’21, -15 From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 77 Seats

(-1 From Aug ’21, -3 From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 42 Seats

(-1 From Aug ’21, -27 From Last Election)

Free Voters(FW / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 23.24%

(+7.73pp From Aug ’21, +2.73pp From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 21.54%

(-1.47pp From Aug ’21, +12.60pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic/Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 18.39%

(-6.74pp From Aug ’21, -14.36pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 11.90%

(-0.10pp From Aug ’21, +1.15pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 11.02%

(-0.23pp From Aug ’21, -1.62pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 6.29%

(-0.06pp From Aug ’21, -2.95pp From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 7.62%

(+0.87pp From Aug ’21, +2.62pp From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 28.87%

(+9.50pp From Aug ’21, +4.23pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic/Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 21.60%

(-8.07pp From Aug ’21, -15.66pp From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 20.22%

(-1.48pp From Aug ’21, +12.21pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 10.37%

(-0.28pp From Aug ’21, -1.09pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 8.05%

(-0.11pp From Aug ’21, +1.05pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 6.04%

(-0.09pp From Aug ’21, -2.51pp From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 4.85%

(+0.53pp From Aug ’21, +1.77pp From Last Election)

-POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 25.26% 

Christian Democratic/Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 19.50% 

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 18.18% 

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 11.83%

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 10.91%

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 6.74%

Others(SON / Mixed) : 7.58%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2021 September Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

SEPTEMBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that Yoon Seok-youl is now slightly ahead of Lee Jae-myung for the next presidency, but it obviously remains as Key Race.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 48.70%

(-1.10pp From Aug ’21, -3.74pp From Last Election)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 43.21%

(-2.28pp From Aug ’21, -4.05pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 8.09%

(+3.38pp From Aug ’21, +7.79pp From Last Election)

_PROVINCEWIDE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

DJ​(Daejeon) – ​Yoon +0.76%p <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

GY​(Gyeonggi) – ​Yoon +1.04%p <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

IN​(Incheon) – ​Yoon +2.91%p <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

SU​(Seoul) – ​Yoon +7.79%p

UL​(Ulsan) – ​Yoon +8.22%p

CN​(Chungnam) – ​Yoon +8.25%p

CB(Chungbuk) – ​Yoon +8.40%p

JJ(Jeju) – ​Lee +9.42%p

-Other Races

SJ(Sejong) – ​Lee +13.35%p

BU​(Busan) – ​Yoon +14.02%p

GA​(Gangwon) – ​Yoon +15.07%p

GN​(Gyeongnam) – ​Yoon +15.50%p

JN(Jeonnam) – ​Lee +34.05%p

GB(Gyeongbuk) – ​Yoon +37.91%p

GW(Gwangju) – ​Lee +38.55%p

DG​(Daegu) – ​Yoon +40.62%p

JB(Jeonbuk) – ​Lee +45.78%p

_NATIONAL SUPPORT RATING

-Rating

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 29.35%

(-1.86pp From Aug ’21)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 28.28%

(+0.78pp From Aug ’21)

Lee Nak-yon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 14.12%

(-2.92pp From Aug ’21)

Hong Jun-pyo(PPP / Center-Right) : 9.65%

(+5.25pp From Aug ’21)

Yoo Seong-min(PPP / Center-Right) : 3.45%

(+0.92pp From Aug ’21)

Choi Jae-hyung(PPP / Center-Right) : 3.13%

(-2.25pp From Aug ’21)

Choo Mi-ae(DPK / Lean-Left) : 2.80%

(-1.04pp From Aug ’21)

Ahn Cheol-soo(PP / Lean-Right) : 2.33%

(+0.95pp From Aug ’21)

Chung Sye-kyun(DPK / Lean-Left) : 1.87%

(-0.03pp From Aug ’21)

Sim Sang-jung(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.54%

(+0.83pp From Aug ’21)

Won Hee-ryong(PPP / Center-Right) : 0.62%

(+0.15pp From Aug ’21)

Hwang Kyo-ahn(PPP / Right-wing) : 0.45%

(+0.22pp From Aug ’21)

Park Yong-jin(DPK / Center-Left) : 0.39%

(-0.21pp From Aug ’21)

Yoon Hee-sook(PPP / Lean-Right) : 0.30%

(-0.32pp From Aug ’21)

Kim Doo-kwan(DPK / Lean-Left) : 0.25%

(+0.08pp From Aug ’21)

Kim Dong-yeon(IND / Center) : 0.18%

(NEW ENTRY)

Ha Tae-keung(PPP / Lean-Right) : 0.11%

(-0.13pp From Aug ’21)

Park Jin(PPP / Center-Right) : 0.03%

(NEW ENTRY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.15%

(-0.63pp From Aug ’21)

_PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL

-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>

Approval : 40.28%

(-2.19pp From Aug ’21, -15.92pp From Last Election)

Disapproval : 59.72%

(+2.19pp From Aug ’21, +15.92pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

South Korea

[South Korea General Election]2021 September Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

SEPTEMBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in South Korea, People Power will have the supermajority and the Democrats will only manage to take less than 100 seats. Continuing on, People Party is at course to increase quite many seats, Justice Party is up on the seat level but not on the vote share level, Open Democrats are expected to increase few seats.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection (Projections Made For All Constituencies From May ’21)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 224 Seats

(+13 From Aug ’21, +121 From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 55 Seats

(-10 From Aug ’21, -125 From Last Election)

People Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 9 Seats

(-1 From Aug ’21, +6 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Aug ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 5 Seats

(-2 From Aug ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Progressive Party(JBP / Left-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

People’s Livelihoods Party(PPL / Center) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Basic Income Party(BIP / Center-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, NEW PARTY)

Transition Korea(TK / Center) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Aug ’21, -5 From Last Election)

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 48.83%

(+3.10pp From Aug ’21, +14.99pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 27.68%

(-0.57pp From Aug ’21, -7.51pp From Last Election)

People Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 8.27%

(-1.02pp From Aug ’21, +1.47pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 6.51%

(-0.26pp From Aug ’21, -3.16pp From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 5.32%

(-1.03pp From Aug ’21, -0.12pp From Last Election)

Basic Income Party(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.11%

(-0.02pp From Aug ’21, NEW PARTY)

Transition Korea(TK / Center) : 0.08%

(-0.05pp From Aug ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.20%

(-0.15pp From Aug ’21, -7.71pp From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

People’s Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 57.52%

(+2.15pp From Aug ’21, +16.06pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 39.83%

(-1.95pp From Aug ’21, -10.08pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.11%

(-0.07pp From Aug ’21, -0.60pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.54%

(-0.13pp From Aug ’21, -5.28pp From Last Election)

-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>

Approval : 40.28%

(-2.19pp From Aug ’21, -15.92pp From Last Election)

Disapproval : 59.72%

(+2.19pp From Aug ’21, +15.92pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROEJCTION

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

People’s Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 42.27%

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 39.16%

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 6.10%

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 5.80%

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 4.17%

Basic Income Party(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.16%

Transition Korea(TK / Center) : 0.11%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.23%

-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>

Approval : 42.28%

Disapproval : 57.72% 

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Africa

[Zambia Presidential Election]2021 FINAL Results

FINAL ’21 RESULTS

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s LIVE Projection in Zambia, we are calling that Hakainde Hichilema is the projected winner and has defeated Edgar Lungu.

_NATIONAL RESULTS

-Vote Share Results

Hakainde Hichilema(UPND / Center) : 57.52%

(+9.89pp From Last Election)

Edgar Lungu(PF / Center-Left) : 37.72%

(-12.63pp From Last Election)

Other Candiates(OTH / Mixed) : 4.76%

(+2.74pp From Last Election)

_DEPARTMENTAL RESULTS

-Key Races

LS(Lusaka) – Hichilema +10.27pp

CO(Copperbelt) – Hichilema +16.09pp

EA(Eastern) – Lungu +16.68pp

NO(Northern) – Lungu +19.55pp

CE(Central) – Hichilema +25.84pp

-Other Races

LP(Luapula) – Hichilema +29.71pp

MU(Muchinga) – Hichilema +30.85pp

WE(Western) – Hichilema +69.04pp

NW(North-Western) – Hichilema +78.57pp

SO(Southern) – Hichilema +86.26pp

_Globe Elections UN VIDEO – FINAL RESULTS

_Globe Elections UN STREAM – LIVE RESULTS(Part 6)

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard