Category: United States

Election Results & Projection / Prediction / Forecasts From United States.

United States

[United States New Jersey Election]2021 FINAL Results & Projection Analysis

mglee05

FINAL ’21 RESULTS

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s LIVE Projection in United States New Jersey, we have called that Phil Murphy is the Apparent Winner over Jack Ciattareli.

_VIRGINIA RESULTS

-Vote Share Projection

Phil Murphy(DP / Center) : 51.20%

(-4.83pp From Last Election)

Jack Ciattareli(GOP / Center-Right) : 47.97%

(+6.08pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.83%

(-1.25pp From Last Election)

_PROJECTION ANALYSIS

-Average Error Analysis

Globe Elections UN(FINAL Projection) : 1.48%

Globe Elections UN(LIVE Projection) : 0.82%

—————————————————–

RealClearPolitics(Average) : 3.98%

Stellar Spark Studios(Projection) : 3.98%

-Standard Error Analysis

Globe Elections UN(FINAL Projection) : 1.99%

Globe Elections UN(LIVE Projection) : 1.21%

—————————————————–

RealClearPolitics(Average) : 5.66%

Stellar Spark Studios(Projection) : 5.78%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard



United States

[United States Virginia Election]2021 FINAL Results & Projection Analysis

mglee05

FINAL ’21 RESULTS

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s LIVE Projection in United States Virginia, we have called that Glenn Youngkin is the Apparent Winner, then Projected Winner over Terry McAuliffe.

_VIRGINIA RESULTS

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is ec8aaceb9dbcec9db4eb939c2-1.jpg

-Vote Share Projection

Glenn Youngkin(GOP / Center-Right) : 50.09%

(+5.59pp From Last Election)

Terry McAuliffe(DP / Center) : 48.65%

(-5.24pp From Last Election)

Princess Blanding(LPV / Left-wing) : 0.70%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.08%

(-1.05pp From Last Election)

_PROJECTION ANALYSIS

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is ec8aaceb9dbcec9db4eb939c4-2.jpg

-Average Error Analysis

Globe Elections UN(FINAL Projection) : 0.43%

Globe Elections UN(LIVE Projection) : 0.22%

—————————————————–

JHK Forecasts(Forecast) : 0.83%

Stellar Spark Studios(Projection) : 1.49%

RealClearPolitics(Average) : 2.31%

FiveThirtyEight(Average) : 2.51%

Real American Politics(Forecast) : 2.76%

Race To The WH(Forecast) : 2.81%

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is ec8aaceb9dbcec9db4eb939c5-1.jpg

-Standard Error Analysis

Globe Elections UN(FINAL Projection) : 0.59%

Globe Elections UN(LIVE Projection) : 0.36%

—————————————————–

JHK Forecasts(Forecast) : 1.16%

Stellar Spark Studios(Projection) : 1.85%

RealClearPolitics(Average) : 3.14%

FiveThirtyEight(Average) : 3.44%

Real American Politics(Forecast) : 3.77%

Race To The WH(Forecast) : 3.86%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard



United States

[United States Virginia & New Jersey Governor Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

mglee05

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in United States Virginia, we are projecting it is Extremely Close between Glenn Youngkin & Terry McAuliffe. In New Jersey Phil Murphy is ahead of Jack Ciattareli but it is Key Race.

_VIRGINIA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Glenn Youngkin(GOP / Center-Right) : 50.09%

(-0.16pp From Nov ’21, +5.11pp From Last Election)

Terry McAuliffe(DP / Center) : 48.27%

(-0.09pp From Nov ’21, -5.62pp From Last Election)

Princess Blanding(LPV / Left-wing) : 0.74%

(-0.40pp From Nov ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.90%

(+0.65pp From Nov ’21, -0.23pp From Last Election)

_NEW JERSEY PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Phil Murphy(DP / Center-Left) : 52.79%

(-3.24pp From Last Election)

Jack Ciattarelli(GOP / Center-Right) : 45.75%

(+3.86pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.46%

(-0.62pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

GLOBAL PROJECTION / PREDICTION / FORECAST DASHBOARD
United States

[United States Virginia Governor Election]2021 VIRTUAL Election Night Results Coverage – All Calculation Data

mglee05

-Globe Elections UN Video

-Main Calculation Data (2021)

Virtual Election Night_November 2021Download

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mtNZO6j-ge7DhHbNvKGzcEW0CVHWiZ4ErtfR-43WVUE/

Final Vote Totals Calculated By ((2016Presidential/2017Governor)*2020Presidential), Partial Vote Totals Based On 2020 Election(Presidential) Results, All Vote Shares Based On Globe Elections UN Projection (November ’21)+2020 Election(Presidential) Situation..

-Past Calculation Data (2020)

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1RVgQKe7__YAh0K2jdfmuOO4Zt2RDIv6_mAE5ofSb5Tw/

***Partial Results Based On 2020 CNN, MSNBC, Newsmax, PBS, CBS Count.

United States

[United States Virginia Governor Election]2021 November Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

mglee05

NOVEMBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s November Projection in United States Virginia, we are projecting it is extremely close between Glenn Youngkin & Terry McAuliffe

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Glenn Youngkin(GOP / Center-Right) : 50.25%

Terry McAuliffe(DP / Center) : 48.36%

Princess Blanding(LPV / Left-wing) : 1.14%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.25%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

GLOBAL PROJECTION / PREDICTION / FORECAST DASHBOARD
United States

[United States California Governor Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

mglee05

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in United States California, we are calling that Gavin Newsom will not be recalled. But Larry Elder is the projected winner on the replace election.

_RECALL ELECTION PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

No – Remain(DP / Center-Left) : 57.99%

(-3.96pp From Last Election)

Yes – Recall(GOP / Center-Right) : 42.01%

(+3.96pp From Last Election)

_REPLACE ELECTION PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Larry Elder(GOP / Right-wing) : 44.09%

Kevin Paffrath(DP / Center-Left) : 10.41%

Kevin Faulconer(GOP / Lean-Right) : 7.01%

John Cox(GOP / Center-Right) : 7.01%

Kevin Kiley(GOP / Center-Right) : 4.42%

Jackie McGowan(DP / Left-wing) : 4.33%

Brandon Ross(DP / Lean-Left) : 3.56%

John Drake(DP / Left-wing) : 2.89%

Holly Baade(DP / Center-Left) : 1.69%

Daniel Watts(DP / Center-Left) : 1.67%

Caitlyn Jenner(GOP / Lean-Right) : 1.54%

Joel Ventresca(DP / Center-Left) : 1.12%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 10.70%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

GLOBAL PROJECTION / PREDICTION / FORECAST DASHBOARD
United States

[USA Georgia Senate Election Runoffs]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

mglee05

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL 2021 Projection in Georgia of USA, we are projecting that the both of the senate races up for runoff are too close to call as our Poll Base & R1 Base Projection is showing the exact opposite situations.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Regular Senate Runoff Projection

Jon Osoff(DP / Lean-Left) : 51.38%

(+0.78pp From Jan ’21, +6.17pp From Last Election)

David Perdue(GOP / Center-Right) : 48.62%

(-0.78pp From Jan ’21, -4.27pp From Last Election)

-Special Senate Runoff Projection

Raphael Warnock(DP / Center-Left) : 51.40%

(+1.01pp From Jan ’21, +10.36pp From Last Election)

Kelly Loeffler(GOP / Center-Right) : 48.60%

(-1.01pp From Jan ’21, -6.20pp From Last Election)

_R1 BASE PROJECTION

-Regular Senate Runoff Projection

David Perdue(GOP / Center-Right) : 50.91%

(+1.19pp From R1, -1.98pp From Last Election)

Jon Osoff(DP / Lean-Left) : 49.09%

(+1.15pp From R1, +3.88pp From Last Election)

-Special Senate Runoff Projection

Kelly Loeffler(GOP / Center-Right) : 50.06%

(+24.15pp From R1, -4.74pp From Last Election)

Raphael Warnock(DP / Center-Left) : 49.94%

(+17.04pp From R1, +8.90pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uyh05MYYkl7MBV1ASP648UwZVpFFVovsTJQ-pXOF1jY/

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/