Category: United States

Election Results & Projection / Prediction / Forecasts From United States.

United States

[United States California Governor Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

mglee05

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in United States California, we are calling that Gavin Newsom will not be recalled. But Larry Elder is the projected winner on the replace election.

_RECALL ELECTION PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

No – Remain(DP / Center-Left) : 57.99%

(-3.96pp From Last Election)

Yes – Recall(GOP / Center-Right) : 42.01%

(+3.96pp From Last Election)

_REPLACE ELECTION PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Larry Elder(GOP / Right-wing) : 44.09%

Kevin Paffrath(DP / Center-Left) : 10.41%

Kevin Faulconer(GOP / Lean-Right) : 7.01%

John Cox(GOP / Center-Right) : 7.01%

Kevin Kiley(GOP / Center-Right) : 4.42%

Jackie McGowan(DP / Left-wing) : 4.33%

Brandon Ross(DP / Lean-Left) : 3.56%

John Drake(DP / Left-wing) : 2.89%

Holly Baade(DP / Center-Left) : 1.69%

Daniel Watts(DP / Center-Left) : 1.67%

Caitlyn Jenner(GOP / Lean-Right) : 1.54%

Joel Ventresca(DP / Center-Left) : 1.12%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 10.70%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

GLOBAL PROJECTION / PREDICTION / FORECAST DASHBOARD
United States

[USA Georgia Senate Election Runoffs]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

mglee05

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL 2021 Projection in Georgia of USA, we are projecting that the both of the senate races up for runoff are too close to call as our Poll Base & R1 Base Projection is showing the exact opposite situations.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Regular Senate Runoff Projection

Jon Osoff(DP / Lean-Left) : 51.38%

(+0.78pp From Jan ’21, +6.17pp From Last Election)

David Perdue(GOP / Center-Right) : 48.62%

(-0.78pp From Jan ’21, -4.27pp From Last Election)

-Special Senate Runoff Projection

Raphael Warnock(DP / Center-Left) : 51.40%

(+1.01pp From Jan ’21, +10.36pp From Last Election)

Kelly Loeffler(GOP / Center-Right) : 48.60%

(-1.01pp From Jan ’21, -6.20pp From Last Election)

_R1 BASE PROJECTION

-Regular Senate Runoff Projection

David Perdue(GOP / Center-Right) : 50.91%

(+1.19pp From R1, -1.98pp From Last Election)

Jon Osoff(DP / Lean-Left) : 49.09%

(+1.15pp From R1, +3.88pp From Last Election)

-Special Senate Runoff Projection

Kelly Loeffler(GOP / Center-Right) : 50.06%

(+24.15pp From R1, -4.74pp From Last Election)

Raphael Warnock(DP / Center-Left) : 49.94%

(+17.04pp From R1, +8.90pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uyh05MYYkl7MBV1ASP648UwZVpFFVovsTJQ-pXOF1jY/

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

United States

[USA Georgia Senate Election Runoffs]2021 January Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

mglee05

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s January 2021 Projection in Georgia of USA, we are projecting that the both of the senate races up for runoff are extremely close. But still we’re putting the democratic challengers – Jon Osoff and Raphael Warnock slightly ahead of the republican incumbents – David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler.

-Regular Senate Runoff Projection

Jon Osoff(DP / Lean-Left) : 50.60%

(+0.97pp From Dec ’20, +5.39pp From Last Election)

David Perdue(GOP / Center-Right) : 49.40%

(-0.97pp From Dec ’20, -3.49pp From Last Election)

-Special Senate Runoff Projection

Raphael Warnock(DP / Center-Left) : 50.39%

(-1.12pp From Dec ’20, +9.35pp From Last Election)

Kelly Loeffler(GOP / Center-Right) : 49.61%

(+1.12pp From Dec ’20, -5.19pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1p1T99IIRJTmsaNe9Y97JoKpad8wtDz4Oc1iNcNPAlc4/

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

United States

[2021 Virtual Election Night in Georgia]December 2020 – All Calculation Data

mglee05

-Main Calculation Data (2021)

virtual-election-night_december-2020Download

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Rn8_vmOuTUV60bsrUjnhKamKU2lSOwmrWcH7UNbhMIo/

***Final Vote Totals Based On 2020 Election(Senate) Results, Partial Vote Totals Based On 2020 Election(Presidential) Results, All Vote Shares Based On Globe Elections UN Forecast (December)+2020 Election(Presidential) Situation.

-Past Calculation Data (2020)

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1cg3_fJIq_MU1IZMgOUu9Bv3AtaEpAf51ce__MgTEStM/

***Partial Results Based On 2020 CNN, MSNBC Election Coverage.

United States

[2021 Virtual Election Night in Georgia]November 2020 – All Calculation Data

mglee05

-Main Calculation Data (2021)

virtual-election-night_november-2020Download

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uyh05MYYkl7MBV1ASP648UwZVpFFVovsTJQ-pXOF1jY/

***Final Vote Totals Based On 2020 Election(Senate) Results, Partial Vote Totals Based On 2020 Election(Presidential) Results, All Vote Shares Based On Globe Elections UN Forecast (R1)+2020 Election(Presidential) Situation.

-Past Calculation Data (2020)

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1cg3_fJIq_MU1IZMgOUu9Bv3AtaEpAf51ce__MgTEStM/

***Partial Results Based On 2020 CNN, MSNBC Election Coverage.

United States

[United States Presidential Election]2020 FINAL Results

mglee05

_HEADLINE

Former vice president Joe Biden has been elected as the next president, defeating the current president Donald Trump, as our Final Projection/Prediction/Forecast suggested before election day.

_NATIONAL RESULTS

_STATEWIDE RESULTS

-Key Races

GA – Biden +0.24%p

AZ – Biden +0.31%p

WI – Biden +0.63%p

PA – Biden +1.18%p

NC – Trump +1.35%p

NV – Biden +2.39%p

MI – Biden +2.78%p

FL – Trump +3.36%p

TX – Trump +5.58%p

MN – Biden +7.11%p

NH – Biden +7.35%p

OH – Trump +8.03%p

IA – Trump +8.20%p

ME – Biden +9.07%p

AK – Trump +10.06%p

SC – Trump +11.68%p

MO – Trump +15.39%p

MT – Trump +16.37%p

-Other Races

VA – Biden +10.11%p

NM – Biden +10.79%p

GU – Biden +13.46%p

CO – Biden +13.50%p

KS – Trump +14.62%p

NJ – Biden +15.89%p

IN – Trump +16.06%p

OR – Biden +16.09%p

MS – Trump +16.53%p

IL – Biden +16.99%p

LA – Trump +18.61%p

DE – Biden +18.97%p

NE – Trump +19.06%p

WA – Biden +19.20%p

CT – Biden +20.03%p

UT – Trump +20.48%p

RI – Biden +20.77%p

NY – Biden +23.11%p

TN – Trump +23.21%p

AL – Trump +25.46%p

KY – Trump +25.94%p

SD – Trump +26.16%p

AR – Trump +27.62%p

CA – Biden +29.16%p

HI – Biden +29.46%p

ID – Trump +30.77%p

OK – Trump +33.09%p

MD – Biden +33.21%p

ND – Trump +33.36%p

MA – Biden +33.46%p

VT – Biden +35.59%p

WV – Trump +38.91%p

WY – Trump +43.38%p

DC – Biden +86.75%p

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iM1tGAvpKSOw6cnmOt1miZe32JREmNWAnjRFPaAFAN8/

_EXIT POLL – PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL

-Presidential Approval <Donald Trump>

Approval : 47.96% 

Disapproval : 52.04% 

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

United States

[United States Presidential Election]2020 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

mglee05

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL 2020 Projection in the United States of America, we can project that former vice president Joe Biden will be elected as the next president. This also means incumbent president Donald Trump will be defeated.

_NATIONWIDE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Joe Biden(DP / Lean-Left) : 52.80% (-0.56pp From November, +4.76pp From Last Election)

Donald Trump(GOP / Right-wing Big Tent) : 45.24% (+0.78pp From November, -0.69pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.96% (-0.22pp From November, -4.07pp From Last Election)

-Presidential Approval Projection <Donald Trump>

Approval : 46.71% (-0.99pp From November)

Disapproval : 53.29% (+0.99pp From November)

_SWING BASE STATEWIDE PROJECTION

-Electoral Vote Projection

Joe Biden(DP / Lean-Left) : 350 E.V.s (+0 From November, +123 From Last Election)

Donald Trump(GOP / Right-wing Big Tent) : 188 E.V.s (+0 From November, -116 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 E.V.s (+0 From November, -7 From Last Election)

-Too Close To Call States

GA – Biden +0.17%p

NC – Biden +1.66%p

AZ – Biden +1.67%p

OH – Trump +2.99%p

TX – Trump +3.88%p

FL – Biden +4.20%p

IA – Trump +4.54%p

WI – Biden +4.58%p

PA – Biden +4.67%p

-Other Key States

MI – Biden +5.16%p

NH – Biden +5.76%p

MN – Biden +6.94%p

NV – Biden +7.89%p

ME – Biden +8.45%p

SC – Trump +9.36%p

AK – Trump +10.88%p

MO – Trump +14.04%p

MT – Trump +16.40%p

_POLL+SWING STATEWIDE PROJECTION (Post-Election Update)

-Too Close To Call States

GA – Biden +0.74%p

NC – Biden +1.58%p

AZ – Biden +2.12%p

OH – Trump +2.50%p

IA – Trump +3.05%p

TX – Trump +3.18%p

FL – Biden +3.46%p

PA – Biden +4.93%p

-Other Key States

NV – Biden +5.72%p

MI – Biden +6.00%p

WI – Biden +6.49%p

NH – Biden +8.77%p

MN – Biden +8.89%p

SC – Trump +9.30%p

AK – Trump +9.51%p

MT – Trump +10.41%p

ME – Biden +10.54%p

MO – Trump +11.41%p

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VG9lFwbhU7Yeai-wthb0XnHnwPxtotG_2B9DejEyhew/

Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/