South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2022 1/21 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

1/21 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR JANUARY WEEK 3

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 41.56%

(-0.13pp From 1/20 ’21, +10.67pp From Last Election)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 39.14%

(+0.03pp From 1/20 ’21, -1.95pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 13.62%

(-0.02pp From 1/20 ’21, -7.79pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 3.10%

(+0.05pp From 1/20 ’21, -3.08pp From Last Election)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.62%

(-0.01pp From 1/20 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.18%

(-0.03pp From 1/20 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.78%

(+0.11pp From 1/20 ’21, +1.35pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_AGE

-Age Projections

~20s – YOON 44.96%, LEE 23.03%, AHN 19.95%, SIM 8.79%, HUH 0.89%, KIM 0.19%, OTHERS 2.19%

30s – YOON 40.52%, LEE 33.56%, AHN 18.59%, SIM 4.20%, HUH 0.76%, KIM 0.23%, OTHERS 2.14%

40s – LEE 55.32%, YOON 25.96%, AHN 14.11%, SIM 1.96%, HUH 0.49%, KIM 0.17%, OTHERS 1.99%

50s – LEE 49.16%, YOON 35.41%, AHN 11.20%, SIM 1.78%, HUH 0.60%, KIM 0.23%, OTHERS 1.62%

60s~ – YOON 54.09%, LEE 33.57%, AHN 9.08%, SIM 1.20%, HUH 0.47%, KIM 0.17%, OTHERS 1.42%

_Research Information

2022 1/21 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN by GEHSC.en & GEHSC.kr, and reflects total 27 polling data(total 25,531 sample size) fieldworked between 1/12 and 1/19 and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2022 1/20 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

1/20 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR JANUARY WEEK 3

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 41.69%

(+0.06pp From 1/19 ’21, +10.80pp From Last Election)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 39.11%

(-0.13pp From 1/19 ’21, -1.98pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 13.64%

(-0.07pp From 1/19 ’21, -7.77pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 3.05%

(+0.04pp From 1/19 ’21, -3.13pp From Last Election)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.63%

(+0.04pp From 1/19 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.21%

(+0.01pp From 1/19 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.67%

(+0.05pp From 1/19 ’21, +1.24pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_AGE

-Age Projections

~20s – YOON 45.36%, LEE 23.03%, AHN 20.19%, SIM 8.42%, HUH 0.85%, KIM 0.10%, OTHERS 2.05%

30s – YOON 39.66%, LEE 33.92%, AHN 19.47%, SIM 3.67%, HUH 0.73%, KIM 0.29%, OTHERS 2.26%

40s – LEE 55.36%, YOON 25.92%, AHN 14.04%, SIM 2.07%, HUH 0.42%, KIM 0.20%, OTHERS 1.99%

50s – LEE 49.29%, YOON 35.12%, AHN 11.36%, SIM 1.91%, HUH 0.53%, KIM 0.15%, OTHERS 1.64%

60s~ – YOON 54.36%, LEE 33.56%, AHN 8.88%, SIM 1.15%, HUH 0.41%, KIM 0.21%, OTHERS 1.43%

_Research Information

2022 1/20 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN by GEHSC.en & GEHSC.kr, and reflects total 25 polling data(total 25,313 sample size) fieldworked between 1/11 and 1/18 and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2022 1/19 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

1/19 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR JANUARY WEEK 3

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 41.63%

(+0.08pp From 1/18 ’21, +10.74pp From Last Election)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 39.24%

(-0.24pp From 1/18 ’21, -1.85pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 13.71%

(+0.11pp From 1/18 ’21, -7.70pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 3.01%

(+0.00pp From 1/18 ’21, -3.17pp From Last Election)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.59%

(+0.11pp From 1/18 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.20%

(+0.03pp From 1/18 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.62%

(-0.09pp From 1/18 ’21, +1.19pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_AGE

-Age Projections

~20s – YOON 44.73%, LEE 23.24%, AHN 20.48%, SIM 8.67%, HUH 0.81%, KIM 0.09%, OTHERS 1.98%

30s – YOON 39.99%, LEE 34.31%, AHN 19.23%, SIM 3.16%, HUH 0.61%, KIM 0.30%, OTHERS 2.40%

40s – LEE 55.15%, YOON 26.23%, AHN 13.95%, SIM 2.27%, HUH 0.26%, KIM 0.08%, OTHERS 2.06%

50s – LEE 49.70%, YOON 35.12%, AHN 10.73%, SIM 1.80%, HUH 0.49%, KIM 0.16%, OTHERS 1.90%

60s~ – YOON 54.04%, LEE 34.02%, AHN 8.73%, SIM 1.17%, HUH 0.28%, KIM 0.27%, OTHERS 1.49%

_Research Information

2022 1/19 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN by GEHSC.en & GEHSC.kr, and reflects total 23 polling data(total 24,314 sample size) fieldworked between 1/10 and 1/17 and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2022 1/18 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

1/18 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR JANUARY WEEK 3

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 41.55%

(+0.68pp From 1/17 ’21, +10.66pp From Last Election)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 39.48%

(+0.01pp From 1/17 ’21, -1.61pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 13.60%

(+0.02pp From 1/17 ’21, -7.81pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 3.01%

(-0.04pp From 1/17 ’21, -3.17pp From Last Election)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.48%

(-0.35pp From 1/17 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.17%

(-0.15pp From 1/17 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.71%

(-0.17pp From 1/17 ’21, +1.28pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_AGE

-Age Projections

~20s – YOON 44.29%, LEE 24.05%, AHN 20.34%, SIM 8.20%, HUH 0.87%, KIM 0.11%, OTHERS 2.14%

30s – YOON 39.12%, LEE 34.20%, AHN 20.11%, SIM 3.22%, HUH 0.68%, KIM 0.31%, OTHERS 2.36%

40s – LEE 54.49%, YOON 27.32%, AHN 13.48%, SIM 2.26%, HUH 0.34%, KIM 0.10%, OTHERS 2.01%

50s – LEE 49.15%, YOON 35.95%, AHN 10.59%, SIM 1.68%, HUH 0.62%, KIM 0.24%, OTHERS 1.77%

60s~ – YOON 53.98%, LEE 34.08%, AHN 8.43%, SIM 1.32%, HUH 0.36%, KIM 0.34%, OTHERS 1.49%

_Research Information

2022 1/18 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN by GEHSC.en & GEHSC.kr, and reflects total 19 polling data(total 20,101 sample size) fieldworked between 1/9 and 1/16 and reported on National Election Survey Deliberation Commission(NESDC)’s Opinion Poll Status. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2022 1/17 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

1/17 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR JANUARY WEEK 3

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 40.87%

(+1.78pp From 1/14 ’21, +9.98pp From Last Election)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 39.47%

(-1.16pp From 1/14 ’21, -1.62pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 13.58%

(-0.46pp From 1/14 ’21, -7.83pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 3.05%

(-0.12pp From 1/14 ’21, -3.13pp From Last Election)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.83%

(+0.14pp From 1/14 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.32%

(+0.09pp From 1/14 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.88%

(-0.27pp From 1/14 ’21, +1.45pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_AGE

-Age Projections

~20s – YOON 39.48%, LEE 25.99%, AHN 22.06%, SIM 8.79%, HUH 1.11%, KIM 0.18%, OTHERS 2.39%

30s – YOON 36.91%, LEE 36.23%, AHN 19.78%, SIM 3.47%, HUH 0.92%, KIM 0.37%, OTHERS 2.32%

40s – LEE 53.90%, YOON 27.20%, AHN 13.46%, SIM 2.51%, HUH 0.60%, KIM 0.15%, OTHERS 2.18%

50s – LEE 49.44%, YOON 35.74%, AHN 10.20%, SIM 1.70%, HUH 0.80%, KIM 0.37%, OTHERS 1.75%

60s~ – YOON 53.54%, LEE 33.73%, AHN 8.86%, SIM 1.15%, HUH 0.64%, KIM 0.56%, OTHERS 1.52%

South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2022 1/14 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

1/14 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR JANUARY WEEK 3

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 40.63%

(-0.84pp From 1/13 ’22, -0.46pp From Last Election)

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 39.09%

(+1.27pp From 1/13 ’22, +8.20pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 14.04%

(-0.30pp From 1/13 ’22, -7.37pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 3.17%

(-0.04pp From 1/13 ’22, -3.01pp From Last Election)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.69%

(+0.20pp From 1/13 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.23%

(-0.07pp From 1/13 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.15%

(-0.22pp From 1/13 ’22, +1.72pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_AGE

-Age Projections

~20s – YOON 33.77%, LEE 28.67%, AHN 24.59%, SIM 9.11%, HUH 0.41%, KIM 0.13%, OTHERS 3.32%

30s – LEE 39.31%, YOON 32.97%, AHN 20.71%, SIM 3.57%, HUH 0.41%, KIM 0.20%, OTHERS 2.83%

40s – LEE 54.86%, YOON 25.94%, AHN 13.58%, SIM 2.61%, HUH 0.39%, KIM 0.13%, OTHERS 2.49%

50s – LEE 49.24%, YOON 35.07%, AHN 10.87%, SIM 2.13%, HUH 0.32%, KIM 0.29%, OTHERS 2.08%

60s~ – YOON 52.87%, LEE 34.03%, AHN 9.39%, SIM 1.14%, KIM 0.50%, HUH 0.34%, OTHERS 1.73%

South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2022 January Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

JANUARY ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s January Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Too Close To Call between Lee Jae-myung & Yoon Seok-youl. But Lee has taken the lead for the first time, Ahn Cheol-soo and Sim Sang-jung follow after.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 44.35%

(+3.84pp From Dec ’21, +3.26pp From Last Election)

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 39.68%

(-7.04pp From Dec ’21, +8.79pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 7.78%

(+3.30pp From Dec ’21, -13.63pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.09%

(-0.43pp From Dec ’21, -2.09pp From Last Election)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.44%

(+0.06pp From Dec ’21, NEW PARTY)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.42%

(-0.16pp From Dec ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 3.24%

(+0.43pp From Dec ’21, +2.81pp From Last Election)

_PROVINCE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

CN​(Chungnam) – ​YOON +1.25pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

CB(Chungbuk) – ​YOON +3.66pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

UL​(Ulsan) – ​YOON +3.86pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

SU​(Seoul) – ​LEE +4.17pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

BU​(Busan) – ​YOON +7.50pp

DJ​(Daejeon) – ​LEE +8.53pp

GA​(Gangwon) – ​YOON +9.14pp

IN​(Incheon) – ​LEE +9.97pp

-Other Races

GY​(Gyeonggi) – ​LEE +10.96pp

GN​(Gyeongnam) – ​YOON +15.13pp

JJ(Jeju) – ​LEE +17.81pp

SJ(Sejong) – ​LEE +27.62pp

GB(Gyeongbuk) – ​YOON +44.95pp

DG​(Daegu) – ​YOON +46.07pp

JN(Jeonnam) – ​LEE +58.51pp

GW(Gwangju) – ​LEE +62.11pp

JB(Jeonbuk) – ​LEE +65.88pp

_GENERAL ELECTION

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 39.50%

(-3.66pp From Dec ’21, +5.66pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 38.89%

(+1.27pp From Dec ’21, +5.53pp From Last Election)

People Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 7.49%

(+1.10pp From Dec ’21, +0.69pp From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 5.55%

(+0.32pp From Dec ’21, +0.11pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 5.01%

(+0.00pp From Dec ’21, -4.66pp From Last Election)

Transition Korea(TK / Center) : 0.31%

(+0.26pp From Dec ’21, NEW PARTY)

Basic Income Party(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.15%

(+0.05pp From Dec ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.10%

(+0.66pp From Dec ’21, -7.91pp From Last Election)

_PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL

-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>

Approval : 43.61%

(+1.71pp From Dec ’21, -12.59pp From Last Election)

Disapproval : 56.39%

(-1.71pp From Dec ’21, +12.59pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2022 1/1 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

1/1 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_VIDEO

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 43.74%

(-0.30pp From 12/31 ’21, +2.65pp From Last Election)

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 40.46%

(-0.14pp From 12/31 ’21, +9.57pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 7.29%

(+0.30pp From 12/31 ’21, -14.12pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.03%

(+0.14pp From 12/31 ’21, -2.15pp From Last Election)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.64%

(-0.13pp From 12/31 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.53%

(-0.10pp From 12/31 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 3.31%

(+0.23pp From 12/31 ’21, +2.88pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_AGE

-Age Projections

~20s – LEE 37.63%, YOON 29.24%, AHN 15.29%, SIM 10.17%, HUH 1.49%, KIM 1.13%, OTHERS 5.05%

30s – LEE 43.58%, YOON 36.70%, AHN 9.06%, SIM 4.99%, HUH 1.26%, KIM 0.58%, OTHERS 3.83%

40s – LEE 58.99%, YOON 28.49%, AHN 6.04%, SIM 2.46%, HUH 0.61%, KIM 0.48%, OTHERS 2.93%

50s – LEE 49.63%, YOON 39.62%, AHN 4.47%, SIM 2.40%, KIM 0.72%, HUH 0.44%, OTHERS 2.72%

60s~ – YOON 56.32%, LEE 34.61%, AHN 4.07%, SIM 2.06%, KIM 0.43%, HUH 0.34%, OTHERS 2.17%

South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2021 12/30 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

12/30 ’21 POLLING FOLLOWER

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 43.76%

(+0.76pp From 12/28 ’21, +2.67pp From Last Election)

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 40.50%

(-1.29pp From 12/28 ’21, +9.61pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 7.19%

(+0.52pp From 12/28 ’21, -14.22pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.02%

(-0.01pp From 12/28 ’21, -2.16pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.69%

(-0.03pp From 12/28 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.39%

(-0.14pp From 12/28 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 3.45%

(+0.19pp From 12/28 ’21, +3.02pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_AGE

-Age Projections

~20s – LEE 35.57%, YOON 32.66%, AHN 14.84%, SIM 9.06%, KIM 1.31%, HUH 1.23%, OTHERS 5.33%

30s – LEE 43.58%, YOON 37.74%, AHN 8.41%, SIM 4.96%, HUH 0.83%, KIM 0.53%, OTHERS 3.95%

40s – LEE 58.94%, YOON 27.98%, AHN 6.50%, SIM 2.62%, HUH 0.46%, KIM 0.38%, OTHERS 3.12%

50s – LEE 50.71%, YOON 39.17%, AHN 3.76%, SIM 2.37%, KIM 0.86%, HUH 0.12%, OTHERS 3.01%

60s~ – YOON 56.63%, LEE 34.31%, AHN 4.44%, SIM 1.99%, KIM 0.50%, HUH 0.07%, OTHERS 2.06%

South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2021 12/29 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

12/29 ’21 POLLING FOLLOWER

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 43.00%

(+0.42pp From 12/28 ’21, +1.91pp From Last Election)

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 41.79%

(-0.65pp From 12/28 ’21, +10.90pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 6.67%

(+0.50pp From 12/28 ’21, -14.74pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.03%

(-0.31pp From 12/28 ’21, -2.15pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.72%

(+0.14pp From 12/28 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.53%

(-0.10pp From 12/28 ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 3.26%

(+0.00pp From 12/28 ’21, +2.83pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_AGE

-Age Projections

~20s – YOON 34.80%, LEE 33.83%, AHN 13.86%, SIM 10.05%, HUH 1.57%, KIM 0.96%, OTHERS 4.93%

30s – LEE 43.11%, YOON 37.68%, AHN 8.55%, SIM 5.12%, HUH 1.05%, KIM 0.54%, OTHERS 3.95%

40s – LEE 58.13%, YOON 29.30%, AHN 6.06%, SIM 2.74%, KIM 0.49%, HUH 0.44%, OTHERS 2.84%

50s – LEE 49.99%, YOON 39.78%, AHN 3.69%, SIM 2.76%, KIM 0.80%, HUH 0.20%, OTHERS 2.78%

60s~ – YOON 57.34%, LEE 33.25%, AHN 4.38%, SIM 2.36%, KIM 0.62%, HUH 0.18%, OTHERS 1.87%