Poland

[Poland General Election]2021 May Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s May Projection in Poland, United Rights will be remaining as the largest group in the next Sejm, but no longer with a majority. The second place is likely to be taken by Poland 2050, a new party led by Szymon Hołownia. Mostly due to Poland 2050’s rise, Civic Coalition is now below 100 seats. On the other hand, The Left is up on the seat level but not on the vote level, and Confederation is significantly up. However, Polish Coalition is below the 5% threshold and therefore won’t have any seats.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 165 Seats

(+3 From Apr ’21, -70 From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 103 Seats

(-3 From Apr ’21, NEW PARTY)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 88 Seats

(+0 From Apr ’21, -46 From Last Election)

The Left(LEWICA / Left-wing) : 55 Seats

(+0 From Apr ’21, +6 From Last Election)

Confederation Freedom & Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 49 Seats

(+1 From Apr ’21, +38 From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’21, -30 From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’21, NEW PARTY)

German Minority Electoral Committee(KWMN / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(-1 From Apr ’21, -1 From Last Election)

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 32.62%

(+2.38pp From Apr ’21, -10.97pp From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 21.65%

(+0.16pp From Apr ’21, NEW PARTY)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 18.92%

(+0.44pp From Apr ’21, -8.41pp From Last Election)

Confederation Freedom & Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 11.34%

(+0.63pp From Apr ’21, +4.53pp From Last Election)

The Left(LEWICA / Left-wing) : 10.61%

(+0.42pp From Apr ’21, -1.96pp From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 3.83%

(-1.07pp From Apr ’21, -4.73pp From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 0.62%

(-1.38pp From Apr ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 0.41%

(-1.58pp From Apr ’21, -0.69pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 35.27%

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 21.26%

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 18.59%

The Left(LEWICA / Left-wing) : 10.91%

Confederation Freedom & Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 9.18%

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 3.94%

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 0.62%

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 0.41%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1wlnJhq1QWvIa7OS0FEXUk8N5Z5P7_eVIPsTEg89_FsM/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Poland

[Poland General Election]2021 April Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s April Projection in Poland, United Rights will be remaining as the largest group in the next Sejm, but no longer with a majority. The second place is projected to be taken by Poland 2050, a new party led by Szymon Hołownia. Due to Poland 2050’s rise, Civic Coalition is now below 100 seats. On the other hand, The Left is up on the seat level but not on the vote level, and Confederation is significantly up. However, Polish Coalition is below the 5% threshold and therefore will have no seat.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 162 Seats

(+5 From Mar ’21, -73 From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 106 Seats

(-8 From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 88 Seats

(-3 From Mar ’21, -46 From Last Election)

The Left(LEWICA / Left-wing) : 55 Seats

(+2 From Mar ’21, +6 From Last Election)

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 48 Seats

(+4 From Mar ’21, +37 From Last Election)

German Minority Electoral Committee(KWMN / Lean-Right) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, -30 From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 30.24%

(+0.15pp From Mar ’21, -13.35pp From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 21.49%

(-1.60pp From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 18.48%

(-0.95pp From Mar ’21, -8.85pp From Last Election)

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 10.71%

(+2.36pp From Mar ’21, +3.90pp From Last Election)

The Left(LEWICA / Left-wing) : 10.19%

(-0.25pp From Mar ’21, -2.38pp From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 4.90%

(+0.63pp From Mar ’21, -3.66pp From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 2.00%

(+0.71pp From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 1.99%

(-1.05pp From Mar ’21, +0.89pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 32.98%

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 21.29%

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 18.31%

The Left(LEWICA / Left-wing) : 10.56%

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 8.75%

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 5.08%

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 2.08%

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 0.95%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PT0moD5HuIAXo57bs3tmfF-aCrpm9d3j7jFTt8qXo5o/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Poland

[Poland General Election]2021 March Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in Poland, United Rights will be remaining as the largest group in the next Sejm, but no longer with a majority. The second place is projected to be taken by Poland 2050, a new party formed by Szymon Hołownia. Due to Poland 2050’s rise, Civic Coalition is now below 100 seats. In the other hand, The Left is up, and Confederation is still significantly up. However, Polish Coalition is below the threshold of 5% and therefore will have no seat.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 157 Seats

(-1 From Feb ’21, -78 From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 114 Seats

(+16 From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 91 Seats

(-17 From Feb ’21, -43 From Last Election)

The Left(LEWICA / Left-wing) : 53 Seats

(+8 From Feb ’21, +4 From Last Election)

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 44 Seats

(-6 From Feb ’21, +33 From Last Election)

German Minority Electoral Committee(KWMN / Lean-Right) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’21, -30 From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 30.09%

(+0.22pp From Feb ’21, -13.50pp From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 23.09%

(+2.11pp From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 19.43%

(-1.80pp From Feb ’21, -7.90pp From Last Election)

The Left(LEWICA / Left-wing) : 10.44%

(+1.36pp From Feb ’21, -2.13pp From Last Election)

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 8.35%

(-2.05pp From Feb ’21, +1.54pp From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 4.27%

(-0.10pp From Feb ’21, -4.29pp From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 1.29%

(+0.30pp From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 3.04%

(-0.04pp From Feb ’21, +1.94pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 32.88%

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 22.92%

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 19.29%

The Left(LEWICA / Left-wing) : 10.84%

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 6.84%

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 4.44%

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 1.34%

Others(INNE / Mixed) : 1.45%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zqqraW02sT7fKvMFoELxJPNA2Stz39Ljgm0NBf585bQ/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Poland

[Poland General Election]2021 February Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s February Projection in Poland, United Rights will be remaining as the largest group in the next Sejm, but no longer with a majority. The nearest, Civic Coalition is also down from the last election. This is due to rise of Poland 2050, a new party formed by Szymon Hołownia. In the other hand, The Left is almost steady with the last election, and Confederation is pretty significantly up. However, Polish Coalition is now below the threshold of 5% for the first time and therefore will have no seats.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 158 Seats

(+4 From Jan ’21, -77 From Last Election)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 108 Seats

(-2 From Jan ’21, -26 From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 98 Seats

(+22 From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 50 Seats

(+7 From Jan ’21, +39 From Last Election)

The Left(KL / Left-wing) : 45 Seats

(-1 From Jan ’21, -4 From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 0 Seats

(-32 From Jan ’21, -30 From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seats

(+0 From Jan ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 29.87%

(-1.12pp From Jan ’21, -13.72pp From Last Election)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 21.23%

(-2.05pp From Jan ’21, -6.10pp From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 20.98%

(+5.13pp From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 10.40%

(+1.57pp From Jan ’21, +3.59pp From Last Election)

The Left(KL / Left-wing) : 9.08%

(-0.49pp From Jan ’21, -3.49pp From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 4.37%

(-2.16pp From Jan ’21, -4.18pp From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 0.99%

(-2.03pp From Jan ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.08%

(+1.15pp From Jan ’21, +1.98pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 32.80%

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 21.18%

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 20.93%

The Left(KL / Left-wing) : 9.48%

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 8.55%

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 4.56%

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 1.03%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.47%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/150w115Wdzz3J3yIp_U4wOYGVTipPQt11RTMPeJS06yc/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Poland

[Poland General Election]2021 January Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s January Projection in Poland, the United Rights will be remaining as the largest coalition in the next Sejm, but with no majority. The nearest contender, Civic Coalition is currently down slightly compared to the last election. This is due to rise of Poland 2050, a new party formed by Szymon Hołownia. In the other hand, The Left and Polish Coalition is almost steady with the last election, and Confederation is still pretty significantly up.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 154 Seats

(+5 From Dec ’20, -81 From Last Election)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 110 Seats

(-1 From Dec ’20, -24 From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 76 Seats

(-4 From Dec ’20, NEW PARTY)

The Left(KL / Left-wing) : 46 Seats

(+1 From Dec ’20, -3 From Last Election)

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 43 Seats

(+1 From Dec ’20, +32 From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 32 Seats

(+0 From Dec ’20, +2 From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 0 Seats

(NEW PARTY, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seats

(+0 From Dec ’20, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 30.99%

(+1.02pp From Dec ’20, -12.60pp From Last Election)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 23.28%

(-1.10pp From Dec ’20, -4.14pp From Last Election)

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 15.85%

(-1.68pp From Dec ’20, NEW PARTY)

The Left(KL / Left-wing) : 9.57%

(-0.10pp From Dec ’20, -3.00pp From Last Election)

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 8.83%

(-0.28pp From Dec ’20, +2.02pp From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 6.53%

(+0.04pp From Dec ’20, -2.02pp From Last Election)

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 3.02%

(NEW PARTY, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.93%

(-0.92pp From Dec ’20, +0.83pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 34.75%

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 23.38%

Poland 2050(PL2050 / Center) : 15.92%

The Left(KL / Left-wing) : 10.60%

Confederation Freedom and Independence(KWiN / Far-Right) : 7.11%

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 4.93%

Kukiz’ 15(K15 / Center-Right) : 2.28%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.03%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iKOPbrazfRlc7mk_gegOAqojhhHWhi0wJsYIhOs8a7E/

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Poland

[Poland General Election]2020 August Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction

_Video

_Headline

According to Globe Elections UN’s August Projection in Poland, the United Rights will be remaining as the largest party in the next Sejm, but with no majority. The nearest contender, Civic Coalition is currently up slightly compared to the last election. In the other hand Conferderations are now up to third, and The Left, Polish Coalition follows on.

_Poll+Error Projection(Full)

-Seat Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 188 Seats (-1 From July, -47 From Last Election)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 137 Seats (+7 From July, +3 From Last Election)

Confederation(KWiN / Far-Right) : 52 Seats (+1 From July, +41 From Last Election)

The Left(KL / Left-wing) : 41 Seats (-4 From July, -8 From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 41 Seats (-3 From July, +11 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seats (+0 From July, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 38.84% (-0.57pp From July, -4.75pp From Last Election)

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 29.68% (+1.36pp From July, +2.26pp From Last Election)

Confederation(KWiN / Far-Right) : 11.22% (+0.03pp From July, +4.41pp From Last Election)

The Left(KL / Left-wing) : 8.80% (-1.05pp From July, -3.76pp From Last Election)

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 8.49% (-0.69pp From July, -0.06pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.96% (+0.91pp From July, +1.86pp From Last Election)

_Poll Only Projection(V.S.)

-Vote Share Projection

United Right(ZP / Right-wing) : 38.84%

Civic Coalition(KO / Center Big Tent) : 29.68%

The Left(KL / Left-wing) : 9.74%

Confederation(KWiN / Far-Right) : 9.02%

Polish Coalition(KP / Lean-Right) : 6.41%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.58%

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZRib80d4xXf-2-saEjdF6ps_ZXJ3zb4giW-Hg0774kA/

List of Nations For Working On Election Projections/Predictions : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Poland

[2020 Poland Presidential Election]2nd Round Globe Elections UN Final Projection/Prediction

-National Projection

Globe Elections United Network is officially projecting that it is too close to call between Andrzej Duda and Rafal Trzaskowski on the 2nd round of Poland presidential election. However, Duda is sill slightly ahead of Trzaskowski by 0.10%p.

-Final(Poll-Base) Projection/Prediction

Andrzej Duda(ZP/United Right – Right-wing) : 50.05% (Incumbent)

Rafal Trzaskowski(KO/Civic Coalition – Center Big Tent) : 49.95%

According to this Final Projection/Prediction, Warsaw Mayor Trzaskowski and President Duda will win 9(8 Safe, 1 Lean), 7(5 Safe, 2 Lean) voivodeships each.

For more detailed information, please visit the following Spreadsheet.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1u6dDh-GtiLeFnfK9Kbb_cZvyXTP9iN3FdOQUVJVDNdc/

-Voivodeship-by-Voivodeship Projection

Poland

[2020 Poland Presidential Election]2nd Round R1-Base Projection/Prediction

-National Projection

Globe Elections United Network is projecting that Andrzej Duda is narrowly leading over Rafal Trzaskowski on the 2nd round of voting according to the 1st round results. Duda is expected to gain 50.80% of the valid votes, Trzaskowski just behind by 1.60%p with 49.20%.

According to the R1-Base Projection, Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski is expected to win 10 out of 16 Voivodeships in Poland. The remaining 6 will be won by President Duda.

For more detailed information, please visit the following Spreadsheet.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1u6dDh-GtiLeFnfK9Kbb_cZvyXTP9iN3FdOQUVJVDNdc/

-Voivodeship-By-Voivodeship Projection

Poland

[2020 Poland Presidential Election]1st Round Final Full Results & Projection/Prediction Analysis

As the official results for the 1st Round Of 2020 Poland Presidential Election are in, Andrzej Duda and Rafal Trzaskowski will be facing off in the run-off – which will be held on July 12th. Including these two candidates, the main candidates for this election held the following support.

-Official Results(100.00% Counted)

Andrzej Duda(ZP/United Right – Right-wing) : 8,450,513 Votes / 48.18% (Incumbent)

Rafal Trzaskowski(KO/Civic Coalition – Center Big Tent) : 5,917,340 Votes / 30.46%

Szymon Hołownia(IND/Independent – Center) : 2,693,397 Votes / 13.87%

Krzysztof Bosak(KWiN/Confederation Freedom and Independence – Far-Right) : 1,317,380 Votes / 6.78%

Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz(KP/Polish Coalition – Lean-Right) : 459,365 Votes / 2.37%

Robert Biedroń(LEWICA/The Left – Left-wing) : 432,129 Votes / 2.23%

Other Candidates(OTH/Other Parties – Mixed) : 155,335 Votes / 0.80%

The turnout for this election was 64.51%, which is 15.55%p higher than the last election in 2015. Also, this was the second-highest turnout ever in any Poland Elections. (After 1995 Poland Presidential Election) Detailly, 19,483,760 poles out of 30,204,792 registered voters turned out to vote.

President Duda won 13 out of 16 Voivodeships in Poland, and the remaining 3 has been won by Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski. (Exactly Same With How We Projected/Predicted!)

And here is the final analysis of all projections/predictions/forecasts made for this election.

-AnalysisAndrzej DudaRafal TrzaskowskiSzymon HołowniaKrzysztof BosakWładysław Kosiniak
-Kamysz
Robert BiedrońAVERAGE
(OTH Also Included)
ZP / United RightKO /
Civic Coalition
BEZ / IndependentKWiN / Confederation
Freedom and
Independence
KP / Polish CoaltionLEWICA / The Left
Right-wingCenter Big TentCenterFar-RightLean-RightLeft-wing
Results43.50%30.46%13.87%6.78%2.36%2.22%
Final Projection
(Polls+Error Cover)
48.18%24.06%10.75%4.81%6.69%2.44%
“Error”4.68%-6.41%-3.12%-1.97%4.32%0.21%±3.28%
Start Projection
(Polls Only)
43.09%28.89%11.72%6.76%5.15%3.67%
“Error”-0.41%-1.57%-2.15%-0.02%2.79%1.45%±1.21%
StanPolityki(SP) Forecast41.14%30.49%12.96%7.31%3.57%3.61%
“Error”-2.36%0.03%-0.91%0.53%1.21%1.39%±0.94%
Ewybory Projection40.80%27.90%12.20%6.80%4.20%3.70%
“Error”-2.70%-2.56%-1.67%0.02%1.84%1.48%±1.99%
Ipsos Exit Poll41.80%30.40%13.30%7.40%2.60%2.90%
“Error”-1.70%-0.06%-0.57%0.62%0.24%0.68%±0.67%

#Conclusion : Don’t Error Cover On Presidential Elections, Only Use Polling Data From Reliable Sources.

Full Analysis And Final Projection/Prediction Can Be Found Below.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13rs5BZW0NSRi2MAO9PPUh_q9RPXFACsUY93d2wl-MuM/