DECEMBER ’21 PROJECTION
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s Decmeber Projection in Italy, we are projecting that now it is Too Close To Call between Center-Right Coalition and Center-Left Coalition + Five Star Movement as the margin declines.
_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection By Extended Coalition
Center-Right Coalition(CDX / Right-wing) : 50.86%
(-1.30pp From Aug ’21, +13.86pp From Last Election)
Center-Left Coalition + Five Star Movement(CDX+M5S / Center-Left Big Tent) : 46.04%
(+1.84pp From Aug ’21, -11.94pp From Last Election)
Others(ALT / Mixed) : 3.10%
(-0.54pp From Aug ’21, -1.92pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Original Coalition
Center-Right Coalition(CDX / Right-wing) : 50.86%
(-1.30pp From Aug ’21, +13.86pp From Last Election)
Center-Left Coalition(CSX / Center-Left) : 24.86%
(+1.57pp From Aug ’21, +2.96pp From Last Election)
Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 17.79%
(-0.06pp From Aug ’21, -14.89pp From Last Election)
Free & Equal(LeU / Left-wing) : 3.39%
(+0.33pp From Aug ’21, -0.01pp From Last Election)
Others(ALT / Mixed) : 3.10%
(-0.54pp From Aug ’21, -1.92pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Party
Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing – CDX) : 22.84%
(-0.51pp From Aug ’21, +18.49pp From Last Election)
League(LEGA / Far-Right – CDX) : 21.31%
(-1.51pp From Aug ’21, +3.96pp From Last Election)
Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 17.79%
(-0.06pp From Aug ’21, -14.89pp From Last Election)
Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left – CSX) : 16.55%
(+1.01pp From Aug ’21, -2.21pp From Last Election)
Forward Italy(FI / Center-Right – CDX) : 5.78%
(+0.20pp From Aug ’21, -8.22pp From Last Election)
Action + More Europe(A+PE / Lean-Left – CSX) : 4.52%
(-0.11pp From Aug ’21, +1.96pp From Last Election)
Free & Equal(LeU / Left-wing) : 3.39%
(+0.33pp From Aug ’21, -0.01pp From Last Election)
Italy Alive(IV / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.14%
(+0.13pp From Aug ’21, NEW PARTY)
Green Europe(EV / Left-wing – CSX) : 1.65%
(+0.44pp From Aug ’21, +1.07pp From Last Election)
Courage Italy(CI / Center-Right – CDX) : 0.93%
(+0.52pp From Aug ’21, -0.37pp From Last Election)
Others(ALT / Mixed) : 3.10%
(-0.54pp From Aug ’21, -1.92pp From Last Election)
_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection By Extended Coalition
Center-Left Coalition + Five Star Movement(CDX+M5S / Center-Left Big Tent) : 49.74%
Center-Right Coalition(CDX / Right-wing) : 47.04%
Others(ALT / Mixed) : 3.22%

-Vote Share Projection By Original Coalition
Center-Right Coalition(CDX / Right-wing) : 47.04%
Center-Left Coalition(CSX/ Center-Left) : 30.22%
Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 15.61%
Free & Equal(LeU / Left-wing) : 3.91%
Others(ALT / Mixed) : 3.22%

-Vote Share Projection By Party
Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left – CSX) : 20.77%
Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing – CDX) : 19.74%
League(LEGA / Far-Right – CDX) : 18.81%
Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent – M5S) : 15.61%
Forward Italy(FI / Center-Right – CDX) : 7.32%
Action + More Europe(A+PE / Lean-Left – CSX) : 4.69%
Free & Equal(LeU / Left-wing – LeU) : 3.91%
Italy Alive(IV / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.68%
Green Europe(EV / Left-wing – CSX) : 2.08%
Courage Italy(CI / Center-Right – CDX) : 1.17%
Others(ALT / Mixed – ALT) : 3.22%