Europe, Italy, SPECIAL - 2022 IT General Election

[Italy General Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Italy, we are projecting that now it is Extremely Close between Center-Left Coalition + Five Star Movement and Center-Right Coalition on the extended coalition level.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection By Original Coalition

Center-Right Coalition(CDX / Right-wing) : 46.21%

(+8.69pp From Last Election)

Center-Left Coalition(CSX/ Center-Left) : 28.51%

(+3.18pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 12.76%

(+19.90pp From Last Election)

Center Coalition(CX / Lean-Left) : 6.48%

(+6.42pp From Last Election)

Italexit(IE / Big Tent) : 2.66%

(+1.71pp From Last Election)

People’s Union(UP / Far-Left) : 1.04%

(-0.10pp From Last Election)

Others(ALT / Mixed) : 2.34%

(+0.00pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Party

Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing) : 24.98%

(+0.57pp From 9/9 ’22, +20.64pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left) : 22.11%

(-0.07pp From 9/9 ’22, +2.73pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 12.76%

(+0.40pp From 9/9 ’22, -19.90pp From Last Election)

League(LEGA / Far-Right) : 12.37%

(-0.47pp From 9/9 ’22, -4.98pp From Last Election)

Forward Italy(FI / Center-Right) : 7.40%

(-0.09pp From 9/9 ’22, -6.59pp From Last Election)

Action + Italy Alive(AZ+IV / Lean-Left) : 6.48%

(+0.07pp From 9/9 ’22, +6.42pp From Last Election)

Greens & Left(AVS / Left-wing) : 3.58%

(+0.16pp From 9/9 ’22, +0.19pp From Last Election)

Italexit(IE / Big Tent) : 2.66%

(-0.02pp From 9/9 ’22, +1.71pp From Last Election)

More Europe(PE / Lean-Left) : 1.85%

(-0.18pp From 9/9 ’22, -0.71pp From Last Election)

Us Moderates(NM / Lean-Right) : 1.46%

(-0.28pp From 9/9 ’22, -0.38pp From Last Election)

Popular Union(UP / Far-Left) : 1.04%

(NEW ENTRY, -0.10pp From Last Election)

Civic Commitment(IC / Lean-Left) : 0.97%

(-0.22pp From 9/9 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(ALT / Mixed) : 2.34%

(-0.93pp From 9/9 ’21, +0.00pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Europe, Italy, SPECIAL - 2022 IT General Election

[Italy General Election]2022 8/30 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

8/30 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR SEPTEMBER WEEK 1

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing) : 24.54%

(+0.51pp From 8/22 ’22, +20.19pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left) : 22.95%

(-1.13pp From 8/22 ’22, +3.61pp From Last Election)

League(LEGA / Far-Right) : 13.65%

(-0.26pp From 8/22 ’22, -3.70pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 10.88%

(+0.15pp From 8/22 ’22, -21.80pp From Last Election)

Forward Italy(FI / Center-Right) : 7.80%

(+0.13pp From 8/22 ’22, -6.20pp From Last Election)

Action + Italy Alive(AZ+IV / Lean-Left) : 5.46%

(+0.21pp From 8/22 ’22, +5.40pp From Last Election)

Greens & Left(AVS / Left-wing) : 3.05%

(-0.10pp From 8/22 ’22, -0.92pp From Last Election)

Italexit(IE / Big Tent) : 2.60%

(+0.38pp From 8/22 ’22, +1.99pp From Last Election)

More Europe(PE / Lean-Left) : 2.06%

(-0.01pp From 8/22 ’22, -0.50pp From Last Election)

Us Moderates(NM / Lean-Right) : 1.48%

(-0.23pp From 8/22 ’22, -0.36pp From Last Election)

Civic Commitment(IC / Lean-Left) : 0.95%

(+0.15pp From 8/22 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(ALT / Mixed) : 4.48%

(+0.20pp From 8/22 ’21, +1.12pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 8/30 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 8 polling data(total 13,453 sample size) fieldwork done between 8/20 and 8/27 and reported on Electoral Political Polls. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to Electoral Political Polls homepage(http://www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it/).

Europe, Italy, SPECIAL - 2022 IT General Election

[Italy General Election]2022 8/22 Polling Follower / Tracker / Average

8/22 ’22 POLLING FOLLOWER

_LATEST VIDEO FOR AUGUST WEEK 4

_DATA

-Vote Share Projection

Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left) : 24.08%

(-0.18pp From 8/20 ’22, +4.74pp From Last Election)

Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing) : 24.03%

(+0.03pp From 8/20 ’22, +19.68pp From Last Election)

League(LEGA / Far-Right) : 13.91%

(+0.44pp From 8/20 ’22, -3.44pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 10.73%

(+0.15pp From 8/20 ’22, -21.95pp From Last Election)

Forward Italy(FI / Center-Right) : 7.67%

(-0.87pp From 8/20 ’22, -6.33pp From Last Election)

Action + Italy Alive(AZ+IV / Lean-Left) : 5.25%

(+0.03pp From 8/20 ’22, +5.19pp From Last Election)

Greens & Left(AVS / Left-wing) : 3.15%

(-0.49pp From 8/20 ’22, -0.82pp From Last Election)

Italexit(IE / Big Tent) : 2.22%

(-0.22pp From 8/20 ’22, +1.61pp From Last Election)

More Europe(PE / Lean-Left) : 2.07%

(-0.29pp From 8/20 ’22, -0.49pp From Last Election)

Us Moderates(NM / Lean-Right) : 1.71%

(-0.06pp From 8/20 ’22, -0.13pp From Last Election)

Civic Commitment(IC / Lean-Left) : 0.80%

(-0.01pp From 8/20 ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(ALT / Mixed) : 4.48%

(+1.47pp From 8/20 ’21, +0.92pp From Last Election)

_TREND

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 8/22 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 6 polling data(total 11,392 sample size) fieldwork done between 8/13 and 8/20 and reported on Electoral Political Polls. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling data as Presidential Projection. For each of the polling contents, refer to Electoral Political Polls homepage(http://www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it/).