30~44 = Erdoğan 48.41%, Kılıçdaroğlu 45.25%, İnce 4.02%, Oğan 2.32% <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
45+ = Erdoğan 48.88%, Kılıçdaroğlu 43.88%, İnce 4.86%, Oğan 2.38% <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2023 5/4 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 20 polling data(76,328 unweighted / 61,744 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/25 and 5/2. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date as the presidential projection.
45+ = Erdoğan 47.53%, Kılıçdaroğlu 44.20%, İnce 5.84%, Oğan 2.43% <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2023 5/3 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 18 polling data(2,176,869 unweighted / 56,053 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/23 and 4/30. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date as the presidential projection.
45+ = Erdoğan 47.81%, Kılıçdaroğlu 45.23%, İnce 4.45%, Oğan 2.51% <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2023 5/2 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 15 polling data(2,162,359 unweighted / 43,401 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/23 and 4/30. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date as the presidential projection.
45+ = Erdoğan 48.05%, Kılıçdaroğlu 44.86%, İnce 4.60%, Oğan 2.49% <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2023 5/1 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 13 polling data(2,159,564 unweighted / 37,096 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/22 and 4/29. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date as the presidential projection.
2023 4/30 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 13 polling data(67,049 unweighted / 36,828 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/21 and 4/28. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date as the presidential projection.
According to Globe Elections UN’s EXCEL Projection in Paraguay, we are projecting it is Extremely Close between Santiago Peña & Efraín Alegre, and Payo Cubas is at strong third.
2023 Paraguay Presidential Election EXCEL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 11 polling data(15,162 unweighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/11 and 4/26. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.
2023 4/29 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 15 polling data(66,376 unweighted / 30,689 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/20 and 4/27. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date as the presidential projection.
45+ = Erdoğan 47.83%, Kılıçdaroğlu 44.39%, İnce 5.98%, Oğan 1.80% <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2023 4/18 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 7 polling data(34,599 unweighted / 31,222 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/8 and 4/15. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date as the presidential projection.
45+ = Erdoğan 47.44%, Kılıçdaroğlu 44.63%, İnce 6.11%, Oğan 1.82% <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2023 4/16 Polling Follower was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 8 polling data(39,344 unweighted / 35,155 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/7 and 4/14. Polling Follower is calculated through sample size & polling date as the presidential projection.
According to Globe Elections UN’s April Projection in Germany, we are projecting that Union has an Edge over Social Democrats, Greens & Alternative. Union Parties are at first place with just over 200 seats combined and Social Dems are again under 20%. Greens continue to fall slightly, Alternative now over 100 seats & 15%. Additionally, The Left fails to take proportional seats for the first time after losing their third constituency to Greens.
_SEAT PROJECTION
Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 219 Seats
(+1 From Mar ’23, +67 From Last Election)
Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 133 Seats
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.