United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 April Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s April Projection in the United Kingdom(UK), we are projecting that the Conservatives are very likely to be retaining majority in the next parliament with a majority of 34 seats. Also, the potential Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 349 seats, being ahead of potential Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+AP+SDLP+GRN)‘s 294 by 55.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 342 Seats

(+5 From Mar ’21, -23 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 222 Seats

(-6 From Mar ’21, +19 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 54 Seats

(+2 From Mar ’21, +6 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7 Seats

(-1 From Mar ’21, -4 From Last Election)

Sinn Féin / We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 6 Seats

(+1 From Mar ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 6 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 42.07%

(+1.00pp From Mar ’21, -1.56pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 34.73%

(-0.93pp From Mar ’21, +2.57pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 6.59%

(+0.22pp From Mar ’21, -5.24pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.00%

(+0.44pp From Mar ’21, +2.32pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.44%

(+0.47pp From Mar ’21, +0.56pp From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 1.73%

(+0.13pp From Mar ’21, +1.25pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.41%

(-0.05pp From Mar ’21, -0.60pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 1.13%

(+0.40pp From Mar ’21, +1.07pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.90%

(-1.68pp From Mar ’21, -0.72pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 42.45%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 35.24%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7.33%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.08%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.51%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.16%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 1.15%

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 0.76%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.32%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FX-r1wsPrevLkXCJ7BMibNCMTgie9ZFPtPjqMmAZuvQ/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

America

[Peru Presidential Election]2021 1st Round FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s 1st Round FINAL Projection in Peru, we are projecting that it is extremely close between Pedro Castillo, Yonhy Lescano, Keiko Fujimori, Hernando de Soto, Verónika Mendoza and also Rafael López Aliaga is just behind.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Pedro Castillo(PPNPL / Left-wing) : 12.57%

(NEW PARTY)

Yonhy Lescano(AP / Lean-Right) : 12.03%

(+5.06pp From Last Election)

Keiko Fujimori(FP / Far-Right) : 11.94%

(-27.92pp From Last Election)

Hernando de Soto(APPIS / Center-Right) : 11.85%

(NEW PARTY)

Verónika Mendoza(JP / Left-wing) : 10.19%

(-8.55pp From Last Election)

Rafael López Aliaga(RP / Right-wing) : 9.94%

(NEW PARTY)

George Forsyth(VN / Lean-Right) : 7.61%

(NEW PARTY)

Daniel Urresti(PP / Big Tent) : 5.21%

(NEW PARTY)

César Acuña(APP / Right-wing) : 5.20%

(NEW PARTY)

Julio Guzmán(PM / Lean-Left) : 2.81%

(NEW PARTY)

Daniel Salaverry(PDSP / Lean-Right) : 2.29%

(NEW PARTY)

Ollanta Humala(PNP / Center-Left) : 2.12%

(NEW PARTY)

Alberto Beingolea(PPC / Center-Right) : 1.13%

(-4.70pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTR / Mixed) : 5.11%

(-23.49pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EQZ6nKVFXCzXmSr3SXmpsW6OBu43MFV-WaKdXPlq8Cs/

_Globe Elections UN VIDEO

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

America

[Ecuador Presidential Election]2021 2nd Round FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round FINAL Projection in Ecuador, we are projecting that it is too close to call between Andrés Arauz and Guillermo Lasso. That’s outside the range of extremely close after the projected margin is over 2.50pp, but there is still a pretty large possibility that Lasso pulls ahead.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection(WithOut Invalid+Blank)

Andrés Arauz(UNES / Left-wing) : 51.64%

(+0.48pp From Last Election, +18.92pp From R1)

Guillermo Lasso(CREO / Center-Right) : 48.36%

(-0.48pp From Last Election, +28.62pp From R1)

-Vote Share Projection(WithIn Invalid+Blank)

Andrés Arauz(UNES / Left-wing) : 40.30%

Guillermo Lasso(CREO / Center-Right) : 37.74%

Invalid+Blank Votes(Invalid+Blank / Mixed) : 21.96%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iIqwEfWxMDb9mx9FarcE-xa9SC6Dn9GNARnS9Q3URBo/

_Globe Elections UN VIDEO

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Germany

[Germany Federal Election]2021 April Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s April Projection in Germany, we are projecting that the Union parties has crashed down after the Mask Corruption Scandal and as the result they are not leading over the Greens on the vote level anymore. However, they will still be the largest group in the next Bundestag after strong grounds on individual constituencies. In the other hand, The Greens are expected to make huge gains and now even up to the first place on the vote level. While the Social Democrats have just less than 100 seats mainly due to rise of Greens. Alternative for Germany, Free Democrats, The Left are down slightly from the last election.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection (*Including Both Leveling Seats & Overhang Seats From Apr ’21)

Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 208 Seats

(+13 From Mar ’21, -50 From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 182 Seats

(+29 From Mar ’21, +115 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 94 Seats

(+5 From Mar ’21, -59 From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 79 Seats

(+10 From Mar ’21, -15 From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 60 Seats

(+11 From Mar ’21, -20 From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 44 Seats

(-4 From Mar ’21, -25 From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 28.54%

(+4.47pp From Mar ’21, +19.60pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic/Social Union(CDU/CSL / Center-Right) : 23.42%

(-7.20pp From Mar ’21, -9.33pp From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 14.15%

(+0.10pp From Mar ’21, -6.36pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 11.63%

(+0.99pp From Mar ’21, -1.01pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 9.33%

(+1.55pp From Mar ’21, -1.42pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 6.56%

(-0.44pp From Mar ’21, -2.68pp From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 6.37%

(+0.53pp From Mar ’21, +1.37pp From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

Christian Democratic/Social Union(CDU/CSL / Center-Right) : 27.69%

(-7.71pp From Mar ’21, -9.57pp From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 26.74%

(+4.70pp From Mar ’21, +18.73pp From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 17.77%

(+0.53pp From Mar ’21, -6.87pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 11.02%

(+1.16pp From Mar ’21, -0.44pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 6.36%

(+1.18pp From Mar ’21, -0.64pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 6.34%

(-0.28pp From Mar ’21, -2.21pp From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 4.08%

(+0.42pp From Mar ’21, +1.00pp From Last Election)

-POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Christian Democratic/Social Union(CDU/CSL / Center-Right) : 26.55% 

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 21.89% 

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 16.44% 

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 10.92%

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 9.92%

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 7.51%

Others(SON / Mixed) : 6.77%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YuF2c6rrl5F6gxO86dlQH-8Wv6Xeas0AXHSJJcGfsHA/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Italy

[Italy General Election]2021 April Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

According to Globe Elections UN’s April Projection in Italy, we are projecting that Center-Right Coalition will have the majority of both chambers, after being ahead of Center-Left Coalition + Five Star Movement by little more than 12%p.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection By Extended Coalition

Center-Right Coalition(CDX / Center-Right) : 54.79%

(-1.38pp From Mar ’21, +17.79pp From Last Election)

Center-Left Coalition + Five Star Movement(CDX+M5S / Center-Left Big Tent) : 42.17%

(+1.66pp From Mar ’21, -15.81pp From Last Election)

Others(ALT / Mixed) : 3.04%

(-0.28pp From Mar ’21, -1.98pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Original Coalition

Center-Right Coalition(CDX / Center-Right) : 54.79%

(-1.38pp From Mar ’21, +17.79pp From Last Election)

Center-Left Coalition(CSX / Center-Left) : 21.45%

(-1.21pp From Mar ’21, -0.45pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent) : 17.80%

(+2.13pp From Mar ’21, -14.88pp From Last Election)

Free & Equal(LeU / Left-wing) : 2.92%

(+0.74pp From Mar ’21, -0.48pp From Last Election)

Others(ALT / Mixed) : 3.04%

(-0.28pp From Mar ’21, -1.98pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Party

League / Lega(LEGA / Far-Right – CDX) : 29.32%

(-0.83pp From Mar ’21, +11.97pp From Last Election)

Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing – CDX) : 19.23%

(-0.37pp From Mar ’21, +14.88pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent – M5S) : 17.80%

(+2.13pp From Mar ’21, -14.88pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left – CSX) : 14.27%

(-0.30pp From Mar ’21, -4.49pp From Last Election)

Forward Italy / Forza Italia(FI / Center-Right – CDX) : 5.41%

(-0.90pp From Mar ’21, -8.59pp From Last Election)

Action + More Europe(A+PE / Lean-Left – CSX) : 3.97%

(-0.71pp From Mar ’21, +1.41pp From Last Election)

Free & Equal(LeU / Left-wing – LeU) : 2.92%

(+0.74pp From Mar ’21, -0.48pp From Last Election)

Italy Alive(IV / Lean-Left – CSX) : 1.91%

(-0.30pp From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Green Europe(EV / Left-wing – CSX) : 1.30%

(+0.10pp From Mar ’21, +0.72pp From Last Election)

Let’s Change!(C! / Center-Right – CDX) : 0.83%

(+0.72pp From Mar ’21, -0.47pp From Last Election)

Others(ALT / Mixed – ALT) : 3.04%

(-0.28pp From Mar ’21, -1.98pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection By Extended Coalition

Center-Right Coalition(CDX / Center-Right) : 49.14%

Center-Left Coalition + Five Star Movement(CDX+M5S / Center-Left Big Tent) : 47.53%

Others(ALT / Mixed) : 3.33%

-Vote Share Projection By Original Coalition

Center-Right Coalition(CDX) : 49.14%

Center-Left Coalition(CSX) : 27.50%

Five Star Movement(M5S) : 16.48%

Free & Equal(LeU) : 3.55%

Others(ALT) : 3.33%

-Vote Share Projection By Party

League / Lega(LEGA / Far-Right – CDX) : 23.28%

Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left – CSX) : 18.89%

Brothers of Italy(FdI / Right-wing – CDX) : 17.54%

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent – M5S) : 16.48%

Forward Italy / Forza Italia(FI / Center-Right – CDX) : 7.22%

Action + More Europe(A+PE / Lean-Left – CSX) : 4.36%

Free & Equal(LeU / Left-wing – LeU) : 3.55%

Italy Alive(IV / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.53%

Green Europe(EV / Left-wing – CSX) : 1.72%

Let’s Change!(C! / Center-Right – CDX) : 1.10%

Others(ALT / Mixed – ALT) : 3.33%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-Sopg_2ZTt-qxjwBsR8JUlaF3FJ8IRs-vxKZBZH8VnI/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

South Korea

[South Korea General Election]2021 April Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

According to Globe Elections UN’s April Projection in South Korea, People’s Power Party will be the majority party and the Democratic Party will only manage to take around 100 seats. Continuing on, People Party is at course to increase many seats. Justice Party is up on the seat level but not on the vote share level. Open Democrats and People’s Livelihood Party will also gain seats, but Progressive Party will not.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

People’s Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 163 Seats

(+20 From Mar ’21, +60 From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 102 Seats

(-20 From Mar ’21, -78 From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 17 Seats

(+3 From Mar ’21, +14 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 11 Seats

(-2 From Mar ’21, +5 From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 6 Seats

(-2 From Mar ’21, +3 From Last Election)

People’s Livelihoods Party(PPL / Center) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Mar ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Progressive Party(JBP / Left-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, -5 From Last Election)

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

People’s Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 46.60%

(+7.68pp From Mar ’21, +12.76pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 25.65%

(-4.99pp From Mar ’21, -9.54pp From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 11.69%

(+1.56pp From Mar ’21, +4.89pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 7.90%

(-1.13pp From Mar ’21, -1.77pp From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 4.32%

(-2.13pp From Mar ’21, -1.12pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.84%

(-0.99pp From Mar ’21, -7.07pp From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

People’s Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 55.53%

(+8.57pp From Mar ’21, +14.07pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 37.33%

(-7.83pp From Mar ’21, -12.58pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.36%

(-0.21pp From Mar ’21, -0.35pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 5.78%

(-0.53pp From Mar ’21, -1.04pp From Last Election)

-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>

Approval : 35.52%

(-7.65pp From Mar ’21, -20.68pp From Last Election)

Disapproval : 64.48%

(+7.65pp From Mar ’21, +20.68pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROEJCTION

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

People’s Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 41.30%

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 37.14%

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 8.83%

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 5.18%

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 4.83%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.73%

-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>

Approval : 37.43%

Disapproval : 62.57% 

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1COrLDJIbvNkjHpoN3IAhxTKcbG4BQUtSFRLVJiUjEDI/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

South Korea

[South Korea Seoul & Busan Mayoral By-Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Seoul & Busan of SK, we are projecting that Oh Se-hoon will defeat Park Yeong-sun to be the next mayor of Seoul and also Park Hyung-jun leads over Kim Yeong-choon as well.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seoul Vote Share Projection

Oh Se-hoon(PPP / Center-Right) : 59.98%

(+36.63pp From Last Election)

Park Yeong-sun(DPK / Lean-Left) : 35.87%

(-16.92pp From Last Election)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 1.07%

(NEW PARTY)

Shin Ji-hye(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.54%

(NEW PARTY)

Kim Jin-ah(WP / Big Tent) : 0.36%

(NEW PARTY)

Shin Ji-ye(IND / Independent) : 0.27%

(-1.40pp From Last Election)

Song Myeong-sook(JBP / Left-wing) : 0.14%

(-0.31pp From Last Election)

Oh Tae-yang(FP / Center-Left) : 0.10%

(-0.13pp From Last Election)

Lee Soo-bong(PPL / Center) : 0.07%

(-19.48pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.60%

(-0.36pp From Last Election)

-Busan Vote Share Projection

Park Hyung-jun(PPP / Center-Right) : 62.21%

(+23.48pp From Last Election)

Kim Yeong-choon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 35.43%

(-19.80pp From Last Election)

Jeong Kyu-jae(LDP / Far-Right) : 1.34%

(NEW PARTY)

Son Sang-woo(FP / Center-Left) : 0.45%

(NEW PARTY)

Song Myeong-sook(JBP / Left-wing) : 0.41%

(NEW PARTY)

Bae Jun-hyeon(PPL / Center) : 0.16%

(-3.81pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1McCSaXIWa6UL02tvZ7jHuVNsaRt5coH2osrlgALqSEA/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Europe

[Bulgaria General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Bulgaria, Coats Of Arms – the main governing party – will be remaining as the largest group in the next parliament. It is followed by BSP(Bulgarian Socialist Party) For Bulgaria with a similar margin on 2017. On the other hand, There Is Such A People – a new party led by Slavi Trifonov and The Movement for Rights and Freedoms continues on with over 10% each. Also, Democratic Bulgaria, Stand Up! Get Out!, Bulgarian National Movement, Wil Movement are expected to receive some seats after crossing 4% threshold needed to win seats.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 29.32%

(-7.31pp From Last Election)

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 21.97%

(-5.92pp From Last Election)

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 12.05%

(NEW PARTY)

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 11.58%

(+2.36pp From Last Election)

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Center Big Tent) : 5.90%

(-2.53pp From Last Election)

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 4.86%

(NEW PARTY)

Bulgarian National Movement(BMPO / Far-Right) : 4.29%

(-5.01pp From Last Election)

Will Movement(VOL / Far-Right) : 4.27%

(+0.02pp From Last Election)

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 1.19%

(NEW PARTY)

Alternative For Bulgarian Revival(ABV / Center-Left) : 0.82%

(-0.77pp From Last Election)

Republicans For Bulgaria(RB / Center-Right) : 0.52%

(NEW PARTY)

Attack(ATA / Far-Right) : 0.41%

(NEW PARTY)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.82%

(+0.13pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17x5R8urGepn6b7dRvgFF7ZqzJMxh3XFwNq6uExrZ-S0/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Israel

[Israel General Election] 2021 FINAL Official Results

_HEADLINE

Globe Elections UN is currently still projecting that it is too early to call for the next government. But we are putting Likud & Yesh Atid as the most & second largest party in the next knesset.

_SEAT RESULTS

-Seat Results By Coalition

Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 56 Seats

(+21 From Last Election)

Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 52 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Neutral(NEU / Mixed) : 12 Seats

(-21 From Last Election)

-Seat Results By Party

Likud / Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 30 Seats

(-6 From Last Election)

Yesh Atid / There Is A Future(YA / Center, Opposition) : 17 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent, Pro-Netanyahu) : 9 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Blue & White(B&W / Center, Neutral) : 8 Seats

(-25 From Last Election)

Yamina / Right(YAM / Far-Right, Opposition) : 7 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Labor(LAB / Center-Left, Opposition) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Yisrael Beiteinu / Israel Our Home(YB / Lean-Right, Opposition) : 7 Seats

(+1 From Last Election)

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right, Pro-Netanyahu) : 6 Seats

(+6 From Last Election)

Joint List(JL / Left-wing Big Tent, Opposition) : 6 Seats

(-9 From Last Election)

New Hope(NH / Center-Right, Opposition) : 6 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

Meretz / Vigour(MER / Left-wing, Opposition) : 6 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

Ra’am / United Arab List(RA’AM / Big Tent, Neutral) : 4 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left, Opposition) : 0 Seats

(NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed, Neutral) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

_VOTE SHARE RESULTS

-Vote Share Results By Coalition

Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 46.79%

(+17.31pp From Last Election)

Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 42.11%

(-1.44pp From Last Election)

Neutral(NEU / Mixed) : 11.10%

(-15.87pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Party

Likud / Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 24.19%

(-5.27pp From Last Election)

Yesh Atid / There Is A Future(YA / Center, Opposition) : 13.93%

(NEW PARTY)

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent, Pro-Netanyahu) : 7.17%

(-0.52pp From Last Election)

Blue & White(B&W / Center, Blue & White) : 6.63%

(-19.96pp From Last Election)

Yamina / Right(YAM / Far-Right, Opposition) : 6.21%

(+0.97pp From Last Election)

Labor(LAB / Center-Left, Opposition) : 6.09%

(+0.21pp From Last Election)

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 5.63%

(-0.35pp From Last Election)

Yisrael Beiteinu / Israel Our Home(YB / Lean-Right, Opposition) : 5.63%

(+0.04pp From Last Election)

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right, Pro-Netanyahu) : 5.12%

(+4.70pp From Last Election)

Joint List(JL / Left-wing Big Tent, Opposition) : 4.82%

(-7.89pp From Last Election)

New Hope(NH / Center-Right, Opposition) : 4.74%

(NEW PARTY)

Meretz / Vigour(MER / Left-wing, Opposition) : 4.58%

(NEW PARTY)

Ra’am / United Arab List(RA’AM / Big Tent, Neutral) : 3.79%

(NEW PARTY)

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left, Opposition) : 0.79%

(NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed, Opposition) : 0.68%

(+0.30pp From Last Election)

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Source Of Data

https://votes24.bechirot.gov.il/