[United Kingdom General Election]2023 May Projection / Prediction / Forecast

MAY ’23 PROJECTION

1. _Globe Elections UN Video
2. _HEADLINE
3. _SEAT PROJECTION
4. _VOTE SHARE PROJECTION
5. _FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
6. _RESEARCH INFORMATION
7. _Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboards

---

_Globe Elections UN Video

---

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s May Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Labour Party will likely take the majority over the Conservatives in the next parliament.

---

_SEAT PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 344 Seats

(-19 From Apr ’23, +141 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 210 Seats

(+17 From Apr ’23, -155 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 46 Seats

(+2 From Apr ’23, -2 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 27 Seats

(+1 From Apr ’23, +16 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+2 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 3 Seats

(-1 From Apr ’23, -1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(-1 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Right-wing Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(-1 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Apr ’23, +1 From Last Election)

---

_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 43.68%

(-1.85pp From Apr ’23, +11.52pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 28.19%

(+0.63pp From Apr ’23, -15.44pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 10.43%

(+1.16pp From Apr ’23, -1.12pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Right-wing Big Tent) : 5.61%

(-0.11pp From Apr ’23, +3.60pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.12%

(+0.31pp From Apr ’23, +2.42pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 3.45%

(+0.09pp From Apr ’23, -0.43pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.48%

(+0.07pp From Apr ’23, +0.41pp From Last Election)

Party Of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.45%

(-0.33pp From Apr ’23, -0.03pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.59%

(+0.03pp From Apr ’23, -0.93pp From Last Election)

---

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

---

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 United Kingdom General Election May Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 11 polling data(20,646 unweighted / 18,585 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/23 and 4/30.

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

---

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboards

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Advertisement