[Turkey Presidential Election]2023 2nd Round First Projection / Prediction / Forecast

First ’23 R2 PROJECTION

1. _FULL GRAPHICS
2. _HEADLINE
3. _NATIONAL PROJECTION
   1. -Poll+Error
   2. -Poll Base
4. _FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
5. _RESEARCH INFORMATION
6. _ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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_FULL GRAPHICS

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_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s First Projection in Turkey, we are projecting it is Extremely Close between incumbent president Recep Erdoğan & opposition leader Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu.

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_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Poll+Error

(Reflecting R1 Polling Error)

Recep Erdoğan(CUMHUR / Right-wing) : 51.08%

(-1.51pp From Last Election)

Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu(MİLLET / Center-Left) : 48.92%

(+1.51pp From Last Election)

-Poll Base

(Not Reflecting R1 Polling Error)

Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu(MİLLET / Center-Left) : 51.26%

(+3.85pp From Last Election)

Recep Erdoğan(CUMHUR / Right-wing) : 48.74%

(-3.85pp From Last Election)

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_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

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_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 Turkey Presidential Election R2 First Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 13 polling data(51,956 unweighted / 37,963 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 5/6 and 5/13. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.

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_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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