MAY ’23 PROJECTION

- _FULL VIDEO
- _HEADLINE
- _SEAT PROJECTION
- _VOTE SHARE PROJECTION
- _FULL RESULTS/DETAILS
- _RESEARCH INFORMATION
- _Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard
_FULL VIDEO
_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s May Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Democrats of Lee Jae-myung now have an Edge over People Power, led by Kim Gi-hyeon for the majority of the National Assembly.
_SEAT PROJECTION


Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 175 Seats
(-1 From Apr ’23, -8 From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 118 Seats
(+1 From Apr ’23, +12 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JUS / Center-Left) : 7 Seats
(+0 From Apr ’23, +1 From Last Election)

Progressive Party(PRO / Left-wing) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Apr ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat
(+0 From Apr ’23, -5 From Last Election)
_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION
-Proportional


Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 50.14%
(-0.96pp From Apr ’23, +11.05pp From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 43.25%
(-0.04pp From Apr ’23, +1.92pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 3.88%
(+0.43pp From Apr ’23, -5.79pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.73%
(+0.57pp From Apr ’23, -7.18pp From Last Election)
-Constituency


Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 55.07%
(-0.68pp From Apr ’23, +4.31pp From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 41.93%
(+0.24pp From Apr ’23, -1.48pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 2.00%
(+0.23pp From Apr ’23, +0.29pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 1.00%
(+0.21pp From Apr ’23, -3.12pp From Last Election)
_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2023 South Korea General Election May Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects 13 polling data(15,589 unweighted / 14,584 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/23 and 4/30.
For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).
Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.