FINAL ’23 R1 PROJECTION

_FULL GRAPHICS

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Turkey, we are projecting it is Extremely Close between incumbent president Recep Erdoğan & opposition leader Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Projection Excluding Muharrem İnce

Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu(MİLLET / Center-Left) : 48.29%

(+2.51pp From May ’23, +1.08pp From Last Election)

Recep Erdoğan(CUMHUR / Right-wing) : 48.27%

(+1.15pp From May ’23, -4.52pp From Last Election)

Sinan Oğan(ATA / Far-Right) : 3.44%

(+0.98pp From May ’23, NEW PARTY)

-Projection Including Muharrem İnce

Recep Erdoğan(CUMHUR / Right-wing) : 47.86%

(+0.77pp From May ’23, -4.93pp From Last Election)

Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu(MİLLET / Center-Left) : 47.66%

(-4.93pp From May ’23, +0.45pp From Last Election)

Sinan Oğan(ATA / Far-Right) : 3.27%

(+0.81pp From May ’23, NEW PARTY)

Muharrem İnce(MP / Center-Left Big Tent) : 1.21%

(-3.45pp From May ’23, NEW PARTY)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 Turkey Presidential Election R1 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 42 polling data(243,057 unweighted / 156,643 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 5/6 and 5/13. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.