MAY ’23 PROJECTION

_FULL GRAPHICS

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s May Projection in Turkey, we are projecting it is Extremely Close between incumbent president Recep Erdoğan & opposition leader Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu. Meanwhile, Muharrem İnce & Sinan Oğan follow after at 3rd, 4th place.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

Recep Erdoğan(CUMHAR / Right-wing) : 47.09%

(+1.19pp From First ’23, -5.70pp From Last Election)

Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu(MİLLET / Center-Left) : 45.79%

(-2.62pp From First ’23, -1.42pp From Last Election)

Muharrem İnce(MP / Center-Left Big Tent) : 4.66%

(+0.69pp From First ’23, NEW PARTY)

Sinan Oğan(ATA / Far-Right) : 2.46%

(+0.74pp From First ’23, NEW PARTY)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS (May)

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS (First)

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 Turkey Presidential Election May Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 29 polling data(101,698 unweighted / 81,388 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/23 and 4/30. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.