MAY ’23 PROJECTION
- _FULL GRAPHICS
- _NATIONAL PROJECTION
- _FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
- _RESEARCH INFORMATION
- _ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard
According to Globe Elections UN’s May Projection in Turkey, we are projecting it is Extremely Close between incumbent president Recep Erdoğan & opposition leader Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu. Meanwhile, Muharrem İnce & Sinan Oğan follow after at 3rd, 4th place.
Recep Erdoğan(CUMHAR / Right-wing) : 47.09%
(+1.19pp From First ’23, -5.70pp From Last Election)
Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu(MİLLET / Center-Left) : 45.79%
(-2.62pp From First ’23, -1.42pp From Last Election)
Muharrem İnce(MP / Center-Left Big Tent) : 4.66%
(+0.69pp From First ’23, NEW PARTY)
Sinan Oğan(ATA / Far-Right) : 2.46%
(+0.74pp From First ’23, NEW PARTY)
2023 Turkey Presidential Election May Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 29 polling data(101,698 unweighted / 81,388 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 4/23 and 4/30. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data.