MARCH ’23 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in Spain, we are projecting that People’s will again emerge as the largest party beating Socialists, but do not have the majority even with the support from its alies.

_SEAT PROJECTION

People’s Party(PP / Center-Right) : 118 Seats

(+29 From Last Election)

Socialist Workers’ Party(PSOE / Center-Left) : 95 Seats

(-25 From Last Election)

Voice(VOX / Far-Right) : 56 Seats

(+4 From Last Election)

Unite(SUMAR / Left-wing) : 43 Seats

(+5 From Last Election)

Republics Now(AR / Center-Left) : 17 Seats

(-2 From Last Election)

Coalition For A Solidary Europe(CEUS / Big Tent) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Together For Catalonia(JUNTS / Big Tent) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Popular Unity Candidacy(CUP / Left-wing) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Navarrese People’s Union(UPN / Right-wing) : 1 Seat

(-1 From Last Election)

Cantabria Regionalist party(PRC / Lean-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Empty Spain(EV / Big Tent) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Citizens(CS / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(-10 From Last Election)

Animalist Party Against Mistreatment Of Animals(PACMA / Center-Left) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTR / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

_VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

People’s Party(PP / Center-Right) : 31.25%

(+10.26pp From Last Election)

Socialist Workers’ Party(PSOE / Center-Left) : 25.78%

(-2.47pp From Last Election)

Voice(VOX / Far-Right) : 14.72%

(-0.49pp From Last Election)

Unite(SUMAR / Left-wing) : 13.60%

(-1.85pp From Last Election)

Republics Now(AR / Center-Left) : 5.02%

(-0.39pp From Last Election)

Citizens(CS / Lean-Right) : 2.21%

(-4.65pp From Last Election)

Coalition For A Solidary Europe(CEUS / Big Tent) : 2.12%

(-0.03pp From Last Election)

Together For Catalonia(JUNTS / Big Tent) : 2.10%

(-0.11pp From Last Election)

Popular Unity Candidacy(CUP / Left-wing) : 0.93%

(-0.10pp From Last Election)

Animalist Party Against Mistreatment Of Animals(PACMA / Center-Left) : 0.90%

(-0.05pp From Last Election)

Navarrese People’s Union(UPN / Right-wing) : 0.37%

(-0.04pp From Last Election)

Cantabria Regionalist party(PRC / Lean-Left) : 0.25%

(-0.04pp From Last Election)

Empty Spain(EV / Big Tent) : 0.13%

(+0.05pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTR / Mixed) : 0.62%

(-0.08pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 Spain General Election March Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 12 polling data(10,518 unweighted / 9,160 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 2/21 and 2/28.

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.