MARCH ’23 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

Overview

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Call between Democrats, led by Lee Jae-myung & People Power, led by Chung Jin-suk for the overall control of the next National Assembly.

_SEAT PROJECTION

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 153 Seats

(+7 From Feb ’23, +47 From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 140 Seats

(-14 From Feb ’23 -43 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JUS / Center-Left) : 7 Seats

(+7 From Feb ’23, +1 From Last Election)

Progressive Party(PRO / Left-wing) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, +0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Feb ’23, -5 From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 49.27%

(+2.19pp From Feb ’23, +7.94pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 45.07%

(-2.90pp From Feb ’23, +5.98pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 3.27%

(+0.30pp From Feb ’23, -6.40pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 2.39%

(+0.41pp From Feb ’23, -7.52pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 49.58%

(-2.79pp From Feb ’23, -1.18pp From Last Election)

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.85%

(+2.47pp From Feb ’23, +4.44pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.69%

(+0.16pp From Feb ’23, -0.02pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0.88%

(+0.16pp From Feb ’23, -3.24pp From Last Election)

_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS

FULL RESULTS/DETAILS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 South Korea General Election March Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 17 polling data(total 22,672 unweighted / 21,084 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 2/21 and 2/28.

For each of the polling contents, refer to National Election Survey Deliberation Commission homepage(http://www.nesdc.go.kr).

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.