FINAL ’23 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

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_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Germany Berlin, we are projecting that it is Too Close To Call between Christian Dems & Social Dems, while Greens are slightly behind. The Left, Alternative, Free Dems are also expected to enter the next parliament again.

_SEAT PROJECTION

Christian Democratic Union(CDU / Center-Right) : 42 Seats

(+12 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 33 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(GRN / Center-Left) : 30 Seats

(-2 From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 19 Seats

(-5 From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 16 Seats

(+3 From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 11 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Other Parties(SON / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

_PROPORTIONAL VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

Christian Democratic Union(CDU / Center-Right) : 24.48%

(+6.44pp From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 20.44%

(-0.99pp From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(GRN / Center-Left) : 17.59%

(-1.29pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 11.56%

(-2.49pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 9.63%

(+1.63pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 6.13%

(-1.02pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(SON / Mixed) : 10.17%

(-2.28pp From Last Election)

_CONSTITUENCY VOTE SHARE PROJECTION

Christian Democratic Union(CDU / Center-Right) : 26.35%

(+6.69pp From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 22.00%

(-1.36pp From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(GRN / Center-Left) : 18.39%

(-1.60pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 11.33%

(-2.62pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 9.60%

(+1.53pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 5.58%

(-1.01pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(SON / Mixed) : 6.75%

(-1.63pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2023 Germany Berlin Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 7 polling data(8,250 unweighted / 5,858 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 2/2 and 2/9.

Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.