America, United States

[United States Senate Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in United States, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close between Republicans & Democrats, but still the Republicans Party is leading in the overall numbers.

_NATIONAL MAP

_PENNSYLVANIA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Mehmet Oz(GOP / Lean-Right) : 49.00%

(+0.89pp From Nov ’22, +0.23pp From Last Election)

John Fetterman(DP / Left-wing) : 48.65%

(-0.36pp From Nov ’22, +1.31pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.35%

(-0.53pp From Nov ’22, -1.54pp From Last Election)

_ARIZONA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Blake Masters(GOP / Right-wing) : 50.04%

(+1.92pp From Nov ’22, +1.23pp From Last Election)

Mark Kelly(DP / Lean-Left) : 49.52%

(-1.15pp From Nov ’22, -1.64pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.44%

(-0.77pp From Nov ’22, +0.41pp From Last Election)

_GEORGIA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Herschel Walker(GOP / Right-wing) : 49.20%

(+0.00pp From Nov ’22, +0.24pp From Last Election)

Raphael Warnock(DP / Center-Left) : 48.48%

(+1.25pp From Nov ’22, -2.56pp From Last Election)

Chase Oliver(LP / Big Tent) : 2.15%

(+0.20pp From Nov ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.17%

(-1.45pp From Nov ’22, NEW PARTY)

_NEW HAMPSHIRE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Maggie Hassan(DP / Lean-Left) : 50.02%

(+2.04pp From Last Election)

Don Bolduc(GOP / Far-Right) : 47.99%

(-2.25pp From Last Election)

Jeremy Kauffman(LP / Big Tent) : 1.58%

(-0.12pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.41%

(+0.33pp From Last Election)

_NEVADA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Adam Laxalt(GOP / Right-wing) : 49.97%

(+0.40pp From Nov ’22, +5.30pp From Last Election)

Catherine Cortez(DP / Lean-Left) : 47.02%

(-0.39pp From Nov ’22, -0.08pp From Last Election)

Chase Oliver(LP / Big Tent) : 0.90%

(-0.11pp From Nov ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.11%

(+0.10pp From Nov ’22, -5.98pp From Last Election)

_WISCONSIN PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Ron Johnson(GOP / Right-wing) : 51.87%

(+1.70pp From Last Election)

Mandela Barnes(DP / Left-wing) : 48.10%

(+1.29pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.03%

(-2.99pp From Last Election)

_NORTH CAROLINA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Ted Budd(GOP / Right-wing) : 51.82%

(+0.76pp From Last Election)

Catherine Cortez(DP / Lean-Left) : 46.41%

(+1.04pp From Last Election)

Shannon Bray(LP / Big Tent) : 1.09%

(-2.48pp From Last Election)

Matthew Hoh(GPUS / Left-wing) : 0.68%

(NEW PARTY)

_OHIO PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

JD Vance(GOP / Right-wing) : 53.62%

(-4.41pp From Last Election)

Tim Ryan(DP / Center) : 45.95%

(+8.79pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.43%

(-4.38pp From Last Election)

_FLORIDA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Marco Rubio(GOP / Right-wing) : 53.72%

(+1.74pp From Last Election)

Val Demings(DP / Lean-Left) : 44.46%

(+0.15pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.82%

(-1.89pp From Last Election)

_COLORADO POLLING MEAN

Michael Bennet(DP / Lean-Left) : 51.29%

Joe O’Dea(GOP / Lean-Right) : 44.93%

Brian Peotter(LP / Big Tent) : 1.59%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.19%

_MISSOURI POLLING MEAN

Eric Schmitt(GOP / Center-Right) : 54.70%

Trudy Valentine(DP / Lean-Left) : 42.14%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 3.16%

_NEW YORK POLLING MEAN

Chuck Schumer(DP / Lean-Left) : 56.79%

Joe Pinion(GOP / Lean-Right) : 39.39%

Diane Sare(LRM / Left-wing) : 1.61%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.21%

_UTAH POLLING MEAN

Mike Lee(GOP / Right-wing) : 51.64%

Evan McMullin(IND / Center-Right) : 42.22%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 6.14%

_WASHINGTON POLLING MEAN

Patty Murray(DP / Lean-Left) : 50.33%

Tiffany Smiley(GOP / Center-Right) : 49.67%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.00%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 United States Senate Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 85 polling data(total 77,599 unweighted / 65,709 weighted sample size) fieldwork done mostly(exception for North Carolina & Pennsylvania) between 10/31 and 11/7. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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