FINAL ’22 PROJECTION
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE
According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in United States, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close between Republicans & Democrats, but still the Republicans Party is leading in the overall numbers.
_NATIONAL MAP
_PENNSYLVANIA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Mehmet Oz(GOP / Lean-Right) : 49.00%
(+0.89pp From Nov ’22, +0.23pp From Last Election)
John Fetterman(DP / Left-wing) : 48.65%
(-0.36pp From Nov ’22, +1.31pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.35%
(-0.53pp From Nov ’22, -1.54pp From Last Election)
_ARIZONA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Blake Masters(GOP / Right-wing) : 50.04%
(+1.92pp From Nov ’22, +1.23pp From Last Election)
Mark Kelly(DP / Lean-Left) : 49.52%
(-1.15pp From Nov ’22, -1.64pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.44%
(-0.77pp From Nov ’22, +0.41pp From Last Election)
_GEORGIA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Herschel Walker(GOP / Right-wing) : 49.20%
(+0.00pp From Nov ’22, +0.24pp From Last Election)
Raphael Warnock(DP / Center-Left) : 48.48%
(+1.25pp From Nov ’22, -2.56pp From Last Election)
Chase Oliver(LP / Big Tent) : 2.15%
(+0.20pp From Nov ’22, NEW PARTY)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.17%
(-1.45pp From Nov ’22, NEW PARTY)
_NEW HAMPSHIRE PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Maggie Hassan(DP / Lean-Left) : 50.02%
(+2.04pp From Last Election)
Don Bolduc(GOP / Far-Right) : 47.99%
(-2.25pp From Last Election)
Jeremy Kauffman(LP / Big Tent) : 1.58%
(-0.12pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.41%
(+0.33pp From Last Election)
_NEVADA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Adam Laxalt(GOP / Right-wing) : 49.97%
(+0.40pp From Nov ’22, +5.30pp From Last Election)
Catherine Cortez(DP / Lean-Left) : 47.02%
(-0.39pp From Nov ’22, -0.08pp From Last Election)
Chase Oliver(LP / Big Tent) : 0.90%
(-0.11pp From Nov ’22, NEW PARTY)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.11%
(+0.10pp From Nov ’22, -5.98pp From Last Election)
_WISCONSIN PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Ron Johnson(GOP / Right-wing) : 51.87%
(+1.70pp From Last Election)
Mandela Barnes(DP / Left-wing) : 48.10%
(+1.29pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.03%
(-2.99pp From Last Election)
_NORTH CAROLINA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Ted Budd(GOP / Right-wing) : 51.82%
(+0.76pp From Last Election)
Catherine Cortez(DP / Lean-Left) : 46.41%
(+1.04pp From Last Election)
Shannon Bray(LP / Big Tent) : 1.09%
(-2.48pp From Last Election)
Matthew Hoh(GPUS / Left-wing) : 0.68%
(NEW PARTY)
_OHIO PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
JD Vance(GOP / Right-wing) : 53.62%
(-4.41pp From Last Election)
Tim Ryan(DP / Center) : 45.95%
(+8.79pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.43%
(-4.38pp From Last Election)
_FLORIDA PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Marco Rubio(GOP / Right-wing) : 53.72%
(+1.74pp From Last Election)
Val Demings(DP / Lean-Left) : 44.46%
(+0.15pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.82%
(-1.89pp From Last Election)
_COLORADO POLLING MEAN
Michael Bennet(DP / Lean-Left) : 51.29%
Joe O’Dea(GOP / Lean-Right) : 44.93%
Brian Peotter(LP / Big Tent) : 1.59%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.19%
_MISSOURI POLLING MEAN
Eric Schmitt(GOP / Center-Right) : 54.70%
Trudy Valentine(DP / Lean-Left) : 42.14%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 3.16%
_NEW YORK POLLING MEAN
Chuck Schumer(DP / Lean-Left) : 56.79%
Joe Pinion(GOP / Lean-Right) : 39.39%
Diane Sare(LRM / Left-wing) : 1.61%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.21%
_UTAH POLLING MEAN
Mike Lee(GOP / Right-wing) : 51.64%
Evan McMullin(IND / Center-Right) : 42.22%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 6.14%
_WASHINGTON POLLING MEAN
Patty Murray(DP / Lean-Left) : 50.33%
Tiffany Smiley(GOP / Center-Right) : 49.67%
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.00%
_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS
_RESEARCH INFORMATION
2022 United States Senate Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 85 polling data(total 77,599 unweighted / 65,709 weighted sample size) fieldwork done mostly(exception for North Carolina & Pennsylvania) between 10/31 and 11/7. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.
Global Elections History Society Center (GEHSC.en) 