America, United States

[United States Governor Election]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in United States, we are projecting that it is Too Close To Call between Republicans & Democrats, with the Republicans quite ahead. However, a opposite picture is expected in terms of governing population.

_NATIONAL MAP

_WISCONSIN PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Tim Michels(GOP / Center-Right) : 50.78%

(+2.34pp From Last Election)

Tony Evers(DP / Center-Left) : 49.00%

(-0.54pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.22%

(-1.80pp From Last Election)

_ARIZONA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Kari Lake(GOP / Right-wing) : 51.09%

(-4.91pp From Last Election)

Katie Hobbs(DP / Lean-Left) : 48.34%

(+6.50pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.57%

(-1.59pp From Last Election)

_NEVADA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Joe Lombardo(GOP / Center-Right) : 49.80%

(+4.49pp From Last Election)

Steve Sisolak(DP / Lean-Left) : 46.72%

(-2.67pp From Last Election)

Brandon Davis(LP / Big Tent) : 1.82%

(+0.93pp From Last Election)

Ed Bridges(IAP / Far-Right) : 0.27%

(-0.77pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.39%

(-1.98pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Gretchen Whitmer(DP / Lean-Left) : 50.79%

(-2.52pp From Last Election)

Tudor Dixon(GOP / Right-wing) : 47.63%

(+3.88pp From Last Election)

Mary Buzuma(LP / Big Tent) : 0.30%

(-1.03pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.28%

(-0.33pp From Last Election)

_GEORGIA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Brian Kemp(GOP / Center-Right) : 53.28%

(+3.06pp From Last Election)

Stacey Abrams(DP / Center-Left) : 45.33%

(-3.50pp From Last Election)

Shane Hazel(LP / Big Tent) : 1.23%

(+0.28pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.16%

(+0.16pp From Last Election)

_FLORIDA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Ron DeSantis(GOP / Center-Right) : 54.36%

(+4.77pp From Last Election)

Charlie Crist(DP / Center) : 44.31%

(-4.88pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.33%

(+0.11pp From Last Election)

_PENNSYLVANIA PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Josh Shapiro(DP / Left-wing) : 54.54%

(-3.23pp From Last Election)

Doug Mastriano(GOP / Far-Right) : 43.29%

(+2.59pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.17%

(+0.64pp From Last Election)

_NEW HAMPSHIRE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Chris Sununu(GOP / Lean-Right) : 57.11%

(-8.01pp From Last Election)

Tom Sherman(DP / Lean-Left) : 40.98%

(+7.62pp From Last Election)

Kelly Halldorson(IND LP / Big Tent) : 0.98%

(NEW PARTY)

Karlyn Borysenko(LP / Big Tent) : 0.12%

(-1.31pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.81%

(+0.72pp From Last Election)

_OHIO PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Mike DeWine(GOP / Center-Right) : 61.14%

(+10.75pp From Last Election)

Nan Whaley(DP / Lean-Left) : 37.96%

(-8.72pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.90%

(-0.91pp From Last Election)

_COLORADO POLLING MEAN

Jared Polis(DP / Center-Left) : 54.14%

Heidi Ganahl(GOP / Right-wing) : 43.20%

Kevin Ruskusky(LP / Big Tent) : 0.91%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.75%

_NEW MEXICO POLLING MEAN

Michelle Grisham(DP / Center-Left) : 50.75%

Mark Ronchetti(GOP / Center-Right) : 45.69%

Karen Bedonie(LP / Big Tent) : 3.43%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.13%

_NEW YORK POLLING MEAN

Kathy Hochul(DP / Lean-Left) : 53.06%

Lee Zeldin(GOP / Center-Right) : 46.72%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.22%

_OKLAHOMA POLLING MEAN

Kevin Stitt(GOP / Right-wing) : 50.25%

Joy Hofmeiste(DP / Center) : 47.45%

Ervin Yen(IND GOP / Lean-Right) : 1.66%

Natalie Bruno(LP / Big Tent) : 0.64%

_OREGON POLLING MEAN

Tina Kotek(DP / Lean-Left) : 47.03%

Christine Drazan(GOP / Lean-Right) : 43.54%

Betsy Johnson(IND DP / Lean-Right) : 7.58%

Leon Noble(LP / Big Tent) : 0.59%

Donice Smith(CP / Far-Right) : 0.38%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 0.88%

_TEXAS POLLING MEAN

Greg Abbott(GOP / Center-Right) : 54.51%

Beto O’Rourke(DP / Lean-Left) : 43.59%

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.90%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 United States Governor Election FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 83 polling data(total 73,972 unweighted / 61,389 weighted sample size) fieldwork done mostly(exception for Pennsylvania) between 10/31 and 11/7. Poll Base Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data as Presidential Projection.

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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