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[Chile Constitutional Referendum]2022 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN VIDEO

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Chile, we are projecting that it is Key Race between Approve & Reject, however Reject has an impressive lead.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Reject(REC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 54.93%

(+33.24pp From Last Election)

Approve(APR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 45.07%

(-33.24pp From Last Election)

_REGIONAL PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

OH(O’Higgins) – APPROVE +0.06pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

EX(Extranjero) – APPROVE +1.86pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

MG(Magallanes) – REJECT +5.20pp

SA(Santiago) – REJECT +5.32pp

VA(Valparaíso) – REJECT +6.44pp

AN(Antofagasta)APPROVE +9.64pp

-Other Races

CO(Coquimbo) – APPROVE +11.08pp

TA(Tarapacá)REJECT +12.24pp

AY(Aysén) – REJECT +12.58pp

AP(Arica & Parinacota)REJECT +15.22pp

ML(Maule)REJECT +17.14pp

AT(Atacama) – APPROVE +17.66pp

LR(Los Ríos)REJECT +19.60pp

LL(Los Lagos)REJECT +20.96pp

BI(Biobío)REJECT +22.38pp

ÑU(Ñuble)REJECT +30.06pp

AR(Araucanía)REJECT +37.08pp

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 Chile Constitutional Referendum FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 9 polling data(total 21,714 unweighted / 20,028 weighted sample size) fieldwork done between 8/12 and 8/19.

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

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