Europe, France, SPECIAL - 2022 FR Presidential Election

[France Presidential Election]2022 2nd Round Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast


_Globe Elections UN Video


According to Globe Elections UN’s 2nd Round FINAL Projection in France, we are projecting that Emmanuel Macron, the incumbent president will be re-elected after defeating Marine Le Pen once again.


-Vote Share Projection

Emmanuel Macron(EC / Center) : 55.76%

(-10.34pp From Last Election)

Marine Le Pen(RN / Far-Right) : 44.24%

(+10.34pp From Last Election)


-Key Races

BF(Bourgogne Franche Comté) – LE PEN +0.54pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

LR(La Réunion) – LE PEN +1.02pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

NO(Normandie) – MACRON +2.56pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

OC(Occitanie) – ​MACRON +4.78pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

CL(Centre Val de Loire) – ​MACRON +5.46pp

GE​(Grand Est) – LE PEN +5.80pp

MY​(Mayotte) – LE PEN +7.48pp

GY(Guyane) – MACRON +8.88pp

-Other Races

PA​(Provence Alpes Côte d’Azur) – ​LE PEN +10.80pp

AR(Auvergne et Rhône Alpes) – ​MACRON +13.80pp

HF​(Hauts de France) – ​LE PEN +15.80pp

NA(Nouvelle Aquitaine) – ​MACRON +17.20pp

CO​(Corse) – ​LE PEN +18.64pp

PL(Pays de la Loire) – ​MACRON +25.84pp

GL(Guadeloupe) – ​MACRON +32.26pp

BR(Bretagne) – ​MACRON +32.82pp

MT(Martinique) – ​MACRON +38.14pp

IF(Île de France) – ​MACRON +41.04pp



2022 France Presidential Election R2 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN( by GEHSC.en( &, and reflects total 23 polling data(total 69,915 sample size) fieldwork done between 4/15 and 4/22 and reported on The Survey Commission(LCDS)’s Notice Page. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data. For each of the polling contents, refer to The Survey Commission homepage(

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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