Europe, France, SPECIAL - 2022 FR Presidential Election

[France Presidential Election]2022 1st Round Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’22 R1 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s 1st Round FINAL Projection in France, we are projecting that it is Too Close To Call between Emmanuel Macron & Marine Le Pen. It is mainly followed by Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Éric Zemmour, Valérie Pécresse and Yannick Jadot.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Emmanuel Macron(EC / Center) : 26.52%

(-0.92pp From Mar ’22, +2.51pp From Last Election)

Marine Le Pen(RN / Far-Right) : 22.26%

(+6.29pp From Mar ’22, +0.96pp From Last Election)

Jean-Luc Mélenchon(LFI / Left-wing) : 16.58%

(+3.15pp From Mar ’22, -3.00pp From Last Election)

Éric Zemmour(REC / Right-wing) : 9.57%

(-4.15pp From Mar ’22, NEW PARTY)

Valérie Pécresse(LR / Center-Right) : 8.46%

(-3.47pp From Mar ’22, -11.55pp From Last Election)

Yannick Jadot(PE / Left-wing) : 5.12%

(-0.87pp From Mar ’22, NEW PARTY)

Fabien Roussel(PCF / Left-wing) : 3.03%

(-1.14pp From Mar ’22, NEW PARTY)

Jean Lassalle(RES / Lean-Right) : 2.52%

(+0.93pp From Mar ’22, +1.31pp From Last Election)

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan(DLF / Right-wing) : 2.33%

(+0.63pp From Mar ’22, -2.37pp From Last Election)

Anne Hidalgo(PS / Center-Left) : 2.00%

(-0.50pp From Mar ’22, -4.36pp From Last Election)

Philippe Poutou(NPA / Far-Left) : 1.05%

(+0.07pp From Mar ’22, -0.04pp From Last Election)

Nathalie Arthaud(LO / Far-Left) : 0.56%

(-0.02pp From Mar ’22, -0.08pp From Last Election)

Christiane Taubira(PRG / Center-Left) : W/D

(+0.00pp From Mar ’22, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : W/D

(+0.00pp From Mar ’22, -1.10pp From Last Election)

_REGION PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

NO(Normandie) – LE PEN +0.30pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

OC(Occitanie) – ​MACRON +0.61pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

CL(Centre Val de Loire) – ​MACRON +0.95pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

BF(Bourgogne Franche Comté) – LE PEN +2.01pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

LR(La Réunion) – LE PEN +3.56pp (VS MACRON & MELENCHON) <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

GY(Guyane) – LE PEN +4.30pp (VS MELENCHON & MACRON) <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

MT(Martinique) – ​MACRON +5.17pp (VS MELENCHON)

AR(Auvergne et Rhône Alpes) – ​MACRON +5.44pp

GE​(Grand Est) – LE PEN +6.03pp

MY​(Mayotte) – LE PEN +7.63pp

CO​(Corse) – ​LE PEN +8.29pp

PA​(Provence Alpes Côte d’Azur) – ​LE PEN +8.40pp

NA(Nouvelle Aquitaine) – ​MACRON +9.96pp

-Other Races

HF​(Hauts de France) – ​LE PEN +10.30pp

PL(Pays de la Loire) – ​MACRON +12.21pp

GL(Guadeloupe) – ​MACRON +12.89pp (VS MELENCHON)

IF(Île de France) – ​MACRON +13.97pp (VS MELENCHON)

BR(Bretagne) – ​MACRON +15.99pp (VS MELENCHON & LE PEN)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_RESEARCH INFORMATION

2022 France Presidential Election R1 FINAL Projection was conducted for Globe Elections UN(www.youtube.com/c/GlobeElectionsUN) by GEHSC.en(https://gehsc.com/) & GEHSC.kr(http://blog.naver.com/mglee05), and reflects total 27 polling data(total 65,154 sample size) fieldwork done between 4/1 and 4/8 and reported on The Survey Commission(LCDS)’s Notice Page. Presidential Projection is calculated through sample size & polling date of each polling data from last one week of the latest data. For each of the polling contents, refer to The Survey Commission homepage(https://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/).

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s