South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2022 January Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

JANUARY ’22 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s January Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Too Close To Call between Lee Jae-myung & Yoon Seok-youl. But Lee has taken the lead for the first time, Ahn Cheol-soo and Sim Sang-jung follow after.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 44.35%

(+3.84pp From Dec ’21, +3.26pp From Last Election)

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 39.68%

(-7.04pp From Dec ’21, +8.79pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 7.78%

(+3.30pp From Dec ’21, -13.63pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.09%

(-0.43pp From Dec ’21, -2.09pp From Last Election)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.44%

(+0.06pp From Dec ’21, NEW PARTY)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.42%

(-0.16pp From Dec ’21, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 3.24%

(+0.43pp From Dec ’21, +2.81pp From Last Election)

_PROVINCE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

CN​(Chungnam) – ​YOON +1.25pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

CB(Chungbuk) – ​YOON +3.66pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

UL​(Ulsan) – ​YOON +3.86pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

SU​(Seoul) – ​LEE +4.17pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

BU​(Busan) – ​YOON +7.50pp

DJ​(Daejeon) – ​LEE +8.53pp

GA​(Gangwon) – ​YOON +9.14pp

IN​(Incheon) – ​LEE +9.97pp

-Other Races

GY​(Gyeonggi) – ​LEE +10.96pp

GN​(Gyeongnam) – ​YOON +15.13pp

JJ(Jeju) – ​LEE +17.81pp

SJ(Sejong) – ​LEE +27.62pp

GB(Gyeongbuk) – ​YOON +44.95pp

DG​(Daegu) – ​YOON +46.07pp

JN(Jeonnam) – ​LEE +58.51pp

GW(Gwangju) – ​LEE +62.11pp

JB(Jeonbuk) – ​LEE +65.88pp

_GENERAL ELECTION

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 39.50%

(-3.66pp From Dec ’21, +5.66pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 38.89%

(+1.27pp From Dec ’21, +5.53pp From Last Election)

People Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 7.49%

(+1.10pp From Dec ’21, +0.69pp From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 5.55%

(+0.32pp From Dec ’21, +0.11pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 5.01%

(+0.00pp From Dec ’21, -4.66pp From Last Election)

Transition Korea(TK / Center) : 0.31%

(+0.26pp From Dec ’21, NEW PARTY)

Basic Income Party(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.15%

(+0.05pp From Dec ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.10%

(+0.66pp From Dec ’21, -7.91pp From Last Election)

_PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL

-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>

Approval : 43.61%

(+1.71pp From Dec ’21, -12.59pp From Last Election)

Disapproval : 56.39%

(-1.71pp From Dec ’21, +12.59pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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