South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2021 December Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

DECEMBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s December Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that Yoon Seok-youl now leads Lee Jae-myung slightly but however it is still a Key Race. Ahn Cheol-soo and Sim Sang-jung follow as 3rd tiers.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 46.72%

(+6.94pp From Nov ’21, +15.83pp From Last Election)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 40.51%

(+1.02pp From Nov ’21, -0.58pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.52%

(+0.16pp From Nov ’21, -1.66pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 4.48%

(+0.08pp From Nov ’21, -16.93pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.58%

(-0.13pp From Nov ’21, NEW PARTY)

Huh Kyung-young(NRP / Big Tent) : 0.38%

(NEW ENTRY, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 2.81%

(-8.45pp From Nov ’21, +2.38pp From Last Election)

_PROVINCE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

DJ​(Daejeon) – ​LEE +0.93pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

GY​(Gyeonggi) – ​YOON +1.32pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

IN​(Incheon) – ​YOON +2.05pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

SU​(Seoul) – ​YOON +6.90pp

JJ(Jeju) – ​LEE +8.03pp

CN​(Chungnam) – ​YOON +9.27pp

-Other Races

CB(Chungbuk) – ​YOON +11.84pp

UL​(Ulsan) – ​YOON +13.71pp

BU​(Busan) – ​YOON +17.76pp

SJ(Sejong) – ​LEE +18.01pp

GA​(Gangwon) – ​YOON +21.76pp

GN​(Gyeongnam) – ​YOON +24.47pp

GB(Gyeongbuk) – ​YOON +47.80pp

DG​(Daegu) – ​YOON +48.81pp

JB(Jeonbuk) – ​LEE +53.08pp

JN(Jeonnam) – ​LEE +55.00pp

GW(Gwangju) – ​LEE +61.00pp

_GENERAL ELECTION

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

People Power Party(PPP / Center-Right) : 43.16%

(-2.41pp From Nov ’21, +9.32pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 37.62%

(+2.12pp From Nov ’21, +4.26pp From Last Election)

People Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 6.39%

(-0.12pp From Nov ’21, -0.41pp From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 5.23%

(+0.10pp From Nov ’21, -0.21pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 5.01%

(+0.14pp From Nov ’21, -4.66pp From Last Election)

Basic Income Party(BIP / Center-Left) : 0.10%

(-0.07pp From Nov ’21, NEW PARTY)

Transition Korea(TK / Center) : 0.05%

(-0.08pp From Nov ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.44%

(+0.32pp From Nov ’21, -8.57pp From Last Election)

_PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL

-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>

Approval : 41.90%

(+0.46pp From Nov ’21, -14.30pp From Last Election)

Disapproval : 58.10%

(-0.46pp From Nov ’21, +14.30pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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