South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2021 November Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

NOVEMBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s November Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close between Yoon Seok-youl and Lee Jae-myung for the next presidency. Ahn Cheol-soo and Sim Sang-jung follow as 3rd tiers, Kim Dong-yeon is back behind at 5th place yet.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 39.78%

(-7.69pp From Oct ’21, +8.89pp From Last Election)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 39.49%

(-5.85pp From Oct ’21, -1.60pp From Last Election)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 4.40%

(NEW ENTRY, -17.01pp From Last Election)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 4.36%

(NEW ENTRY, -1.82pp From Last Election)

Kim Dong-yeon(NW / Center) : 0.71%

(NEW ENTRY, NEW PARTY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 11.26%

(+4.07pp From Oct ’21, +10.83pp From Last Election)

_PROVINCE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

SU​(Seoul) – ​YOON +0.89pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

DJ​(Daejeon) – ​LEE +4.02pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

IN​(Incheon) – ​LEE +4.81pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

CN​(Chungnam) – ​YOON +5.42pp

GY​(Gyeonggi) – ​LEE +5.76pp

UL​(Ulsan) – ​YOON +7.43pp

CB(Chungbuk) – ​YOON 7.75pp

-Other Races

BU​(Busan) – ​YOON +11.20pp

GA​(Gangwon) – ​YOON +12.44pp

JJ(Jeju) – ​LEE +14.53pp

GN​(Gyeongnam) – ​YOON +16.65pp

SJ(Sejong) – ​LEE +19.70pp

GB(Gyeongbuk) – ​YOON +40.93pp

DG​(Daegu) – ​YOON +42.95pp

JN(Jeonnam) – ​LEE +49.31pp

JB(Jeonbuk) – ​LEE +50.44pp

GW(Gwangju) – ​LEE +57.65pp

_NATIONAL SUPPORT RATING

-Rating

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 33.23%

(+5.60pp From Oct ’21 – Ha Tae-keung, Ahn Sang-soo’s Numbers Included)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 31.74%

(-0.58pp From Oct ’21 – Choo Mi-ae, Park Yong-jin’s Numbers Included)

Hong Jun-pyo(PPP / Center-Right) : 19.28%

(+1.33pp From Oct ’21 – Choi Jae-hyung’s Numbers Included)

Yoo Seong-min(PPP / Center-Right) : 3.51%

(+0.69pp From Oct ’21)

Sim Sang-jung(JUS / Center-Left) : 3.30%

(+1.79pp From Oct ’21 – Lee Jeong-mi’s Numbers Included)

Won Hee-ryong(PPP / Center-Right) : 3.19%

(+2.62pp From Oct ’21)

Ahn Cheol-soo(TPP / Lean-Right) : 2.13%

(+0.83pp From Oct ’21)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 3.62%

(-12.45pp From Sep ’21 – Lee Nak-yon, Hwang Kyo-ahn, Kim Dong-yeon’s Numbers Included)

_PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL

-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>

Approval : 39.45%

(-0.62pp From Oct ’21, -16.75pp From Last Election)

Disapproval : 60.55%

(+0.62pp From Oct ’21, +16.75pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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