United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 October Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

OCTOBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s October Projection in United Kingdom, we are projecting that the Conservatives will be the largrest party in the next parliament with a majority of 22 seats most likely. Also, the Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 345 seats, being ahead of Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 298 by 47.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 336 Seats

(-7 From Sep ’21, -29 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 227 Seats

(+6 From Sep ’21, +24 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 54 Seats

(+1 From Sep ’21, +6 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8 Seats

(-1 From Sep ’21, -3 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, -1 From Last Election)

We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 6 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, -1 From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 5 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 39.86%

(-0.85pp From Sep ’21, -3.77pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 33.64%

(+0.71pp From Sep ’21, +1.48pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.26%

(-0.31pp From Sep ’21, -3.57pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.52%

(+0.40pp From Sep ’21, +3.84pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.41%

(+0.19pp From Sep ’21, +0.53pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.69%

(-0.88pp From Sep ’21, -0.32pp From Last Election)

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.69%

(-0.08pp From Sep ’21, +0.21pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.29%

(-0.10pp From Sep ’21, +0.23pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 4.64%

(+0.92pp From Sep ’21, +1.02pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 40.12%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 34.04%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 9.17%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 6.60%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.47%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.27%

Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.69%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.29%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.35%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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