South Korea

[South Korea Presidential Election]2021 October Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

OCTOBER ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s October Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is Extremely Close once again between Yoon Seok-youl and Lee Jae-myung for the next presidency.

_NATIONAL PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 47.47%

(-1.23pp From Sep ’21, -4.97pp From Last Election)

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 45.34%

(+2.13pp From Sep ’21, -1.92pp From Last Election)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 7.19%

(-0.90pp From Sep ’21, +6.89pp From Last Election)

_PROVINCE PROJECTIONS

-Key Races

DJ​(Daejeon) – ​LEE +0.68pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

IN​(Incheon) – ​LEE +0.87pp <EXTREMELY CLOSE>

GY​(Gyeonggi) – ​LEE +2.83pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

SU​(Seoul) – ​YOON +4.14pp <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>

UL​(Ulsan) – ​YOON +7.07pp

CN​(Chungnam) – ​YOON +7.17pp

CB(Chungbuk) – ​YOON 7.32pp

-Other Races

GA​(Gangwon) – ​YOON +11.87pp

JJ(Jeju) – ​LEE +12.61pp

BU​(Busan) – ​YOON +12.88pp

GN​(Gyeongnam) – ​YOON +14.67pp

SJ(Sejong) – ​LEE +15.08pp

GB(Gyeongbuk) – ​YOON +38.78pp

JN(Jeonnam) – ​LEE +40.09pp

DG​(Daegu) – ​YOON +41.33pp

GW(Gwangju) – ​LEE +44.84pp

JB(Jeonbuk) – ​LEE +51.37pp

_NATIONAL SUPPORT RATING

-Rating

Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 29.80%

(+1.27pp From Sep ’21)

Yoon Seok-youl(PPP / Center-Right) : 27.40%

(-1.98pp From Sep ’21)

Hong Jun-pyo(PPP / Center-Right) : 16.52%

(+6.87pp From Sep ’21)

Lee Nak-yon(DPK / Lean-Left) : 13.45%

(-0.67pp From Sep ’21)

Yoo Seong-min(PPP / Center-Right) : 2.82%

(-0.63pp From Sep ’21)

Choo Mi-ae(DPK / Lean-Left) : 2.13%

(-0.67pp From Sep ’21)

Ahn Cheol-soo(PP / Lean-Right) : 1.50%

(-0.83pp From Sep ’21)

Choi Jae-hyung(PPP / Center-Right) : 1.43%

(-1.70pp From Sep ’21)

Sim Sang-jung(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.36%

(-0.18pp From Sep ’21)

Hwang Kyo-ahn(PPP / Right-wing) : 0.72%

(+0.27pp From Sep ’21)

Won Hee-ryong(PPP / Center-Right) : 0.57%

(-0.05pp From Sep ’21)

Park Yong-jin(DPK / Center-Left) : 0.39%

(+0.00pp From Sep ’21)

Kim Dong-yeon(IND TK / Center) : 0.37%

(+0.19pp From Sep ’21)

Ha Tae-keung(PPP / Lean-Right) : 0.17%

(+0.06pp From Sep ’21)

Lee Jeong-mi(JPK / Center-Left) : 0.15%

(NEW ENTRY)

Ahn Sang-soo(PPP / Center-Right) : 0.06%

(NEW ENTRY)

Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 1.16%

(-2.16pp From Sep ’21)

_PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL

-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>

Approval : 40.07%

(-0.21pp From Sep ’21, -16.13pp From Last Election)

Disapproval : 59.93%

(+0.21pp From Sep ’21, +16.13pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_ Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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