Germany

[Germany Federal Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Germany, we are projecting that it is too close to call between the Social Democrats and the Unions. Greens are at strong 3rd, and Alternative, Free Democrats, The Left follows after.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection (Projections Made For All Constituencies From Jun ’21)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 203 Seats

(+0 From Sep ’21, +50 From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 149 Seats

(+21 From Sep ’21, -97 From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(GRÜNE / Center-Left) : 122 Seats

(-17 From Aug ’21, +55 From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 81 Seats

(+2 From Sep ’21, -13 From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 75 Seats

(-2 From Sep ’21, -5 From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 40 Seats

(-2 From Sep ’21, -29 From Last Election)

Free Voters(FW / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Sep ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 23.41%

(+0.17pp From Sep ’21, +2.90pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 20.96%

(+2.57pp From Sep ’21, -11.79pp From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(GRÜNE / Center-Left) : 18.60%

(-2.94pp From Sep ’21, +9.66pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 11.54%

(-0.36pp From Sep ’21, +0.79pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 11.09%

(+0.07pp From Sep ’21, -1.55pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 5.90%

(-0.39pp From Sep ’21, -3.34pp From Last Election)

Free Voters(FW / Lean-Right) : 1.98%

(NEW ENTRY, +0.99pp From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 6.52%

(-1.10pp From Sep ’21, +2.52pp From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 28.87%

(+0.00pp From Sep ’21, +4.23pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 24.44%

(+2.84pp From Sep ’21, -12.82pp From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(GRÜNE / Center-Left) : 17.33%

(-2.89pp From Sep ’21, +9.31pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 10.36%

(-0.01pp From Sep ’21, -1.10pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 7.75%

(-0.30pp From Sep ’21, +0.75pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 5.62%

(-0.42pp From Sep ’21, -2.93pp From Last Election)

Free Voters(FW / Lean-Right) : 2.61%

(NEW ENTRY, +1.34pp From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 3.02%

(-1.83pp From Sep ’21, +1.22pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 25.30% 

Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 22.10% 

Alliance 90/The Greens(GRÜNE / Center-Left) : 15.61% 

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 11.40%

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 10.91%

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 6.28%

Free Voters(FW / Lean-Right) : 1.96%

Others(SON / Mixed) : 6.44%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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