Europe

[Norway General Election]2021 FINAL Results & Projection Analysis

FINAL ’21 RESULTS

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s LIVE Projection in Norway, Red Coalition has gained the majority in the next Storting after winning over Blue Coalition.

_COALITION LEVEL RESULTS

-Seat Results

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 97 Seats

(+17 From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 68 Seats

(-20 From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 3 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Results

Red Coalition(RK / Center-Left) : 52.05%

(+6.23pp From Last Election)

Blue Coalition(BK / Center-Right) : 42.37%

(-6.74pp From Last Election)

Green Coalition(GK / Center-Left) : 3.92%

(+0.70pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed) : 1.66%

(-0.19pp From Last Election)

_PARTY LEVEL RESULTS

-Seat Projection

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 48 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 36 Seats

(-9 From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 28 Seats

(+9 From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 21 Seats

(-6 From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 13 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 8 Seats

(+7 From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 8 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 3 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 3 Seats

(-5 From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 1 Seat

(+1 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Results

Labour Party(AP / Center-Left – Red Coalition) : 26.08%

(-1.11pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(HØY / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 20.22%

(-4.66pp From Last Election)

Center Party(SP / Center – Red Coalition) : 13.42%

(+3.17pp From Last Election)

Progress Party(FrP / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 11.54%

(-3.56pp From Last Election)

Socialist Left Party(SV / Left-wing – Red Coalition) : 7.59%

(+1.61pp From Last Election)

Red Party(RØDT / Far-Left – Red Coalition) : 4.69%

(+2.29pp From Last Election)

Liberal Party(VEN / Center – Blue Coalition) : 4.58%

(+0.24pp From Last Election)

Green Party(MDG / Center-Left – Green Coalition) : 4.89%

(+0.70pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic Party(KrF / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 3.77%

(-0.40pp From Last Election)

The Democrats(DiN / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 1.14%

(+1.01pp From Last Election)

Pensioners’ Party(PP / Big Tent – Others) : 0.63%

(+0.19pp From Last Election)

Christian Party(PDK / Right-wing – Blue Coalition) : 0.35%

(+0.05pp From Last Election)

Industry & Business Party(INP / Lean-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.33%

(NEW PARTY)

Party Center(PS / Center – Red Coalition) : 0.26%

(NEW PARTY)

Capitalist Party(LIB / Center-Right – Blue Coalition) : 0.15%

(-0.04pp From Last Election)

Others(AND / Mixed – Others) : 1.33%

(-0.08pp From Last Election)

_PROJECTION ANALYSIS

-Average Error Analysis

Globe Elections UN(FINAL Projection) : 0.55%

—————————————————–

TV2(Exit Poll) : 0.48%

Pollofpolls.no(Poll Of Polls) : 0.65%

NRK(Exit Poll) : 0.69%

Estimite(Estimation) : 0.72%

PolitPro(Trend) : 0.74%

Europe Elects(Average) : 0.77%

Politico(Poll Of Polls) : 0.82%

-Standard Error Analysis

Globe Elections UN(FINAL Projection) : 0.73%

—————————————————–

TV2(Exit Poll) : 0.86%

Pollofpolls.no(Poll Of Polls) : 0.88%

PolitPro(Trend) : 0.99%

Europe Elects(Average) : 1.03%

Politico(Poll Of Polls) : 1.04%

Estimite(Estimation) : 1.08%

NRK(Exit Poll) : 1.08%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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