JULY ’21 PROJECTION
_Globe Elections UN Video
_HEADLINE
According to Globe Elections UN’s July Projection in South Korea, we are projecting that it is too close to call between Yoon Seok-yeol & Lee Jae-myung for the next presidency.
_NATIONAL PROJECTION
-Vote Share Projection
Yoon Seok-yeol(IND PPP / Center-Right) : 48.19%
(-4.25pp From Last Election)
Lee Jae-myung(DPK / Center-Left) : 45.20%
(-2.06pp From Last Election)
Other Candidates(OTH / Mixed) : 6.61%
(+6.31pp From Last Election)
_PROVINCEWIDE PROJECTIONS
-Key Races
SU(Seoul) – Yoon +0.19%p <EXTREMELY CLOSE>
GY(Gyeonggi) – Lee +0.24%p <EXTREMELY CLOSE>
IN(Incheon) – Yoon +0.96%p <EXTREMELY CLOSE>
DJ(Daejeon) – Lee +1.51%p <EXTREMELY CLOSE>
UL(Ulsan) – Yoon +4.33%p <TOO CLOSE TO CALL>
CN(Chungnam) – Yoon +6.19%p
CB(Chungbuk) – Yoon +6.33%p
JJ(Jeju) – Lee +9.49%p
-Other Races
BU(Busan) – Yoon +10.17%p
GN(Gyeongnam) – Yoon +11.63%p
GW(Gangwon) – Yoon +14.82%p
SJ(Sejong) – Lee +15.69%p
JN(Jeonnam) – Lee +26.14%p
GJ(Gwangju) – Lee +31.08%p
JB(Jeonbuk) – Lee +39.33%p
GB(Gyeongbuk) – Yoon +39.69%p
DG(Daegu) – Yoon +42.74%p
_PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL
-Presidential Approval <Moon Jae-in>
Approval : 41.23%
(+2.21pp From Jun ’21, -14.97pp From Last Election)
Disapproval : 58.77%
(-2.21pp From Jun ’21, +14.97pp From Last Election)
