Europe

[Bulgaria General Election]2021(J) FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

FINAL ’21(J) PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Bulgaria, we are projecting that There Is Such A People is likely to be the largest group in the next National Assembly after surpassing Coat Of Arms within a key race margin, which is less than 10%p. Also, the 3rd place is closely fought between Democratic Bulgaria and Socialists. And the following parties – Rights & Freedom, Stand Up!, Revival – are expected to be entering parliament, and Bulgarian Patriots will fail to do that.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 72 Seats

(+21 From Last Election)

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 49 Seats

(-26pp From Last Election)

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Lean-Right) : 37 Seats

(+10 From Last Election)

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 35 Seats

(-8 From Last Election)

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 29 Seats

(-1 From Last Election)

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 12 Seats

(-2 From Last Election)

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 6 Seats

(+6 From Last Election)

Bulgarian Patriots(BP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Bulgarian Summer(BL / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Left Union For Clean & Holy Republic(LUCHR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 25.68%

(+8.02pp From Last Election)

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 17.31%

(-8.87pp From Last Election)

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Lean-Right) : 14.20%

(+4.75pp From Last Election)

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 11.08%

(-4.39pp From Last Election)

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 9.19%

(-1.32pp From Last Election)

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 4.91%

(+0.19pp From Last Election)

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 4.50%

(+2.05pp From Last Election)

Bulgarian Patriots(BP / Far-Right) : 2.84%

(-3.17pp From Last Election)

Bulgarian Summer(BL / Big Tent) : 1.40%

(-1.55pp From Last Election)

Left Union For Clean & Holy Republic(LUCHR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 0.55%

(+0.02pp From Last Election)

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 8.34%

(+4.37pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection (***Corrected From The Old Version That Had Little Bit Inaccurate Numbers.)

Coats Of Arms(GERB / Center-Right) : 21.29%

There Is Such A People(ITN / Big Tent) : 21.21%

BSP For Bulgaria(BSPzB / Left-wing) : 16.23%

Democratic Bulgaria(DB / Lean-Right) : 11.73%

Movement For Rights & Freedoms(DPS / Center) : 11.12%

Stand Up! Get Out!(ISMV / Big Tent) : 5.55%

Bulgarian Patriots(BP / Far-Right) : 4.16%

Revival(REV / Right-wing) : 2.47%

Bulgarian Summer(BL / Big Tent) : 1.05%

Left Union For Clean & Holy Republic(LUCHR / Left-wing Big Tent) : 0.61%

Other Parties(OTH / Mixed) : 4.58%

_FULL RESULTS/DETAILS

_Global Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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