Germany

[Germany Federal Election]2021 June Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

JUNE ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s June Projection in Germany, we are projecting that it is too close to call between the Union parties & the Greens. On the other hand, there is also a heat for the 3rd place as Social Democrats fall, Free Democrats gain, Alternative for Germany goes down.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection (Projections Made For All Constituencies From Jun ’21)

Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union(CDU/CSU / Center-Right) : 184 Seats

(+6 From May ’21, -74 From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 167 Seats

(-19 From May ’21, +100 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 87 Seats

(-3 From May ’21, -66 From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 82 Seats

(+10 From May ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 82 Seats

(+1 From May ’21, -12 From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 39 Seats

(-6 From May ’21, -30 From Last Election)

Free Voters(FW / Lean-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 26.08%

(-3.09pp From May ’21, +17.14pp From Last Election)

Christian Democratic/Social Union(CDU/CSL / Center-Right) : 23.22%

(+1.93pp From May ’21, -9.53pp From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 13.40%

(+0.28pp From May ’21, -7.11pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 12.89%

(+1.63pp From May ’21, +2.14pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 11.94%

(-0.24pp From May ’21, -0.70pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 6.02%

(-0.80pp From May ’21, -3.22pp From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 6.45%

(+0.29pp From May ’21, +1.45pp From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

Christian Democratic/Social Union(CDU/CSL / Center-Right) : 27.79%

(+2.30pp From May ’21, -9.47pp From Last Election)

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 24.74%

(-2.94pp From May ’21, +16.73pp From Last Election)

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 17.03%

(+0.34pp From May ’21, -7.61pp From Last Election)

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 11.46%

(-0.23pp From May ’21, +0.00pp From Last Election)

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 8.89%

(+1.12pp From May ’21, +1.89pp From Last Election)

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 5.90%

(-0.78pp From May ’21, -2.65pp From Last Election)

Others(SON / Mixed) : 4.19%

(+0.19pp From May ’21, +1.11pp From Last Election)

-POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Christian Democratic/Social Union(CDU/CSL / Center-Right) : 25.28% 

Alliance 90/The Greens(B90/DG / Center-Left) : 22.61% 

Social Democratic Party(SPD / Center-Left) : 14.96% 

Free Democratic Party(FDP / Lean-Right) : 13.16%

Alternative For Germany(AfD / Far-Right) : 10.77%

The Left(DL / Left-wing) : 6.63%

Others(SON / Mixed) : 6.59%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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